2016 United States presidential election in Missouri


The 2016 United States presidential election in Missouri was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Missouri voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.
On March 15, 2016, in the presidential primaries, voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian parties' respective nominees for president. Voters could choose any one party's primary in which to vote.
Donald Trump won the election in Missouri with 56.4% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 37.9% of the vote. Trump's 18.5-point margin of victory in the state was almost double that of Mitt Romney's from 2012. Clinton carried only four jurisdictions: Boone County, home to Columbia and the University of Missouri; Jackson County, which includes most of Kansas City; St. Louis County; and St. Louis City.
With 37.9% of the vote, Hillary Clinton obtained the lowest percentage as a Democratic presidential nominee in the state since George McGovern's 37.7% in 1972, further cementing the state's drift towards the Republican Party, and away from its long held status as a bellwether state. Missouri was also one of the eleven states that voted for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 which Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Nine candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:
Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:
The Missouri primary ran on March 15, 2016, alongside those of the Republican, Democratic, and Constitution parties. 40% of the electorate voted to stand uncommitted to any candidate. Austin Petersen, running in his home state, finished second, with 29% of the statewide vote, which was double that of Steve Kerbel from Colorado, who finished third, with 14%. Petersen comfortably won the support of voters in the state's capital, Jefferson City, and its surrounding counties, but was fell heavily behind the uncommitted vote in the state's two largest cities, Kansas City and St. Louis. Kerbel won three counties around Springfield, while Marc Allan Feldman, Cecil Ince, and Rhett Smith all won a sprawl of counties across the state; in most of these counties, however, only a single vote was cast. No votes were cast for Libertarian Party candidates in the northwestern counties of Harrison, Holt, Mercer, and Worth.

General election

Polling

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Missouri as of Election Day.
  1. New York Times: Solid Trump
  2. FiveThirtyEight: Solid Trump
  3. Los Angeles Times: Leans Trump
  4. RealClearPolitics: Likely Trump

    Results

The statewide election results were as follows. The total vote count was 2,828,266.
U.S. President and Vice PresidentPartyVotes% of Votes
Donald J. Trump, Michael R. PenceRepublican1,594,51156.772%
Hillary Rodham Clinton, Timothy Michael KaineDemocratic1,071,06838.135%
Gary Johnson, Bill WeldLibertarian97,3593.466%
Jill Stein, Ajamu BarakaGreen25,4190.905%
Darrell L. Castle, Scott N. BradleyConstitution13,0920.466%
Evan McMullin, Nathan JohnsonWrite-in7,0710.252%
Tom Hoefling, Steve SchulinWrite-in480.002%
Laurence Kotlikoff, Edward LeamerWrite-in280.001%
"Rocky" Roque De La Fuente, Michael SteinbergWrite-in60.000%
Marshall Schoenke, James Creighton Mitchell Jr.Write-in30.000%
Matias Mollin, Andy OliverWrite-in00.0000%

By county

By congressional district

Trump won 6 of 8 congressional districts.
DistrictTrumpClintonRepresentative
19%77%Lacy Clay
53%42%Ann Wagner
67%28%Blaine Luetkemeyer
65%29%Vicky Hartzler
40%55%Emanuel Cleaver
63%31%Sam Graves
70%25%Billy Long
75%21%Jason Smith