2016 United States presidential election in Oklahoma


The 2016 United States presidential election in Oklahoma was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. Oklahoma voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.
On March 1, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Oklahoma voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic and Republican parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party could only vote in their party's primary, while independent voters could only vote in the Democratic primary.
Oklahoma has been a Republican-leaning state since 1952, and a Republican stronghold since 1980, with no signs of weakness since 2000. Donald Trump won the election in Oklahoma with 65.3% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 28.9% of the vote. Considered a safe Republican state, Oklahoma has voted Republican in fifteen of the last sixteen elections. It was also one of two states where Trump won every county, the other being West Virginia. This also marked the fourth consecutive election in which the Republican candidate carried every county in the state.
Gary Johnson, the Libertarian Party candidate, became the first third-party candidate to achieve ballot access in Oklahoma since 2000. He received 5.75% of the vote, the highest percentage for a third party in the state since Ross Perot in 1996. He was the only third-party candidate to successfully file for ballot access in Oklahoma.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

; Results

Republican primary

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:

Polling

General election

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Oklahoma as of Election Day.
  1. Los Angeles Times: Strongly Trump
  2. CNN: Solid Trump
  3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Trump
  4. NBC: Likely Trump
  5. RealClearPolitics: Solid Trump
  6. Fox News: Solid Republican
  7. ABC: Solid Trump

    Slates of Electors

Republican: David Oldham, Teresa Lyn Turner, Mark Thomas, Bobby Cleveland, Lauree Elizabeth Marshall, Charles W. Potts, George W. Wiland, Jr
Libertarian: Erin Adams, Mikel Dillon, Joel Britt Dixon, Rex L. Lawhorn, Ephriam Zachary Knight, Craig A. Dawkins, Mark C. DeShazo
Democrat: Marq Lewis, Bill John Baker, Mark Hammons, Betty McElderry, W. A. Drew Edmondson, Jeannie McDaniel, Rhonda Walters

Statewide results

Analysis

The Republican Party candidate, Donald Trump, carried Oklahoma with a victory margin of 36.39%. While Trump improved over Mitt Romney's 2012 vote total and victory margin, his vote percentage of 65.3% was down from Romney's 66.8%, making 2016 the first time since 1992 the Republican's vote percentage decreased from the previous election. Hillary Clinton's vote percentage of 28.9% is the worst for a Democratic candidate in Oklahoma since George McGovern's 24% in the 1972 election. Clinton however, did make gains in heavily populated Oklahoma County, its surrounding suburban counties, and Tulsa County. In Oklahoma County, Clinton turned a 16.66% advantage for Romney into a 10.5% advantage for Trump, while Trump was held below the 60% mark in Tulsa. Gary Johnson's total was more than twice what was needed to preserve recognized status for the Libertarian Party in the state, meaning that in 2018 the LP will be the first alternative party on the ballot for a gubernatorial election since the Reform Party in 1998.
With 65.32% of the popular vote, Oklahoma would prove to be Trump's third strongest state in the 2016 election after Wyoming and West Virginia. His win in the 2nd Congressional District was the second best of the five congressional districts in Oklahoma that he won, and he also carried the critical Native American vote in the state. The state would also prove to be Gary Johnson's fourth strongest state with 5.75% of the popular vote after New Mexico, North Dakota and Alaska.

Results by county

CountyTrumpTrump %ClintonClinton %JohnsonJohnson %Total
Adair4,78773.50%1,38221.22%3445.28%6,513
Alfalfa1,93385.61%2169.57%1094.83%2,253
Atoka4,08481.39%79515.84%1392.77%5,018
Beaver1,99388.85%1767.85%743.30%2,243
Beckham6,30883.53%96012.71%2843.76%7,552
Blaine2,88476.03%71118.75%1985.22%3,793
Bryan10,47875.83%2,80420.29%5363.88%13,818
Caddo6,48269.34%2,42025.89%4464.77%9,348
Canadian39,98672.34%11,67421.12%3,6186.55%55,278
Carter13,75274.20%4,00221.59%7804.21%18,534
Cherokee9,99460.61%5,45633.09%1,0406.31%16,490
Choctaw4,20677.52%1,06719.66%1532.82%5,426
Cimarron96389.25%716.58%454.17%1,079
Cleveland62,53857.14%38,82935.48%8,0837.39%109,450
Coal1,89879.12%41117.13%903.75%2,399
Comanche19,18358.91%11,46335.20%1,9185.89%32,564
Cotton2,05478.94%42416.30%1244.77%2,602
Craig4,28374.04%1,25221.64%2504.32%5,785
Creek21,57574.84%5,84120.26%1,4144.90%28,830
Custer7,82674.24%2,10419.96%6115.80%10,541
Delaware11,82675.25%3,31121.07%5793.68%15,716
Dewey1,96587.41%2229.88%612.71%2,248
Ellis1,61188.18%1558.48%613.34%1,827
Garfield16,00973.74%4,39720.25%1,3046.01%21,710
Garvin8,25378.26%1,85517.59%4384.15%10,546
Grady17,31677.70%3,88217.42%1,0884.88%22,286
Grant1,82783.01%28813.08%863.91%2,201
Greer1,48278.16%32317.04%914.80%1,896
Harmon71573.18%22523.03%373.79%977
Harper1,31887.93%1348.94%473.14%1,499
Haskell3,70178.11%88218.62%1553.27%4,738
Hughes3,38874.86%96121.23%1773.91%4,526
Jackson5,96976.47%1,47318.87%3644.66%7,806
Jefferson1,91081.28%36515.53%753.19%2,350
Johnston3,09376.98%78619.56%1393.46%4,018
Kay12,17272.44%3,73822.25%8935.31%16,803
Kingfisher5,15684.10%78612.82%1893.08%6,131
Kiowa2,59674.32%76721.96%1303.72%3,493
Latimer3,10076.43%79719.65%1593.92%4,056
Le Flore13,36277.59%3,25018.87%6093.54%17,221
Lincoln10,85477.39%2,43017.33%7415.28%14,025
Logan13,63371.83%4,42822.38%1,0985.79%18,979
Love2,92277.12%73519.40%1323.48%3,789
Major2,94886.53%3109.10%1494.37%3,407
Marshall4,20676.58%1,09619.96%1903.46%5,492
Mayes11,55573.52%3,42321.78%7394.70%15,717
McClain13,16978.12%2,89417.17%7954.72%16,858
McCurtain8,65680.70%1,80216.80%2682.50%10,726
McIntosh5,50569.13%2,12326.66%3354.21%7,963
Murray4,17575.52%1,08719.66%2664.81%5,528
Muskogee15,04362.12%7,97732.94%1,1964.94%24,216
Noble3,71576.16%90118.47%2625.37%4,878
Nowata3,32178.38%74217.51%1744.11%4,237
Okfuskee2,80071.01%94323.92%2005.07%3,943
Oklahoma141,56951.68%112,81341.18%19,5607.14%273,943
Okmulgee8,94464.12%4,38531.44%6204.44%13,949
Osage12,57766.31%5,59729.31%7924.18%18,966
Ottawa7,63171.38%2,58424.17%4754.44%10,690
Pawnee4,72974.31%1,34421.12%2914.57%6,364
Payne16,65159.98%8,78831.66%2,3218.36%27,760
Pittsburg12,75373.84%3,71121.49%8074.67%17,271
Pontotoc10,43170.33%3,63724.52%7635.14%14,831
Pottawatomie17,84870.12%6,01523.63%1,5896.24%25,452
Pushmataha3,58179.88%74816.69%1543.44%4,483
Roger Mills1,54787.95%1518.58%613.47%1,759
Rogers30,91375.65%7,90219.34%2,0475.01%40,862
Seminole5,61369.84%2,07125.77%3534.39%8,037
Sequoyah10,88875.42%3,06121.20%4883.38%14,437
Stephens14,18279.21%3,08617.24%6363.55%17,904
Texas4,62179.95%85814.84%3015.21%5,780
Tillman1,94471.84%65724.28%1053.88%2,706
Tulsa144,25858.39%87,84735.56%14,9496.05%247,054
Wagoner23,00573.50%6,72321.48%1,5725.02%31,300
Washington15,82571.21%5,04822.71%1,3516.08%22,224
Washita3,85483.22%58812.70%1894.08%4,631
Woods2,94780.34%52214.23%1995.43%3,668
Woodward6,34783.57%87311.49%3754.94%7,595
All Counties949,13665.32%420,37528.93%83,4815.75%1,452,992

By congressional district

Trump won all five congressional districts.
DistrictTrumpClintonRepresentative
61%33%Jim Bridenstine
73%23%Markwayne Mullin
74%21%Frank Lucas
66%28%Tom Cole
53%40%Steve Russell