There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:
D.C. Political Report: Democrat
Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat
Takeaway: Solid Obama
Electoral-vote.com: Strong Democrat
Washington Post: Solid Obama
Politico: Solid Obama
Real Clear Politics: Solid Obama
FiveThirtyEight.com: Solid Obama
CQ Politics: Safe Democrat
New York Times: Solid Democrat
CNN: Safe Democrat
NPR: Solid Obama
MSNBC: Solid Obama
Fox News: Democrat
Associated Press: Democrat
Rasmussen Reports: Safe Democrat
Polling
Just 3 pre-election polls were ever taken in the state, averaging Obama at 64% to McCain at 30%.
Fundraising
Obama raised $3,098,395. McCain raised $424,368.
Advertising and visits
Obama spent $113,838 while a conservative interest group spent $31. Obama visited the state once.
Analysis
One of the most reliably blue states in the nation, Hawaii has only voted for two Republican candidates since statehood, both in national Republican landslides--Richard Nixon in 1972 and Ronald Reagan in 1984. A large concentration of Asian Americans makes the state very favorable to the Democrats. Although moderate Republicans occasionally win at the state level—for instance, then-Governor Linda Lingle and Lieutenant GovernorDuke Aiona were both Republicans—Hawaii has long been reckoned as a Democratic stronghold. It came as something of a surprise in 2004 when John Kerry only carried Hawaii with 54 percent of the vote. However, the state reverted to form in dramatic fashion in 2008, with Barack Obama winning the state in a landslide over Republican John McCain. During the same election, Democrats picked up one seat in the Hawaii House of Representatives and two seats in the Hawaii Senate, giving them a super-majority in the Hawaii state legislature with 45 out of 51 seats in the Hawaii House and 23 out of 25 seats in the Hawaii Senate.
Technically the voters of Hawaii cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Hawaii is allocated 4 electors because it has 2 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 4 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 4 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector. The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 4 were pledged to Barack Obama and Joe Biden: