2015 Delhi Legislative Assembly election


The Delhi Legislative Assembly election was held on 7 February 2015 to elect 70 members of the Sixth Legislative Assembly of Delhi. The results were announced on 10 February 2015. The Aam Aadmi Party secured an absolute majority in the assembly, winning 67 of the 70 seats.

Background

In the 2013 Delhi state elections, the Bharatiya Janata Party emerged as the single-largest party, winning 32 out of the 70 seats. However they fell short of an outright majority and therefore were unable to form the government. This led the then Lieutenant Governor of Delhi Najeeb Jung to invite the Aam Aadmi Party, the second largest party after the BJP, to form the government. On 28 December 2013, AAP formed the state government after taking outside support from the Indian National Congress. AAP's leader Arvind Kejriwal, who defeated the incumbent chief minister Sheila Dikshit, became the 7th chief minister of Delhi. However, on 14 February 2014, Arvind Kejriwal resigned from his post citing the reason as his government's inability to table the Jan Lokpal Bill in Delhi Assembly for discussion, due to stiff opposition from other political parties in the house.
Delhi remained thereafter under President's Rule for about a year. On 4 November 2014, the Lieutenant Governor of Delhi Najeeb Jung recommended the Union Cabinet for the dissolution of Delhi assembly and conduct fresh elections. On 12 January 2015, the Election Commission of India announced that state assembly elections would be held on 7 February 2015 with results being announced on 10 February 2015.

Schedule and electorate

The election commission announced the schedule for the elections on 12 January 2015. Voter-verified paper audit trail along with EVMs were used in 2 assembly seats in Delhi elections- New Delhi and Delhi Cantt.
Date of notification14 January 2015Wednesday
Last date for nomination21 January 2015Wednesday
Date of scrutiny22 January 2015Thursday
Last date of withdrawal24 January 2015Saturday
Date of poll7 February 2015Saturday
Date of counting10 February 2015Tuesday
Election Complete12 February 2015Thursday

Voter statistics

Campaign

Safety of women, corruption, water problems and price rises were the main issues in the election.

Aam Aadmi Party

AAP started campaigning in Delhi in November 2014 and inducted several first-time candidates, with as many as 27 out of 70 MLA candidates. AAP convener Arvind Kejriwal was the chief ministerial candidate and contesting the elections from the New Delhi seat again after successfully managing to defeat incumbent MLA and then CM Sheila Dixit in the 2013 elections. Other known names and prominent faces in their candidate list are Jarnail Singh, Surinder Singh, former Transport Minister for Delhi Saurabh Bhardwaj, former Education Minister Manish Sisodia, and former Law Minister Somnath Bharti.
The rallies and roadshows of Arvind Kejriwal were a great success, drawing large enthusiastic crowds. His nomination rally-cum-roadshow drew massive crowd and included flash mobs, slogans and chant of "5 Saal Kejriwal" song. AAP has consistently targeted the issues of corruption, security, education, environmental pollution, employment opportunities for youth and making Delhi a world class city.
Kejriwal's statement "Paise lekar sting kar lo" created controversies by asking volunteers to take bribes from other parties and do a sting. Kejriwal claimed that BJP had been trying to bribe AAP volunteers. The situation rose The Election Commission of India, which issued notice to Kejriwal to desist from breaking the laws governing the model code of conduct for elections in India. The Delhi court finally allowed Kejriwal to put forth his plea on the matter.
BJP targeted AAP and Kejriwal in a series of controversial negative newspaper ads. AAP claimed that one of these ads made a derogatory reference to Kejriwal's caste, while another one with a garlanded portrait of Anna Hazare signified Hazare's death. AAP threatened to complain about these ads to the Election Commission of India.
Noted music composer and party sympathizer Vishal Dadlani composed a song "Panch Saal Kejriwaal" in December 2014 to give a boost to AAP's campaign. The song was seen used in flash mobs, roadshows and rallies and was well received. AAP's campaign included advertisements on bus stops, bill boards and in the Delhi Metro, mostly focusing on Blue and Yellow Lines. To save costs ads were put up only on one side of the Metro.
The last days of the campaign saw TV actors Ayub Khan and Smita Bansal joining AAP. The AAP strategy for campaigning included flash mobs, street plays, human banners, posters and pamphlets in auto-rickshaws.
Trinamool Congress chief Mamata Banerjee tweeted on 5 February "My request to all of you in Delhi to please vote for AAP. For the greater need of the country and development in Delhi". TMC has stringently criticized BJP's central government in recent past. Also CPI general secretary Prakash Karat said in an interview, "15 seats are being contested jointly by Left parties in the Delhi polls. Rest of the 55 seats, our party has decided that it will ask our party members and voters to vote for the AAP. Most of the other left parties are also of the same view".

Bharatiya Janata Party

On 10 January 2015, Prime Minister Narendra Modi started the BJP's campaign for the Delhi assembly polls by holding an Abhinandan rally at the Ramlila Maidan. With some recent corruption allegations on BJP-Delhi unit head Satish Upadhyay, and on speculation of increasing internal fights for CM position between several big leaders liker Jagdeesh Mukhi, Vijay Goel and Satish Upadhyay, on 15 January 2015, BJP added Kiran Bedi as a prominent face to lead Delhi Campaign. Within 4 days, on 19 January, India's first woman IPS officer, anti-corruption activist and Magsaysay awardee Kiran Bedi was announced by the BJP as their candidate for chief minister in Delhi.
Analysts questioned BJP's decision to project Kiran Bedi as the party's CM candidate, when two opinion polls indicated that AAP had gained ground over BJP after the announcement of her candidature. Kiran Bedi was seen leaving news interviews and even questions of her being the first woman IPS and her role in towing Indra Gandhi's convoy car were raised. Her induction led to internal rifts in the party, but the party president Amit Shah defended the decision. On 2 February, Kiran Bedi's manager announced his resignation blaming her "dictatorial attitude", but then withdrew the resignation and apologized on the same day.
Key party strategist Arun Jaitley was tasked with bringing together the BJP's campaign efforts, with regular meetings at the Delhi BJP office, and Prime Minister Narendra Modi addressing four rallies. Also 11 central ministers and 17 lawmakers of the party were deployed in the campaign for Delhi. Human Resource Minister Smriti Irani and External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj hit the campaign trail addressing several rallies in South and North West Delhi. Haryana Chief Minister Manohar Lal Khattar, held a public meeting in Bijwasan area of South West Delhi. Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan is scheduled to campaign for BJP
Finance Minister Arun Jaitley, Commerce Minister Nirmala Sitharaman and Chemicals and Fertiliser Minister Ananth Kumar have been making rounds of Delhi BJP office for the last couple of days. As of 29 January,Bharatiya Janata Party has brought in 22 of its top ministers at the Centre and 17 MPs to take charge of the campaign. According to another source " around 58 Union ministers and MPs took charge of Delhi constituencies. More than 70 MPs have been assigned to oversee preparations for the Feb. 7 polls to the 70-member Assembly," said a senior BJP leader. Shazia Ilmi a member of AAP who has joined BJP saying BJP stands for good governance and development.
BJP actively used the media for their campaign, and released a series of newspaper advertisements targeting AAP's CM candidate Arvind Kejriwal.
During the last phases of the campaign rallies of Prime Minister Narendra Modi got poor turnouts and the BJP Delhi state unit was seen complaining about appointing Kiran Bedi as the CM candidate.
BJP had prepoll alliance with Shiromani Akali Dal, whose candidates contested four seats: three on BJP's symbol and one on SAD's own symbol.

Indian National Congress

On 13 January 2015, Ajay Maken was announced as the head of the Congress campaign committee. Maken is also the party's chief minister candidate. On 19 January, Maken released a booklet titled 49 dino ki ultee chaal, Dilli hui behal listing Kejriwal's U-turns and misgovernance during his 49-day government.

Other parties

Other parties such as Bahujan Samaj Party, Poorvanchal Rashtriya Congress and Janata Dal are also part of the campaign but none have enough candidates to get a majority vote to form government on their own.

Manifestos

Aam Aadmi Party

AAP released its manifesto on 31 January 2015. Highlights of 70-point manifesto
On 29 January 2015, the party announced that they would release a vision document before the elections, as full statehood for Delhi was a topic of debate in the party. Although such is the case, beginning 28 January 2015, the BJP's chief ministerial candidate Kiran Bedi has initiated a series of tweets with hashtag #KiransBlueprint detailing her plans for improving Delhi. It has been said that no manifesto by BJP has provided AAP with a "much needed ammunition" in their Election Campaign
On 3 February 2015, the BJP's vision document was released publicly. It included 270 points and 35 areas of focus, which included the following:
Synopsis of Manifesto

Nominations

The Election Commission cancelled the nomination of 230 candidates during the scrutiny of papers and 693 candidates were deemed valid to contest the polls.

List of contestants of major parties

Bold signifies the winner
Constituency
No.
Constituency
Name
NDAAAPINC
1NarelaNeeldaman KhatriSharad ChauhanPraveen Kum Bhugra
2BurariGopal JhaSanjeev JhaJile Singh Chauhan
3TimarpurSmt. Rajni AbbiPankaj PushkarSurender Pal Singh
4Adarsh NagarRam Kishan SinghalPawan Kumar SharmaMukesh Goel
5BadliRajesh YadavAjesh YadavDevender Yadav
6RithalaKulwant RanaMahindra GoelJagdish Yadav
7BawanaVed ParkashRam ChanderMrs.Seema Godara
8MundkaMaster Azad SinghSukhbir DalalRita Shokeen
9KirariAnil Jha VatsRituraj JhaPratyush Kant
10Sultan Pur MajraPrabhu Dayal SaiSandeepJai Kishan
11Nangloi JatManoj ShokeenRaghuvendra ShaukeenDr. Bijender Singh
12Mangol PuriSurjeetRakhi BidlanRaj Kumar Chauhan
13RohiniVijendra GuptaCharanji Lal GuptaSukhbir Sharma
14Shalimar BaghSmt. Rekha GuptaBandana KumariSulekh Agarwal
15Shakur BastiDr. S. C. VatsSatyendra Kumar JainChaman Lal Sharma
16Tri NagarNand Kishor GargJitender TomarAnil Bhardwaj
17WazirpurMahendra NagpalRajesh GuptaHari Shankar Gupta
18Model TownVivek GargAkhilesh Pati TripathiKanwar Karan Singh
19Sadar BazarPraveen JainSom DuttAjay Maken
20Chandni ChowkSuman Kumar GuptaAlka LambaPrahlad S. Sawhney
21Matia MahalAnjum DahalwiAsim Ahmed KhanShoaib Iqbal
22BallimaranShyam MorwalImran HussainHaroon Yusuf
23Karol BaghYogendra ChandoliaVishesh RaviMadan Khorwal
24Patel NagarSmt. Krishna TirathHazari Lal ChauhanRajesh Lilothia
25Moti NagarSubhash SachdevaShiv Charan GoyalRaj Kumar Maggo
26MadipurRajkumar PhulwariaGirish SoniMalaram Gangwal
27Rajouri GardenManjinder Singh Sirsa*Jarnail SinghDhanvanti Chandela
28Hari NagarAvtar Singh Hit*Jagdeep SinghCP Mittal
29Tilak NagarRajeev BabbarJarnail SinghDhuli Chand Lohia
30JanakpuriProf. Jagdish MukhiRajesh RishiSuresh Kumar
31VikaspuriSanjay SinghMahendra YadavNand Kishore Sehrawat
32Uttam NagarPawan SharmaNaresh BalyanMukesh Sharma
33DwarkaPradyuman RajputAdarsh ShastriMahabal Mishra
34MatialaRajesh GehlotGulab SinghSumesh Shokeen
35NajafgarhAjeet KharkhariKailash GehlotJai Kishan Sharma
36BijwasanSat Prakash RanaDevinder Kumar SehrawatVijay Singh Lochav
37PalamDharamdev SolankiBhavna GaurMadan Mohan
38Delhi CantonmentKaran Singh TanwarSurinder SinghSandeep Tanwar
39Rajinder NagarSardar R. P. SinghVijender GargBrahm Yadav
40New DelhiNupur SharmaArvind KejriwalKiran Walia
41JangpuraManinder Singh DhirPraveen KumarTarwinder S. Marwah
42Kasturba NagarRavindra ChoudharyMadan LalNeeraj Basoya
43Malviya NagarDr. Nandini SharmaSomnath BhartiDr. Yoganand Shastri
44R K PuramAnil SharmaPramila TokasLeeladhar Bhatt
45MehrauliSmt. Sarita ChaudharyNaresh YadavSatbir Singh
46ChhatarpurBrahm Singh TanwarKartar Singh TanwarBairam Tanwar
47DeoliArvind KumarPrakash JarwalRajesh Chauhan
48Ambedkar NagarAshok ChauhanAjay DuttCh. Prem Singh
49Sangam ViharH. C. L. GuptaDinesh MohaniaVishan Swaroop Agarwal
50Greater KailashRakesh GuliaSaurabh BhardwajSharmistha Mukherjee
51KalkajiHarmeet Singh Kalka*Avtar SinghSubhash Chopra
52TughlakabadVikram VidhuriSahi RamSachin Bidhuri
53BadarpurRambir VidhuriND SharmaRam Singh Netaji
54OkhlaBrahm Singh VidhuriAmanatullah KhanAsif Muhammad Khan
55TrilokpuriSmt. Kiran VaidhyaRaju DhinganBrahm Pal
56KondliHukum SinghManoj KumarAmrish Singh Gautam
57PatparganjVinod Kumar BinnyManish SisodiaAnil Kumar
58Laxmi NagarB. B. TyagiNitin TyagiDr. A. K. Walia
59Vishwas NagarOm Prakash SharmaAtul GuptaNaseeb Singh
60Krishna NagarDr. Kiran BediS.K. BaggaBansi Lal
61Gandhi NagarJitendra ChoudharyAnil Kumar BajpaiSurendra Kumar
62ShahdaraJitender Singh Shunty*Ram Niwas GoelDr. Narender Nath
63SeemapuriKaram Vir ChandelRajendra Pal GautamVeer Singh Dhingan
64Rohtas NagarJitendra MahajanSarita SinghVipin Sharma
65SeelampurSanjay JainMohammad Ishraque Ch. Mateen Ahmed
66GhondaSahib Singh ChouhanSD SharmaBheesham Sharma
67BabarpurNaresh GaurGopal RaiZakir Khan
68GokalpurRanjeet KashyapFateh SinghRinku
69MustafabadJagdish PradhanHaji YunusHasan Ahmed
70Karawal NagarMohan Singh BishtKapil Mishra'Satanpal

Analysis of Affidavits

Delhi Election Watch and Association for Democratic Reforms have analysed the self-sworn affidavits of all 673 candidates who are contesting in the 2015 Delhi Assembly Elections. There are 70 political parties fielding candidates in these elections. In the previous elections in 2013 there were 77 political parties that contested and in 2008 there were 68 political parties that were in the fray. There are 66 female candidates out of 673 candidates contesting this year. In 2013 there were 71 female candidates out of 810 candidates in the fray and in 2008 there were 81 female candidates out of 875 candidates contesting the elections.

Number of seats (70)

SurveyDateSample sizeConstituencies
covered
AAPBJPINCOthersRef
ABP News-Nielsen5–7 November 2014652835283651
NewsX–CVoter12 November 20142447?263762
Economic Times–TNS21 Nov-5 Dec 201471133522–2543–470–30
ABP News–Nielsen4–8 December 2014640935174571
India Today–CICERO Wave 118 December 201442737028±337±34±11±1
TV24 News India25 December 2014820070392353
India Today–CICERO Wave 212 January 201544597025–3034–403–50–2
India TV-CVoter12 January 20154238?293551
ABP News–Nielsen15 January 2015641470283480
News Nation11–15 January 20153195?33±231±25±11±1
Zee News-Taleem10–16 January 2015420035293740
India TV-CVoter18–24 January1306?283750
The Week-IMRB22–24 January 201540557029±236±24±11±1
ABP News–Nielsen24–25 January 2015639635352960
Hindustan Times-C fore10–19 and 24–27 January 20157147?31–3631–362–70
India TV-CVoter25–31 January10862?313621
Economic Times-TNS25–31 January 201532601638±230±22±10
Hindustan Times-C fore27 January – 1 February 20153578?36–4127–322–70–5
AAP 31 January – 1 February 201531883551±615±54±2
NDTV Poll of Opinion Polls
3 February 2015 372940
India Today Group-Cicero3 February 20153972?42±422±35±21±1
Times Now Poll of Polls
3 February 2015343224
Data Mineria4 February 2015??273670
News Nation31 January – 4 February 20153000?32±233±24±10–1
Zee News-Taleem4 February 2015??32±234±24±10
Total TV news4 February 2015365397049±421±420
Research and Development Initiative5 February 2015210007023±243±22±20
Actual Results10 February 20157067300

Vote share

SurveyDateAAPBJPINCOthersRef
TV24 news Chandigarh28 December 201453%32%9%6%
ABP News–Nielsen10 November 201438%38%22%14%
NewsX–CVoter12 November 201439%44%11%6%
ABP News–Nielsen12 December 201427%38%24%11%
India Today–CICERO Wave 118 December 201436%39%16%9%
The Economic Times–TNS21 Nov-5 Dec 201440%46%N/AN/A
TotalTV News23 December 201448%40%8%4%
India Today–CICERO Wave 212 January 201536%40%16%8%
India TV-CVoter12 January 201540%42%11%7%
ABP News–Nielsen15 January 201531%35%24%10%
News Nation11–15 January 201539%35%15%5%
ABP News–Nielsen19 January 201546%45%8%1%
Zee News-Taleem10–16 January 201535%44%14%7%
India TV news- C Voter18–24 January40%45%10%5%
ABP News–Nielsen snap poll24–25 January 201550%41%9%0%
Hindustan Times-C fore10–19 and 24–27 January 201538.4%38%14.5%9.1%
Hindustan Times-C fore27 January – 1 February 201540%37%15%8%
Total TV news20 January – 3 February 201547.63%35.57%13.68%3.12%

Line Chart showing seats as per opinion polls

Voting

Polling took place at 12,177 polling stations. As many as 95,000 government officials were deployed for election duty. 16,000 control units 20,000 ballot units were to be used for polling. As for security inside polling booths, 1,200 micro observers oversaw the entire procedure and also reported technical problems in EVM operations. According to the Delhi CEO, a total of 43,235 postal ballots were received in comparison to 41,095 during the Assembly Elections 2013.
A record 67.47% turnout was registered on the election day. The voter turnout was 1.61% higher than 65.86% polling in 2013 Assembly polls. The polling percentage was 65.07% in the Lok Sabha polls in April 2014.
Constituency
No.
Constituency
Name
Poll percent
1Narela
2Burari
3Timarpur
4Adarsh Nagar
5Badli
6Rithala
7Bawana
8Mundka
9Kirari
10Sultan Pur Majra
11Nangloi Jat
12Mangol Puri
13Rohini
14Shalimar Bagh
15Shakur Basti
16Tri Nagar
17Wazirpur
18Model Town
19Sadar Bazar
20Chandni Chowk
21Matia Mahal
22Ballimaran
23Karol Bagh
24Patel Nagar
25Moti Nagar
26Madipur
27Rajouri Garden
28Hari Nagar
29Tilak Nagar
30Janakpuri
31Vikaspuri
32Uttam Nagar
33Dwarka
34Matiala
35Najafgarh
36Bijwasan
37Palam
38Delhi Cantonment58.47
39Rajinder Nagar
40New Delhi64.16
41Jangpura
42Kasturba Nagar
43Malviya Nagar
44R K Puram
45Mehrauli
46Chhatarpur
47Deoli
48Ambedkar Nagar
49Sangam Vihar
50Greater Kailash
51Kalkaji
52Tughlakabad
53Badarpur
54Okhla
55Trilokpuri
56Kondli
57Patparganj
58Laxmi Nagar
59Vishwas Nagar
60Krishna Nagar
61Gandhi Nagar
62Shahdara
63Seemapuri
64Rohtas Nagar
65Seelampur
66Ghonda
67Babarpur
68Gokalpur73.46
69Mustafabad
70Karawal Nagar

Allegations on Breaking Code of Conduct

BJP's candidate Surjeet Kumar from Mangolpuri was detained on night before Election following allegations of liquor distribution. As per the reports, he was caught distributing liquor to people around 3.30 am. Liquor bottles recovered from a car purportedly owned by him.
AAP lodged a complaint to Election Commission against Kiran Bedi for violating model code of conduct in Krishna Nagar Constituency by holding pad-yatra and asking for votes on the day of Election.

Exit polls

SurveyDateRef
SurveyDateAAPBJPINCOthersRef
India TV-C Voter7 February 201535–4325–330–20
India Today-Cicero7 February 201538–4619–273–50–2
ABP-Nielsen7 February 2015432610
Today's Chanakya7 February 2015482200
Axis7 February 2015531700
News Nation7 February 201541–4523–271–30–1
Data Mineria7 February 2015313540
Actual Results67300

Result

On 10 February 2015, counting was held. AAP won 67 seats and BJP just 3. Bharatiya Janata Party's chief ministerial candidate Kiran Bedi lost to Aam Aadmi Party candidate SK Bagga in the Krishna Nagar constituency by 2277 votes. Congress party candidates lost deposits in 63 of the 70 seats, including senior leaders Ajay Maken, Yoganand Shastri, Kiran Walia and Sharmistha Mukherjee. Arvind Kejriwal took oath as the CM of Delhi on 14 February 2015.

By party

By constituency

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