2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire
The 2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. New Hampshire voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Hampshire has 4 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
Primary elections
The New Hampshire primary, traditionally the first, was held on February 11, 2020, roughly a week after the Iowa caucuses.Republican primary
The New Hampshire Republican primary took place on February 11, 2020. Incumbent president Donald Trump won the Republican primary with 85.6 percent of the vote, clinching all of the state's 22 pledged delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.Democratic primary
won the Democratic primary with 25.6 percent of the vote, ahead of second-place Pete Buttigieg, who received 24.3 percent of the vote. Both Sanders and Buttigieg received nine delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention. Amy Klobuchar finished in third place with 19.7 percent of the vote and earned six delegates. Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden finished in fourth and fifth place, respectively, and each received zero delegates.General election
Predictions
Polling
Aggregate pollsDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | Other | Undecided |
Jul 16–28, 2020 | 1,890 | – | 40% | 53% | 4% | 3% | |
Jun 18–22, 2020 | 936 | – | 39% | 52% | 6% | 3% | |
Jun 13–16, 2020 | 1,072 | ± 3% | 42% | 49% | 5% | 3% | |
May 14–18, 2020 | 790 | – | 46% | 44% | 5% | 5% | |
Apr 23–27, 2020 | 820 | ± 3.4% | 42% | 50% | 2% | 7% | |
Feb 19–25, 2020 | 569 | ± 4.1% | 46% | 44% | 8% | 2% | |
Feb 8–10, 2020 | 1,100 | ± 3% | 46% | 44% | 11% | – | |
Feb 4–5, 2020 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 49% | 45% | – | – | |
Jan 20–23, 2020 | 2,223 | ± 2.6% | 43% | 51% | 2% | 5% | |
Nov 23–26, 2019 | 637 | ± 3.8% | 48% | 52% | – | – | |
Nov 23–26, 2019 | 547 | ± 4.1% | 42% | 46% | – | 13% | |
Nov 13–18, 2019 | 512 | ± 4.3% | 43% | 51% | – | 6% | |
Sep 6–9, 2019 | 1,041 | ± 3.0% | 45% | 55% | – | – | |
Aug 2–6, 2019 | 505 | ± 4.4% | 40% | 53% | – | 7% | |
Feb 21–22, 2019 | 910 | ± 3.2% | 45% | 55% | – | – | |
Mar 21–27, 2018 | 1,365 | ± 3.0% | 39% | 53% | – | 8% |
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Bernie Sanders | Other | Undecided |
Feb 19–25, 2020 | 571 | ± 4.1% | 46% | 46% | 6% | 1% | |
Feb 8–10, 2020 | 1,100 | ± 3% | 47% | 44% | 9% | – | |
Feb 4–5, 2020 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 45% | – | – | |
Jan 20–23, 2020 | 2,223 | ± 2.6% | 43% | 51% | 2% | 4% | |
Nov 23–26, 2019 | 637 | ± 3.8% | 48% | 52% | – | – | |
Nov 23–26, 2019 | 547 | ± 4.1% | 42% | 49% | – | 9% | |
Nov 13–18, 2019 | 512 | ± 4.3% | 46% | 49% | – | 6% | |
Sep 6–9, 2019 | 1,041 | ± 3.0% | 48% | 53% | – | – | |
Aug 2–6, 2019 | 505 | ± 4.4% | 41% | 51% | – | 8% | |
Feb 21–22, 2019 | 910 | ± 3.2% | 45% | 55% | – | – | |
Jan 16–21, 2019 | 593 | ± 5.3% | 41% | 54% | – | 5% | |
Mar 21–27, 2018 | 1,365 | ± 3.0% | 49% | 45% | – | 5% |
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Undecided |
Feb 8-10, 2020 | 1,100 | ± 3% | 46.8% | 40.5% | – | 12.7% | |
Jan 20–23, 2020 | 2,223 | ± 2.6% | 44% | 48% | 2% | 5% | |
Jan 16–21, 2020 | 593 | – | 41% | 54% | – | 5% | |
Nov 23–26, 2019 | 637 | ± 3.8% | 51% | 49% | – | – | |
Nov 23–26, 2019 | 547 | ± 4.1% | 43% | 47% | – | 10% | |
Nov 13–18, 2019 | 512 | ± 4.3% | 46% | 47% | – | 7% | |
Sep 6–9, 2019 | 1,041 | ± 3.0% | 51% | 49% | – | – | |
Aug 2–6, 2019 | 505 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 49% | – | 7% | |
Feb 21–22, 2019 | 910 | ± 3.2% | 48% | 52% | – | – | |
Jan 16–21, 2019 | 593 | ± 5.3% | 41% | 54% | – | 5% | |
Mar 21–27, 2018 | 1,365 | ± 3.0% | 50% | 42% | – | 9% |
Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Michael Bloomberg | Other | Undecided |
Feb 19–25, 2020 | 561 | ± 4.1% | 47% | 33% | 16% | 5% |
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Pete Buttegieg | Other | Undecided |
Feb 19–25, 2020 | 569 | ± 4.1% | 42% | 48% | 7% | 3% | |
Feb 8–10, 2020 | 1,100 | ± 3% | 45.3% | 46.1% | – | 8.6% | |
Jan 20–23, 2020 | 2,223 | ± 2.6% | 41% | 51% | 1% | 6% | |
Nov 23–26, 2019 | 637 | ± 3.8% | 41% | 48% | – | – | |
Nov 23–26, 2019 | 547 | ± 4.1% | 41% | 48% | – | 11% | |
Nov 13–18, 2019 | 512 | ± 4.3% | 42% | 49% | – | 9% | |
Aug 2–6, 2019 | 505 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 49% | – | 9% |
Donald Trump vs. Andrew Yang
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Andrew Yang | Undecided |
November 23-26, 2019 | 637 | ± 3.8% | 51% | 49% | – | |
November 23-26, 2019 | 547 | ± 4.1% | 42% | 46% | 12% | |
September 6–9, 2019 | 1,041 | ± 3.0% | 46% | 54% | – |
Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Cory Booker | Undecided |
Feb 21–22, 2019 | 910 | ± 3.2% | 49% | 51% | – |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Kamala Harris | Undecided |
September 6–9, 2019 | 1,041 | ± 3.0% | 49% | 51% | – | |
August 2–6, 2019 | 505 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 47% | 9% | |
Feb 21–22, 2019 | 910 | ± 3.2% | 48% | 52% | – |
Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Beto O'Rourke | Undecided |
Jan 16–21, 2019 | 593 | ± 5.3% | 41% | 48% | 12% |
with Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, and Howard Schultz
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Bernie Sanders | Howard Schultz | Undecided |
Feb 21–22, 2019 | 910 | ± 3.2% | 42% | 48% | 10% | – |
with Donald Trump, Elizabeth Warren, and Howard Schultz
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Elizabeth Warren | Howard Schultz | Undecided |
Feb 21–22, 2019 | 910 | ± 3.2% | 45% | 44% | 12% | – |
with John Kasich and Joe Biden
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | John Kasich | Joe Biden | Undecided |
Mar 21–27, 2018 | 1,365 | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 8% |
with John Kasich and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | John Kasich | Elizabeth Warren | Undecided |
Mar 21–27, 2018 | 1,365 | ± 3.0% | 52% | 37% | 11% |
with Donald Trump and generic Democrat
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Generic Democrat | Other | Undecided |
Jan 29-Feb 1, 2020 | 892 | – | 36% | 49% | 9% | 7% | |
Aug 13–15, 2018 | 626 | ± 5.4% | 38% | 49% | – | 13% |
with Donald Trump, generic Democrat, and generic third party
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Generic Democrat | Generic third party | Undecided |
Apr 25–28, 2019 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 40% | 43% | 6% | 11% |
with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Generic Opponent | Other | Undecided |
Jan 15-23, 2020 | 1,169 | ± 2.9% | 46% | 49% | 2% | 2% |