American Health Care Act of 2017


The American Health Care Act of 2017 was a bill in the 115th United States Congress. The bill, which was passed by the United States House of Representatives but not by the United States Senate, would have partially repealed the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act.
Republican Party leaders had campaigned on the repeal of the ACA since its passage in 2010, and the 2016 elections gave Republicans unified control of Congress and the presidency for the first time since the ACA came into effect. Upon the start of the 115th Congress, Congressional Republicans sought to pass a partial repeal of the ACA using the reconciliation process, which allows legislation to bypass the Senate filibuster and pass with a simple majority in the Senate. With the support of President Donald Trump, House Republicans introduced the AHCA in early 2017, and the bill passed the House in a close vote on May 4, 2017. All House Democrats, along with several members of the centrist Tuesday Group and some other House Republicans, voted against the AHCA. The bill would have repealed the individual mandate and the employer mandate, dramatically cut Medicaid spending and eligibility, eliminated tax credits for healthcare costs, abolished some taxes on high earners, and altered rules concerning pre-existing conditions and essential health benefits.
Senate Republicans initially sought to pass the Better Care Reconciliation Act of 2017, a healthcare bill containing provisions largely similar to those of the AHCA. The BCRA was never voted on in its original form due to opposition from several Republican senators. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell instead sought to pass the Health Care Freedom Act, which was colloquially referred to as a "skinny repeal" since it would only repeal the individual mandate and the employer mandate. On July 27, the Senate rejected the HCFA in a 51-to-49 vote, with Republican senators Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, and John McCain joining with all Senate Democrats in voting against it. In September 2017, some Republican senators pushed a renewed effort to repeal the ACA, but their bill never received a vote in the Senate. The 115th Congress ultimately did not pass an ACA repeal bill, though it did pass the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, which repealed the individual mandate.
The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office projected that the AHCA would have increased the number of uninsured people by 23 million over 10 years, but would have decreased the federal budget deficit by $119 billion over the same period. Polling consistently showed that the AHCA was deeply unpopular with the American populace during and after its evaluations in Congress. Business Insider stated that the AHCA was "the least popular major bill in decades", and major medical organizations, including the American Medical Association and the American Academy of Pediatrics, strongly condemned the bill and excoriated its supporters in Congress.

Background

The ACA, a major reform of health care in the United States, was passed in 2010 by the 111th Congress and signed by President Barack Obama in 2010 after nearly a year of bipartisan debate. The ACA draws from many conservative ideas proposed by the Heritage Foundation in the 1980s and 1990s, which included a mandate that all have coverage, subsidy tax credits, and Medicaid reform. Heritage proposed funding program costs by taxing health insurance premiums paid by employers on behalf of workers, which would have affected all workers covered by employers, while ACA primarily relied on tax rate increases on roughly the top 5% of households.
From President Obama's inauguration in January 2009 until the November 2010 elections, both houses of Congress and the presidency were controlled by the Democratic Party. During the 2012 presidential election, Republican nominee Mitt Romney, running against Obama, promised to repeal the ACA, despite its similarity to Romneycare. After Romney's defeat, the ACA remained in effect for the duration of Obama's presidency despite Republican efforts to repeal it. In the 114th Congress, Republicans passed a bill that would have repealed much of the ACA, but the bill was vetoed by President Obama. After winning the 2016 presidential election, President Donald Trump promised to "repeal and replace" the ACA with a new law. The 2016 elections left Republicans in control of the executive and legislative branches of the U.S. government, but with fifty-two seats in the one-hundred member Senate, Republicans would still have to rely on at least some Senate Democrats to overcome a filibuster. However, Senate rules provide for a special budget rule called reconciliation, which allows certain budget-related bills to bypass the filibuster and be enacted with a simple majority vote. Republican leaders were seeking to pass the AHCA through the Senate by using the reconciliation rule.
U.S. healthcare costs were approximately $3.2 trillion or nearly $10,000 per person on average in 2015. Major categories of expense include hospital care, physician and clinical services, and prescription drugs. U.S. costs in 2016 were substantially higher than other OECD countries, at 17.2% GDP versus 12.4% GDP for the next most expensive country. For scale, a 5% GDP difference represents about $1 trillion or $3,000 per person. Some of the many reasons cited for the cost differential with other countries include: Higher administrative costs of a private system with multiple payment processes; higher costs for the same products and services; more expensive volume/mix of services with higher usage of more expensive specialists; aggressive treatment of very sick elderly versus palliative care; less use of government intervention in pricing; and higher income levels driving greater demand for healthcare. Healthcare costs are a fundamental driver of health insurance costs, which leads to coverage affordability challenges for millions of families. There is ongoing debate whether the current law and the Republican alternatives do enough to address the cost challenge.

Overview

Both the Republican House AHCA and Senate BCRA bills have proposed major reforms relative to current law that would substantially reduce the number of persons covered, moderately lower the budget deficit over a decade, reverse the tax increases on the top 5%, dramatically cut Medicaid payments that benefit lower-income persons, and expand choice by allowing lower quality insurance to be purchased at lower prices for the young and middle-aged.
Key provisions of the Republican Senate BCRA take effect over several years and include:
Public opinion regarding the Republican House and Senate bills was very negative, with approval ratings between 12-38%, and disapproval ratings between 41% and 62%, measured between March and June 2017. Views were split along party lines. For example, the monthly Kaiser Family Foundation health tracking poll for May 2017 indicated that:
Health care experts from across the political spectrum – liberal, moderate, and conservative – agreed that the House Republican health care bill was unworkable and suffered from fatal flaws, although specific objections varied depending on ideological perspective. Experts agreed that the bill fell far short of the goals laid forth by President Donald Trump during his 2016 campaign – "Affordable coverage for everyone; lower deductibles and health care costs; better care; and zero cuts to Medicaid" – because the bill was "almost certain" to reduce overall health care coverage and increase deductibles and would phase out the Medicaid expansion. Among the key concerns identified by health-care experts were that the tax credits funded at the level proposed in the bill are insufficient to pay for individual insurance, and could lead to Americans dropping out of the health care market; the bill's elimination of the ACA's community rating provision would increase cost disparities between age groups and would increase premiums for Americans more prone to illness; the dropping of healthy people from the health insurance market could lead to insurer "death spirals" that would decrease choice; and the phaseout of the Medicaid expansion was likely to result in a loss of healthcare for poorer Americans.

Estimated impact of the Republican AHCA and BCRA

The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office has evaluated the AHCA and BCRA with respect to health insurance coverage, impact on the annual budget deficit, cost of insurance, and quality of insurance. Other groups have evaluated some of these elements, as well as the distributional impact of the tax changes by income level and impact on job creation. The results of these analyses are as follows:

Health insurance coverage

According to each of the CBO scores, passage of the Republican bills would result in a dramatic reduction in the number of persons with health insurance, relative to current law.
CBO has evaluated the impact on the budget deficit in each of its scores, generally finding a moderate reduction relative to current law:
For scale, CBO has estimated that the U.S. will add approximately $9.4 trillion to the debt total over the 2018-2027 period, based on laws in place as of January 2017. The $321 billion therefore represents a reduction of about 3.5% of the total debt increase over the decade, while the $150 billion is about 1.6%.

Insurance costs and quality

There are many variables that affect premiums, deductibles, and out-of-pocket amounts, including age and health of plan participants, availability of subsidies, funding for high-risk pools, required insurance coverage elements, lifetime limits, maximum ratio of prices charged to older persons versus younger, and the quality of insurance offered. Regarding quality, the "actuarial value" is an estimate of the percentage of total cost that a particular insurance plan is expected to cover. CBO reported that:
The current law established two taxes on high-income individuals, via a 0.9% Medicare payroll surtax on earnings over that threshold and a 3.8% tax on net investment income. The latter tax is steeply progressive, with the top 1% paying 90% of the tax, as investment income is highly concentrated with the wealthy. The ACA also established a penalty tax for individuals without adequate insurance, an excise tax on employers with 50 or more workers who offer insufficient coverage, annual fees on health insurance providers, and the "Cadillac tax" on generous employer-sponsored health plans. Combined with subsidies that primarily benefit low-income households, the law significantly reduced income inequality after taxes and transfers.
The Republican bills essentially repeal all of the taxes, penalties and fees and postpone the "Cadillac tax" further. The Tax Policy Center estimated in March 2017 that the AHCA would significantly reduce taxes for the wealthy, with those IRS tax units earning over $200,000 per year receiving 70.6% of the benefit or a reduction of $5,680 in annual taxes on average. Those with incomes over $1 million would see a tax decrease of $51,410 on average, receiving 46% of the benefit. In general, those with incomes over $50,000 would see a tax cut, while those with income below $50,000 would see a tax increase. Those with income below $10,000 would see a tax cut as well, but this benefit would be offset overall by reductions in Medicaid availability. The effects overall would worsen income inequality.
The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities reported that "The House bill would represent the largest transfer in modern U.S. history from low- and moderate-income people to the very wealthy." CBPP also wrote: "Millionaires would gain roughly $40 billion in tax cuts annually...roughly equivalent to the $38 billion that 32 million households in poverty would lose from cuts to their tax credits and Medicaid."

Medicaid

is the U.S. program for low-income children, adults, seniors and people with disabilities, covering one in five Americans. It is the primary payer of nursing home care. The ACA expanded Medicaid eligibility; 31 states and the District of Columbia implemented the expansion. Approximately 41% of Medicaid enrollees are white, 25% are Hispanic, and 22% are black. The proportion of white recipients in key swing states are 67% in Ohio, 59% in Michigan, and 58% in Pennsylvania. About 48% of recipients are children.
Most of the cost savings under AHCA and BCRA is due to reductions in Medicaid spending and coverage relative to current law. CBO estimated that there would be 15 million fewer Medicaid enrollees relative to current law by 2026, the largest component of the reduced coverage discussed above. CBO estimated that Medicaid spending under BCRA would be 26% lower in 2026 and 35% lower in 2036 relative to current law. This would reduce Medicaid spending in 2036 from 2.4% GDP under current law to 1.6% GDP. The reductions are driven by reduced funding to states for those who became covered under the Medicaid expansion in the current law, reducing the inflation index used to compute per-enrollee payments to states, and eliminating coverage mandates. While the nominal spending amounts continue to rise but at a slower pace, adjusted for inflation the amounts are actually cut moderately relative to 2017 levels.

Jobs

According to researchers at the Milken Institute School of Public Health at George Washington University, the AHCA legislation would lead to a loss of 924,000 jobs by 2026. The group also studied the BCRA, which would cost an estimated 1.45 million jobs by 2026, including over 900,000 in healthcare. The stimulus effects from tax cuts would initially create jobs, but would be offset by the larger declines in spending as the various parts of the law take effect. Further, gross state products would be $162 billion lower in 2026. States that expanded Medicaid would bear the brunt of the economic impact, as government funds would be reduced more significantly.

Exchange stability

Under both the ACA and the AHCA, CBO reported that the health exchange marketplaces would remain stable. Yale Law School professor Abbe R. Gluck, the director of the Solomon Center for Health Law and Policy, writes that Republican elected officials have taken a variety of steps to "sabotage" the ACA, creating uncertainty that has likely adversely impacted enrollment and insurer participation, and then insisting that the exchanges are in difficulty as an argument for repealing the ACA. Washington Post columnist Dana Milbank has made the same argument. Health insurance writer Louise Norris states that Republicans sabotaged the ACA through:
The bills would allow states to continue to enroll persons in the ACA Medicaid expansion through January 1, 2020, and would disallow further enrollment after that date. The AHCA will include age-based tax credits for those who earn less than $75,000, or $150,000 for joint filers. The bill would have required insurance companies to cover pre-existing conditions. The AHCA used a standard of 'continuous coverage', defined by a 63-day coverage gap, where an individual who currently has insurance and is changing insurers will not pay a higher rate with their new insurer. Individuals who wished to buy insurance but were outside of the coverage gap would have paid a 30 percent premium surcharge for one year and then return to standard rates. Both healthy and the sick were required to pay the surcharge, which may have caused healthier persons to remain outside of the market, causing overall health care costs to rise.

Accuracy of CBO coverage forecasts

In general, CBO has been more accurate than other significant forecasting entities regarding the coverage impact of the ACA/Obamacare. It has been very accurate with respect to forecasting the number of uninsured and change in uninsured, but off significantly in forecasting the number of persons who would enroll in the exchanges. Instead, many more persons retained their employer-based plan than CBO had anticipated. CBO revises its forecasts for health insurance coverage due to current law annually.

Initial version

The two bills that constituted the AHCA were introduced into the House Energy and Commerce Committee and the House Ways and Means Committee on March 8, 2017 and passed both committees the next day. Both committees approved the AHCA on a party-line vote without a CBO report, prompting criticism from Democrats. House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi argued that the bill should not proceed through Congress until the CBO completed its analysis of the bill. Representative Richard Neal, the ranking Democratic member of the House Ways and Means Committee, stated: "To consider a bill of this magnitude without a CBO score is not only puzzling and concerning, but also irresponsible." Trump administration officials, including budget director Mick Mulvaney and economic adviser Gary Cohn, preemptively attacked the CBO, with Cohn saying that the CBO's score would be "meaningless". These criticisms from the White House are unusual: prior administrations of both parties had refrained from questioning the CBO's credibility, and many members of Congress respect the CBO as a neutral body.
The bill next went to the House Budget Committee, which passed it on March 16 by 19 to 17 votes, with three Republicans from the conservative Freedom Caucus joining Democrats in opposition. It next went to the Rules Committee, which sets the terms of the debate before a bill comes to the full House. A House vote was initially scheduled for March 23, but was delayed for at least a day after Republican leaders were unable to find enough votes for passage. On March 24, with both moderate and far-right Republican lawmakers opposing the bill, Speaker Ryan and President Trump chose to withdraw the bill from consideration rather than go through with a full House vote that would have failed.
The comparatively "lightning fast" legislative movement for the AHCA through the House was in contrast to the Affordable Care Act, which took months of negotiations, committee markup, and debate before passage in 2010. The quick process prompted complaints from Democrats "that the Republicans were rushing to approve a repeal bill without hearing from consumers, health care providers, insurance companies or state officials – and without having estimates of the cost or the impact on coverage from the Congressional Budget Office".
In House committees, Democratic representatives offered more than 100 amendments to the legislation, including amendments that "would have required the law to guarantee no one would lose insurance, hospitals would not see an increase in uncompensated care, the deficit would not increase, taxes would not go up on people making less than $250,000, and that people over 55 years old would not lose benefits or pay higher out-of-pocket costs." Democratic Representative Joe Crowley of New York offered an amendment that during the 2010 Affordable Care Act debate had been proposed by Republican Representative Kevin Brady of Texas, requiring "that the bill be posted online for 72 hours before any votes were taken on it, and that every member put a statement in the Congressional Record stating he or she had read the bill." All of these Democratic amendments were rejected, as Brady ruled that the amendments were "not germane" to the bill, and the Republican majority repeatedly upheld these rulings.

Division among House Republicans

In the days leading up to the vote, which was originally scheduled for March 23, 2017, there was increased division among House Republicans over the replacement, causing concerns among Republican Party leadership over having the votes needed to pass the bill. Among Republican defectors from the bill, the largest opposition came from members of the House Freedom Caucus, which consists of some of the most conservative members in the House. The Freedom Caucus members, among their primary objections to the bill, were not convinced that the healthcare replacement effectively abolished some elements of the Affordable Care Act, most prominently the essential health benefits. To achieve success in the House, Republicans could not afford more than twenty-one members of their own party voting against the bill, and several days before the vote, dissent within the party, largely from the Freedom Caucus, was a significant threat to its passage. Beyond the conservative members of the Freedom Caucus, there was continued opposition to the bill from more moderate Republicans in the House, such as from members of the center-right Tuesday Group, where there were concerns about loss of coverage and the potential of rising insurance costs.
Amid the division between the Republicans, the party leadership, which was led by House Speaker Paul Ryan, attempted to ease concerns among the Freedom Caucus and others. President Trump also held numerous meetings with Republicans in the House leading up to the vote, though after negotiations with the Freedom Caucus over the ACA's essential health benefits, there was still a considerable amount of opposition from moderates and members of the Freedom Caucus alike. On the day of the scheduled vote, which coincided with the seven-year anniversary of the ACA's signing into law, party leadership continued to struggle with getting the required votes for the bill, and the vote was rescheduled for the following day, March 24, 2017, as requested by the White House.

Withdrawal ahead of vote

The night before the rescheduled vote, President Trump, in a final effort to negotiate with those opposing the bill, announced to the House Republicans that the vote the following day would be their only chance to repeal the Affordable Care Act, a goal long sought after by Republicans in Congress. The following morning the bill was brought to the House floor after being approved by the House Rules Committee for four hours of debate preceding the vote, which was expected in the afternoon. It was reported that a couple hours before the expected vote, Ryan made a sudden visit to the White House to meet with Trump, in which Ryan told Trump that the bill did not have enough votes to pass in the House. Shortly after the time of the expected vote it was announced that the Republicans were withdrawing the AHCA from consideration, a decision made after Ryan met with Trump. Following the withdrawal, Ryan stated in a press conference that the country is "going to be living with Obamacare for the foreseeable future", while Trump said that it was tough to pass the bill without support from Democrats; Ryan and Trump both said they were going to move forward on other policy issues.

Revised version

Through the various iterations of bill it has been nicknamed variously as Trumpcare, Ryancare, Republicare, and pejoratively as Obamacare-Lite, and Wealthcare.

MacArthur Amendment

In April 2017, House Republicans tried to reconcile their divisions with the proposed MacArthur Amendment. The MacArthur Amendment, developed by Representative Tom MacArthur of the Tuesday Group and Representative Mark Meadows of the House Freedom Caucus. The language of the proposed amendment became available on April 25, 2017. The amendment allows insurers to charge enrollees in their 50s and early 60s more than younger enrollees. It also allows states to waive essential health benefits and certain sections of the community rating program. As revised by the MacArthur Amendment, the ACHA weakens protections for patients with preexisting conditions; under this version of the bill, insurers would be able to charge people significantly more if they had a pre-existing condition.

Passage in House

On May 3, House Republicans announced that they had enough votes to pass the bill, after amending it to include an additional $8 billion over five years to subsidize insurance for people with pre-existing conditions. On May 4, 2017, the House of Representatives voted in favor of repealing the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act and passing the American Health Care Act with a narrow vote of 217 to 213. Upon the bill's passing, congressional Republicans rushed to the White House for a televised celebration. 217 Republican Congressmen voted for the bill, while all 193 Democrats and 20 Republicans voted against it. Most of the Republicans who voted against the bill are members of the centrist Tuesday Group, and only one member of the Freedom Caucus voted against the bill.

Senate bills

The Senate developed several amendments / bills to modify the AHCA bill that had passed in the House, but none had received enough votes in the Senate to pass as of July 28, 2017. These included the:
Under the various Senate bills, the CBO estimated that relative to current law, millions more would be without health insurance and the budget deficit would be reduced moderately. The effect on insurance premiums would vary widely in the exchange marketplaces depending on the specific legislation.

Better Care Reconciliation Act of 2017 (BCRA)

In the Senate, Majority Leader Mitch McConnell appointed a group of 13 Republican Senators to prepare a bill. Democrats, independents, and other Republicans were excluded from the process and given no information until the new bill was released on June 22, 2017. The Senate bill is called the Better Care Reconciliation Act of 2017. The bill's differences from the House bill reflected divergent opinions within the Republican caucus. The phase-out of the Medicaid expansion would be made more gradual, but funding for Medicaid as it stood before the ACA would be reduced. Eligibility for premium subsidies would be tightened for middle-class recipients, but some aid would be extended to enrollees below the poverty level in states that did not expand Medicaid.
One health-care issue is the problem that healthy people will go without insurance and then buy coverage only if they need it, such as after an accident or a diagnosis of serious illness. Insurers that must cover such people have to charge high premiums to everyone, to be able to meet those expenses. The ACA addressed this problem by requiring everyone to purchase insurance and imposing a tax penalty on those who did not. This individual mandate was one of the most unpopular parts of the ACA, so the Republicans wanted to repeal it. The AHCA would replace it with a provision that, if someone went without coverage for 63 days or more, an insurer could add a 30 percent surcharge to the premium. The original draft of the BCRA would have repealed the ACA's individual mandate but it did not include the AHCA's continuous coverage provision. A few days after the draft's release, therefore, it was amended to provide that someone who went without coverage for 63 days or more would have to wait six months to obtain new coverage.

Obamacare Repeal Reconciliation Act of 2017 (ORRA)

The CBO evaluated the bill, concluding that relative to current law it would reduce the budget deficit by $473 billion over 10 years, increase the number of uninsured by 17 million in 2018 and 27 million in 2020, and increase average premiums in the marketplaces by roughly 25% in 2018 and by 50% in 2020. Roughly half the U.S. population would live in areas with no insurers participating in the marketplaces.

Health Care Freedom Act of 2017 (HCFA)

On July 14, Senator John McCain had surgery to remove a blood clot. The next day, McConnell announced that the vote on proceeding to consider the bill would be deferred until McCain returned from his recuperation period. Senate Democrats urged the Republican leadership to "use this additional time to hold public hearings... on the policies in the bill, especially the radically conservative Cruz/Lee proposal released to the public only five days ago." On July 17, Senators Mike Lee and Jerry Moran came out against the bill, joining Rand Paul and Susan Collins who already opposed it, making it impossible for Republicans alone to pass it through. It was later revealed that John McCain was diagnosed with brain cancer, which was discovered during his surgery.
On July 25, Senate Republicans released a significantly stripped-down version of the healthcare bill, containing only fundamental provisions of the repeal that all Republicans agreed on, designed to only pass the motion to proceed to floor debate, still allowing further amendments to be added on the floor before final passage. The motion to proceed on this version of the bill passed in a 51–50 vote, with a tie-breaking vote cast by Vice President Mike Pence; Senators Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski diverged from their party and voted against the measure. Senator John McCain traveled to Washington for the vote, returning to Senate for the first time since his cancer diagnosis.
After several failed votes within 24 hours of the bill being passed to floor debate, including a repeal without replace bill, the Republican senate leadership attempted to pass the Health Care Freedom Act, referred to as a "skinny repeal." The skinny repeal, which was still being drafted on July 27, only repeals some provisions of the ACA, among them the individual mandate, requiring that all Americans buy insurance or pay a tax penalty, and parts of the employer mandate, which requires employers with greater than 50 employees to pay for health care for their employees. The bill was brought to the floor vote and the vote reached the predicted 49–50, majority being in favor of keeping the ACA as is. A tie would have allowed Vice President Mike Pence to cast a final tie breaking vote. The final vote was to be McCain, who walked to the floor in near silence and held out his hand. In a very climactic moment, he gave a thumbs down and the bill was rejected 49–51, with two other Republican senators, Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski, siding with all Democrats and Independents.

Graham-Cassidy

On September 13, 2017, Senators Graham, Cassidy, Heller, and Johnson released a draft amendment to the bill that "repeals the structure and architecture of Obamacare and replaces it with a block grant given annually to states". However, it was not voted upon due to lack of support. On October 12, 2017, due to this failure of Congress to pass a repeal, President Donald Trump issued Executive Order 13813, titled an Executive Order to Promote Healthcare Choice and Competition.

Reaction

Initial version

President Trump endorsed the bill after its release, calling it "our wonderful new Healthcare Bill" on Twitter. Speaker of the House Paul Ryan referred to the bill as a "conservative wish list" that would provide for "monumental, exciting conservative reform". Economist Douglas Holtz-Eakin described the AHCA as "a good start".
But conservative members of the Republican Party quickly raised skepticism about the proposed reform as they would prefer a complete repeal of the PPACA. The White House sent Mick Mulvaney, executive of the Office of Management and Budget, to convince members of the House Freedom Caucus to support the legislation. According to numerous reports, Mulvaney was unsuccessful. Shortly after the meeting caucus chairman Mark Meadows said, "No new position tonight. Our position is the same. We believe we need to do a clean repeal bill."
A number of conservative groups have also criticized the bill for not being enough of a repeal, calling it "Obamacare 2.0". The Koch brother-supported organizations Americans for Prosperity and Freedom Partners have indicated their intention to put together a multimillion-dollar fund in support of re-election campaigns for conservative lawmakers who take a stand against the bill.
The AARP released a statement opposing the bill. Stating, "On top of the hefty premium increase for consumers, big drug companies and other special interests get a sweetheart deal". The American Medical Association released a statement opposing the bill. America's Essential Hospitals, American Hospital Association, Association of American Medical Colleges, Catholic Health Association of the United States, Children's Hospital Association, Federation of American Hospitals, and National Association of Psychiatric Health Systems also stated their opposition in a joint letter. Conservative groups, including Heritage Action, the Cato Institute, Americans for Prosperity, FreedomWorks, and the Tea Party Patriots all oppose the bill.
Progressive groups, including MoveOn.org, American Bridge, the Center for American Progress, and Our Revolution, were resolutely opposed to the bill, as expected. Economist and New York Times columnist Paul Krugman stated that the bill's "awfulness is almost surreal", writing that what Republican congressional leadership "came up with instead was a dog's breakfast that conservatives are, with some justice, calling Obamacare 2.0. But a better designation would be Obamacare 0.5, because it's a half-baked plan that accepts the logic and broad outline of the Affordable Care Act while catastrophically weakening key provisions." On March 23, 2017, former President Obama hailed the successes of the Affordable Care Act, including 20 million more Americans insured, preexisting conditions covered, young people staying on their parents' plans until 26, lowered costs for women's health care and free preventive care.

Later versions

After the House passed the AHCA, but before any legislation passed the Senate, Republican congressmen gathered with Trump to celebrate in the Rose Garden. In his speech, Trump described the bill as "very incredibly well-crafted." Republican Senators expressed less enthusiasm about the bill and opted to draft their own bill instead of taking up the House's version. Congressional Democrats and interest groups, such as the AARP, American Medical Association, ACLU, and Planned Parenthood, expressed their opposition to the bill.
At a lunch with Senate Republicans in June 2017, Trump reportedly called the AHCA "mean, mean, mean" and a "son of a bitch". He reportedly implored the Senators to make their version of the bill "more generous, more kind." Later that month, Trump confirmed that he had used the term "mean" to describe the bill.
On June 16, 2017, a bipartisan group of seven current Governors sent a letter to Senate Majority and Minority Leaders Mitch McConnell and Chuck Schumer criticizing the House's legislation and requesting a bipartisan effort in the Senate to reform healthcare. The signatories include Governors John Kasich, Steve Bullock, Brian Sandoval , John Bel Edwards , John Hickenlooper , Charlie Baker , and Tom Wolf.
When the Senate bill text was released, four conservative Republican Senators – Ted Cruz, Ron Johnson, Mike Lee, and Rand Paul – released a joint statement saying that they would not vote for the bill in that form. This was seen as an attempt to move the bill to the right by bringing pressure on McConnell. The next day, Senator Dean Heller of Nevada announced his opposition. He emphasized the effect on Medicaid, noting that the bill's cuts to Medicaid would "pull the rug" out from under many Nevada residents.

Public opinion

An analysis of national polls by MIT political scientist Christopher Warshaw and Stanford political economist David Broockman showed that the AHCA "is the most unpopular piece of major legislation Congress has considered in decades" more so than Troubled Asset Relief Program legislation and much more unpopular than the ACA. Their estimates of survey results indicate that there is not majority support for the bill in any state.
Public opinion polls show high levels of public opposition to the Republican health-care proposals. Approval ratings vary between 12-38%, and disapproval ratings between 41% and 62%, measured between March and June 2017. Views were split along party lines. For example, the monthly Kaiser Family Foundation health tracking poll for May 2017 indicated that:
The following are the results of polls of public opinion regarding the AHCA.

2018 elections

The Niskanen Center stated that the GOP's support for AHCA in 2017 was a major factor in the party's heavy House losses in the 2018 midterm elections, costing the party its majority in the House, and Snopes publicly identified 33 House Republicans who were voted out of office largely due to their votes in favor of the AHCA, including in states where Republicans control most House seats, such as Kansas and Utah.

Comparison between versions

This table describes major differences and similarities between the ACA, the AHCA as considered in the House in March 2017, the AHCA as passed by the House on May 4, 2017, and the BCRA. The Kaiser Family Foundation has also summarized the differences in a comprehensive table.