2020 Washington gubernatorial election


The 2020 Washington gubernatorial election will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect the governor of Washington, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The top-two primary is scheduled for August 4.
Washington does not have gubernatorial term limits; incumbent Democratic Governor Jay Inslee is eligible to run for a third term. Inslee initially launched a campaign for President of the United States in the 2020 election. When he dropped out of that race in August 2019, he announced he would seek a third term. Several other Democratic political figures considered entering the race if Inslee did not run, including Washington Attorney General Bob Ferguson, but no Democrats have challenged him. Jay Inslee is the first governor to seek a third term since 1972.

Background

Washington has not had a Republican governor since John Spellman left office in 1985, the longest streak of Democratic-party leadership of any state in the country and the third longest streak of one-party leadership after South Dakota, which has not had a Democratic governor since Harvey L. Wollman left office in 1979, and Utah, which has not had a Democratic governor since Scott M. Matheson left office nine days prior to Spellman in 1985. Incumbent Governor Jay Inslee, who previously served in the U.S. House, was first elected to the governorship in the 2012 election and won reelection in 2016.
When Inslee announced his candidacy for President, several political figures expressed interest in running for Governor if Inslee won the Democratic primaries. These included Attorney General Bob Ferguson, Commissioner of Public Lands Hilary Franz and King County executive Dow Constantine. They stated they would only run if Inslee was not, avoiding a primary challenge. So far, Jay Inslee is the sole major Democratic candidate.
Several Republican politicians have announced their own campaigns to challenge Inslee, including businessman Anton Sakharov, Republic police chief Loren Culp, and state senator Phil Fortunato.

Democratic candidates

Declared

Declared

Green Party

Declared

Declared

Washington State is one of few states that holds a top-two primary, meaning that all candidates are listed on the same ballot regardless of party affiliation, and the top two move on to the general election. Most states have party primaries.

Polling

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Jay
Inslee
Tim
Eyman
Loren
Culp
Phil
Fortunato
Joshua
Freed
Anton
Sakharov
Raul
Garcia
Other /
Undecided
July 22–27, 2020513 ± 5.4%55%8%9%3%6%4%16%
July 11–15, 2020402 ± 5.0%46%4%14%2%5%6%24%
May 16–19, 2020650 ± 5.6%50%8%4%6%6%1%2%23%
January 26–28, 20201,103 ± 3.9%39%11%5%4%4%3%34%
December 26–29, 2019405 ± 5%46%7%4%4%5%34%

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Jay
Inslee
Tim
Eyman
Loren
Culp
Phil
Fortunato
Joshua
Freed
Anton
Sakharov
Raul
Garcia
Other /
Undecided
July 22–27, 2020257 86%1%1%1%3%1%7%
July 11–15, 2020162 92%0%1%0%1%0%6%
May 16–19, 2020217 84%1%1%2%0%1%12%
January 26–28, 2020452 73%4%1%0%0%0%22%
December 26–29, 2019168 87%2%0%0%0%12%

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Jay
Inslee
Tim
Eyman
Loren
Culp
Phil
Fortunato
Joshua
Freed
Anton
Sakharov
Raul
Garcia
Other /
Undecided
July 22–27, 2020144 5%20%24%7%12%10%23%
July 11–15, 2020116 3%10%29%5%14%-10%32%
May 16–19, 2020150 7%18%9%6%17%4%6%34%
January 26–28, 2020287 4%11%13%11%11%6%44%
December 26–29, 201999 0%10%12%10%15%--53%

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Jay
Inslee
Tim
Eyman
Loren
Culp
Phil
Fortunato
Joshua
Freed
Anton
Sakharov
Raul
Garcia
Other /
Undecided
July 22–27, 2020103 48%6%10%8%2%4%23%
July 11–15, 2020124 25%5%18%2%2%6%44%
May 16–19, 2020134 43%7%4%13%3%0%0%29%
January 26–28, 2020298 27%22%5%4%2%2%37%
December 26–29, 2019138 28%12%3%4%4%48%

;with Bryant, Constantine, Ferguson and Franz
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Bill
Bryant
Bob
Ferguson
Dow
Constantine
Hillary
Franz
Other /
Undecided
March 8-10, 2019400 ± 4.9%46%25%6%1%21%

Results

General election

Predictions

Polling

;with Jay Inslee and Loren Culp
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Jay
Inslee
Loren
Culp
Other /
Undecided
July 22–27, 2020534 ± 5.2%61%32%7%
May 16–19, 2020530 ± 5.4%56%31%13%

;with Jay Inslee and Tim Eyman
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Jay
Inslee
Tim
Eyman
Other /
Undecided
July 22–27, 2020534 ± 5.2%62%31%7%
May 16–19, 2020530 ± 5.4%60%31%9%

;with Jay Inslee and Phil Fortunato
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Jay
Inslee
Phil
Fortunato
Other /
Undecided
July 22–27, 2020534 ± 5.2%61%32%8%
May 16–19, 2020530 ± 5.4%56%34%10%

;with Jay Inslee and Joshua Freed
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Jay
Inslee
Joshua
Freed
Other /
Undecided
July 22–27, 2020534 ± 5.2%60%31%9%
May 16–19, 2020530 ± 5.4%57%30%13%

;with Jay Inslee and Raul Garcia
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Jay
Inslee
Raul
Garcia
Other /
Undecided
July 22–27, 2020534 ± 5.2%60%32%8%

Results

Candidates are to be determined by the top-two primary election, see above.