Opinion polling for the next Italian general election In the run-up to the next Italian general election , various organisations have been carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intention . Results of such opinion polls are displayed in this article. The date range is from after the previous general election , held on 4 March 2018 , to the present day . Poll results are reported at the dates when the fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.Starting from the beginning of 2019, some polling agencies have polled Free and Equal , others The Left , some others both. The two electoral lists, one for the 2018 general election and the other for the 2019 European Parliament election , have slightly different but partially overlapping compositions: the former includes Article One , the latter the Communist Refoundation Party , while both include Italian Left . Some polls also give data separately for Art.1 and SI.2020 Date Polling firm Sample sizeM5S PD Lega FI FdI LS +Eu EV C! A IV Other Lead Date Polling firm Sample size Other Lead 30–31 Jul 1,000 15.8 20.2 24.4 8.4 16.3 3.1 2.0 1.6 2.5 2.5 3.2 4.2 28–30 Jul 1,000 16.7 21 .922.7 7.9 14.5 3.6 2.5 1.5 2.2 2.2 4.3 0.8 22–27 Jul 1,200 16.0 19.8 26.3 6.2 13.9 3.8 2.1 1.8 1.3 3.1 3.0 2.7 6.5 23–24 Jul 1,000 15.4 20.3 24.7 8.3 16.0 3.0 2.1 1.5 2.7 2.6 3.4 4.4 22–23 Jul 2,200 14.6 20.4 27.6 5.7 14.1 2.9 1.4 1.5 3.0 3.1 5.7 7.2 22–23 Jul 1,000 18.9 19.6 23.1 6.9 18.0 2.9 1.3 2.9 2.5 2.5 1.4 3.5 21–22 Jul 1,500 16.0 21.0 25.4 6.5 15.0 3.4 2.5 3.2 7.0 4.4 20–21 Jul 1,000 15.8 21.8 23.7 7.9 13.9 3.4 2.6 1.6 2.1 2.3 4.9 1.9 20 Jul – 15.8 20.8 26.5 6.0 13.5 2.1 1.6 1.2 0.8 3.6 3.4 4.7 5.7 15–20 Jul 1,200 15.6 19.3 26.5 6.0 14.2 3.6 2.4 1.9 1.2 3.3 3.0 3.0 7.2 16–17 Jul 1,000 15.0 20.2 24.9 8.3 16.0 2.9 1.9 1.6 2.9 2.7 3.6 4.7 15–16 Jul 2,200 14.9 20.7 27.8 5.5 14.4 2.6 1.4 1.4 3.2 2.8 5.3 7.1 13 Jul 1,000 16.0 21.0 26.0 7.0 14.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 5.0 8–13 Jul 1,200 15.3 19.6 26.3 6.3 14.5 3.7 2.2 1.7 1.1 3.1 3.2 3.0 6.7 6–7 Jul 1,000 15.4 22.0 23.9 7.2 13.8 3.0 3.1 1.9 1.6 2.6 5.5 1.9 5–6 Jul 1,000 14.8 20.2 25.6 8.2 15.8 2.5 1.7 1.7 2.8 3.1 3.6 5.4 1–6 Jul 1,200 15.7 20.0 26.6 5.9 14.0 3.8 2.0 1.8 1.3 3.2 2.9 2.8 6.6 3–5 Jul 837 16.7 22.4 26.6 6.4 14.4 3.4 1.4 1.7 2.9 3.4 0.7 4.2 2–3 Jul 1,000 14.6 20.2 25.5 8.2 15.9 2.5 1.7 1.8 2.9 3.0 3.7 5.3 1–2 Jul 2,900 14.9 20.8 27.9 5.8 14.2 2.6 1.8 1.5 3.3 2.8 4.4 7.1 30 Jun–2 Jul 1,496 15.0 21.4 26.6 5.9 14.1 2.6 1.5 1.7 0.4 2.6 3.5 4.7 5.2 24–29 Jun 1,200 16.0 20.3 26.6 5.6 14.2 3.5 2.5 2.0 1.2 2.9 3.0 2.2 6.3 26 Jun – 16.0 20.2 25.5 7.3 13.6 2.3 1.6 1.2 0.7 3.5 3.4 4.7 5.3 25–26 Jun 1,000 14.5 19.8 25.8 8.2 16.0 2.6 1.7 1.9 2.6 2.9 4.0 6.0 24–26 Jun 1,500 15.8 21.2 26.0 6.0 15.0 3.4 2.5 3.2 6.9 4.8 25 Jun – 17.0 19.5 28.5 7.0 14.0 1.5 0.5 1.5 1.5 3.0 3.5 2.5 9.0 24–25 Jun 2,400 15.3 20.5 28.4 5.9 14.5 3.5 1.7 1.3 3.2 2.9 2.8 7.9 23–25 Jun 1,000 18.0 20.4 24.0 7.2 16.3 2.3 1.4 1.9 2.8 2.9 2.8 3.6 23 Jun 1,623 16.1 20.0 26.8 6.8 14.4 2.0 1.6 1.8 3.6 4.8 2.1 6.8 22–23 Jun 1,000 15.6 22.2 23.8 7.5 14.0 2.4 2.7 2.0 1.2 3.0 5.6 1.6 17–22 Jun 1,200 15.9 19.3 26.9 6.0 13.6 3.8 2.5 2.4 1.5 3.1 2.9 2.1 7.6 18–19 Jun 1,000 14.5 19.7 25.9 8.3 15.9 2.5 1.6 2.0 2.8 3.0 3.8 6.2 17–18 Jun 2,900 15.0 20.3 28.8 5.6 14.7 2.3 1.5 1.5 2.9 3.3 4.1 8.5 17–18 Jun 800 15.6 19.6 25.5 7.9 13.2 2.6 1.6 1.2 0.4 3.6 2.6 5.3 5.9 15–17 Jun 1,006 16.8 21.2 25.2 7.3 14.3 3.7 2.8 2.2 2.5 4.0 4.0 16 Jun 1,546 16.4 19.9 26.6 6.7 14.0 2.3 1.5 1.8 3.4 4.9 2.5 6.7 15–16 Jun 1,000 16.1 22.0 24.3 7.9 14.2 2.0 2.2 2.2 0.9 2.7 5.5 2.3 15 Jun – 15.5 19.7 24.7 7.9 13.4 2.9 1.8 1.5 0.8 3.7 3.3 4.8 5.0 10–15 Jun 1,200 16.2 19.0 26.9 6.1 14.1 3.7 2.3 2.2 1.3 3.0 2.9 2.3 7.9 11–12 Jun 1,000 14.8 19.8 25.9 8.4 15.5 2.6 1.8 1.7 3.0 2.9 3.6 6.1 11 Jun – 16.0 19.5 28.0 7.5 14.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 1.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 8.5 10–11 Jun 1,200 17.1 21.3 23.5 7.0 17.5 2.4 1.2 1.5 2.7 2.3 3.5 2.2 10–11 Jun 2,200 14.8 20.8 28.3 5.9 15.0 2.5 1.4 1.3 2.9 3.0 4.1 7.5 9–11 Jun 1,617 15.3 20.8 27.2 6.1 13.4 2.8 1.7 1.7 0.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 6.4 9–10 Jun 1,624 16.0 20.0 26.8 7.0 14.2 2.1 1.4 1.6 3.0 5.0 2.9 6.8 8–9 Jun 1,000 17.2 21.4 25.0 7.6 14.4 2.0 1.7 2.3 1.5 1.9 5.0 3.6 3–8 Jun 1,200 15.8 19.1 27.3 5.6 14.4 4.0 2.2 2.1 1.1 2.7 3.0 2.7 8.2 4–5 Jun 1,000 14.9 20.0 26.2 8.2 15.4 2.5 1.9 1.6 2.7 2.8 3.8 6.2 4 Jun 800 15.8 19.7 25.3 7.8 13.7 2.8 1.8 1.6 0.7 3.4 3.2 4.2 5.6 3–4 Jun 3,300 15.2 20.8 28.8 5.6 14.5 2.2 1.6 1.5 2.7 3.2 3.9 8.0 1–2 Jun 1,762 15.8 20.3 27.2 6.9 14.5 2.2 1.5 1.6 2.6 4.6 2.8 6.9 27 May–1 Jun 1,200 16.0 19.5 27.0 6.0 13.9 3.7 2.4 1.9 1.1 2.8 3.0 2.7 7.5 27–30 May 1,009 15.5 21.6 26.2 6.5 15.0 2.7 2.3 0.1 2.4 3.1 4.6 4.6 26–30 May 1,590 14.4 22.0 27.5 5.9 15.9 2.3 0.9 1.7 2.4 2.5 4.7 5.5 28–29 May 1,000 15.0 20.3 26.0 8.2 15.0 2.7 1.8 1.7 2.5 3.1 3.7 5.7 28 May 800 15.5 21.2 25.4 6.9 14.5 3.5 2.1 2.0 1.1 2.9 2.5 2.4 4.2 27–28 May 3,300 15.3 21.1 29.5 5.7 14.0 2.4 1.4 1.3 2.3 3.5 3.5 8.4 26 May 1,758 15.7 20.6 27.1 6.8 14.6 2.2 1.5 1.7 2.6 4.7 2.5 6.5 25–26 May 1,000 17.5 20.9 25.3 7.4 14.3 2.4 1.6 2.4 1.5 1.5 5.2 4.4 24–25 May 1,000 15.2 20.8 25.8 8.1 14.9 2.7 1.7 1.7 2.4 3.2 3.5 5.0 20–25 May 1,200 15.7 20.2 26.9 6.3 14.5 3.4 2.1 1.7 1.3 2.9 2.7 2.3 6.7 21–22 May 1,000 15.1 20.7 25.9 8.1 14.9 2.8 1.6 1.6 2.4 3.3 3.6 5.2 21 May 800 15.5 20.5 24.9 7.7 14.5 2.8 1.8 1.2 0.5 3.4 2.7 4.5 4.4 23 Apr–21 May 1,000 16.7 21.2 24.3 7.4 16.2 1.8 1.3 1.8 2.2 3.0 4.1 3.1 20–21 May 2,000 15.4 20.8 24.6 7.8 14.0 2.8 1.6 1.5 0.8 3.2 3.0 4.5 3.8 20–21 May 2,700 15.0 21.5 29.2 5.9 14.1 2.5 1.3 1.5 2.3 3.3 3.4 7.7 19 May 1,725 15.4 20.9 26.9 6.8 14.3 2.3 1.6 1.8 2.6 5.0 2.4 6.0 18–19 May 1,000 17.2 21.6 24.6 7.2 14.7 2.5 1.6 2.2 1.8 2.2 4.5 3.0 13–18 May 1,200 16.0 20.6 27.0 5.7 14.0 3.7 2.2 1.5 1.1 2.6 3.0 2.6 6.4 14–16 May – 15.0 21.5 28.5 6.5 13.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 2.0 4.0 4.5 7.0 14–15 May 1,000 15.2 20.8 26.2 8.1 14.7 2.7 1.6 1.7 2.0 3.4 3.6 5.4 14 May – 15.0 21.0 27.0 7.0 14.0 2.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 3.0 3.5 3.5 6.0 14 May – 15.3 21.6 25.8 6.7 14.1 3.4 2.0 2.0 1.1 2.5 3.2 2.3 4.2 13–14 May 3,300 14.8 21.6 29.4 6.2 14.3 2.7 1.5 1.1 2.2 3.0 3.2 7.8 12–14 May 1,781 15.0 21.9 26.8 6.3 13.1 2.8 1.6 1.6 0.6 2.1 3.6 4.6 4.9 12–13 May 1,500 16.0 21.0 26.0 6.0 14.2 3.5 3.0 10.3 5.0 12–13 May 1,623 15.4 20.8 27.3 6.6 14.2 2.2 1.6 2.0 2.4 5.0 2.5 6.5 11–12 May 1,000 16.9 22.0 24.6 7.5 14.2 3.0 2.1 1.8 2.0 2.6 3.3 2.6 6–11 May 1,200 16.7 19.5 27.8 6.0 14.6 3.1 2.0 1.8 1.1 2.5 2.7 2.2 8.3 7–8 May 1,000 14.9 20.9 26.6 8.0 14.6 2.8 1.7 1.8 1.8 3.5 3.4 5.7 7 May 800 14.9 21.6 26.1 6.6 13.7 3.5 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.5 3.5 2.6 4.5 6–7 May 3,600 15.0 21.4 29.5 6.0 14.0 2.6 1.5 1.3 2.0 2.9 3.7 8.1 6 May 800 15.2 21.3 26.0 7.3 14.0 2.4 1.7 1.4 0.7 2.5 2.8 4.7 4.7 5–6 May 1,589 15.1 20.7 27.9 6.4 13.9 2.2 1.5 2.1 2.3 5.0 2.9 7.2 4–5 May 1,000 16.8 22.9 24.9 7.2 13.8 2.8 2.1 2.0 1.1 2.6 3.8 2.0 4 May 1,000 19.0 22.0 25.0 6.0 13.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 8.0 3.0 29 Apr–4 May 1,200 16.2 20.2 27.3 5.3 14.9 3.3 1.9 1.8 1.0 2.5 3.0 2.6 7.1 30 Apr – 15.0 21.5 27.5 7.0 14.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.5 3.0 4.0 2.5 6.0 30 Apr 1,000 14.3 21.0 27.2 8.0 14.4 2.7 1.7 1.9 1.9 3.6 3.3 6.2 29–30 Apr 1,500 16.5 21.0 27.0 5.6 14.0 3.4 3.0 9.5 6.0 29–30 Apr 4,400 14.7 21.6 29.8 5.9 13.9 2.4 1.3 1.5 2.1 3.2 3.6 8.2 28–30 Apr 1,006 16.3 21.8 26.6 6.2 13.6 3.6 2.0 2.5 2.2 5.2 4.8 29 Apr 800 14.7 21.6 26.6 6.8 13.2 3.8 2.0 1.9 1.0 2.4 3.8 2.2 5.0 28–29 Apr 1,635 14.7 20.7 28.4 6.6 13.7 2.5 1.5 2.0 2.3 5.1 2.5 7.7 27–28 Apr 1,000 16.4 22.9 25.6 7.9 12.0 3.2 2.0 2.3 1.2 2.9 3.6 2.7 22–27 Apr 1,200 15.4 20.3 28.2 6.1 13.8 3.4 2.1 1.9 1.0 2.3 3.4 2.1 7.9 23–24 Apr 1,000 14.0 21.1 27.9 7.7 14.3 2.8 1.6 1.8 2.0 3.4 3.4 6.8 22–23 Apr 1,000 18.6 21.3 25.4 7.5 14.1 2.0 1.7 1.9 1.4 3.1 3.0 4.1 22–23 Apr 2,200 14.2 21.8 30.1 5.7 13.9 2.3 1.5 1.5 2.4 3.3 3.3 8.3 21–23 Apr 1,643 14.1 22.4 29.2 5.6 13.5 2.4 1.3 1.7 2.8 3.3 3.7 6.8 21–22 Apr 1,789 14.7 20.9 28.8 6.1 13.8 2.4 1.7 1.9 2.3 5.1 2.3 7.9 20–21 Apr 1,000 16.4 22.9 25.9 7.7 12.5 3.6 1.5 2.1 1.0 1.9 4.5 3.0 15–20 Apr 1,200 14.4 20.0 29.5 5.8 13.3 3.5 2.0 1.9 1.3 2.6 3.1 2.6 9.5 16–17 Apr 1,000 14.0 21.4 28.3 7.3 14.5 3.0 1.4 1.9 1.6 3.0 3.6 6.9 16 Apr – 14.7 21.8 27.0 6.3 12.9 3.9 2.0 1.8 0.7 2.3 4.5 2.1 5.2 15–16 Apr 800 14.7 21.0 27.5 6.4 13.8 2.3 1.5 1.6 1.0 2.2 3.2 4.8 6.5 15–16 Apr 3,400 14.9 22.2 30.5 5.3 13.2 2.6 1.1 1.3 2.1 3.2 3.6 8.3 14–16 Apr 1,441 14.8 21.4 27.6 5.8 12.9 2.8 1.8 1.8 0.5 2.2 3.7 4.7 6.2 14–15 Apr 1,802 15.1 21.1 29.2 5.9 13.7 2.3 1.7 1.8 2.3 5.0 1.9 8.1 8–13 Apr 1,200 14.2 19.9 29.7 5.3 12.8 3.8 2.4 2.1 1.3 2.4 3.6 2.5 9.8 9–10 Apr 1,000 14.1 21.8 28.5 7.0 14.5 2.8 1.5 1.8 1.7 2.8 3.5 6.7 9 Apr – 15.0 21.5 29.0 5.5 14.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 7.5 9 Apr – 14.6 22.1 26.9 6.2 12.9 3.8 2.1 1.8 0.5 2.2 4.5 2.4 4.8 8–9 Apr 2,200 14.2 21.9 30.8 5.7 12.8 2.3 1.3 1.7 2.5 3.5 3.3 8.9 7–8 Apr 1,756 15.0 21.4 29.1 5.7 13.8 2.2 1.8 1.8 2.2 5.0 2.0 7.7 6–7 Apr 1,000 16.0 22.6 26.0 7.5 12.5 3.5 1.8 2.2 1.0 2.0 3.5 3.4 1–6 Apr 1,200 14.5 20.1 30.7 5.2 12.0 3.5 2.3 2.3 1.1 2.5 3.4 2.4 10.6 2–3 Apr 1,000 13.7 21.8 29.0 6.9 14.4 2.7 1.6 1.8 1.6 2.9 3.6 7.2 2 Apr – 14.5 21.9 27.5 6.2 12.8 3.7 2.0 1.9 0.6 2.1 4.5 2.3 5.6 1–2 Apr 2,200 13.8 21.8 30.8 5.6 12.7 2.4 1.5 1.5 2.8 3.2 3.9 9.0 31 Mar–1 Apr 1,802 14.7 21.3 30.3 5.8 13.1 2.1 1.8 1.8 1.9 5.0 2.2 9.0 30–31 Mar 1,000 15.6 22.6 26.2 7.4 12.8 3.9 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.9 3.9 3.6 25–30 Mar 1,200 14.9 19.2 31.0 5.3 12.3 3.3 2.2 2.2 1.0 2.7 3.3 2.6 11.8 26–27 Mar 1,000 13.6 22.0 28.9 6.9 14.2 2.6 1.7 1.6 1.7 3.1 3.7 6.9 25–26 Mar 2,200 13.6 21.7 32.1 5.0 11.8 2.1 1.5 1.5 2.8 3.4 4.5 10.4 24–26 Mar 1,000 15.3 20.6 31.1 6.8 13.3 2.1 1.0 2.0 1.0 3.5 3.3 10.5 25 Mar 800 14.5 21.5 27.7 6.7 13.5 2.1 1.8 1.3 0.4 2.3 3.5 4.7 6.2 24–25 Mar 1,756 14.9 21.0 30.1 6.0 12.7 2.3 1.9 1.7 1.9 5.3 2.2 9.1 23–24 Mar 1,000 15.1 22.9 26.5 7.0 12.7 3.5 2.6 1.6 0.7 1.3 2.2 3.9 3.6 18–23 Mar 1,200 13.8 20.3 30.2 5.7 11.8 3.7 2.2 2.3 1.3 2.6 3.2 2.9 9.9 19–21 Mar 2,000 12.8 23.1 30.6 5.0 13.7 3.1 1.5 2.2 2.0 2.8 3.2 7.5 19–20 Mar 1,000 13.7 22.3 28.6 6.8 14.1 2.6 1.8 1.7 1.8 3.0 3.6 6.3 19 Mar – 14.0 21.5 29.5 5.7 14.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.3 2.0 4.0 4.5 8.0 18–19 Mar 2,200 14.5 20.9 31.2 5.5 12.1 2.4 1.4 1.6 2.4 4.1 3.9 10.3 17–18 Mar 1,812 14.7 21.3 29.7 6.3 12.5 2.5 1.8 1.8 1.9 5.4 2.1 8.4 16–17 Mar 1,028 14.6 21.0 28.8 5.9 13.5 3.5 2.3 2.0 3.3 5.1 7.8 16–17 Mar 1,000 14.9 22.5 27.0 6.6 13.0 3.8 2.4 1.6 0.7 1.0 2.4 4.1 4.5 11–16 Mar 1,200 13.2 20.5 31.0 5.3 12.0 3.5 2.4 2.2 1.2 2.9 3.2 2.6 10.5 12–13 Mar 1,000 13.7 22.0 28.7 6.6 13.7 2.4 1.9 1.8 2.0 3.3 3.9 6.7 11–12 Mar 2,200 15.4 21.0 31.6 5.4 12.4 2.4 1.4 1.6 1.8 3.9 3.1 10.6 10–11 Mar 1,722 14.3 21.1 29.4 6.1 12.7 2.8 1.9 2.0 0.7 2.2 5.3 1.5 8.3 9–11 Mar 1,296 14.0 21.2 28.7 6.0 11.9 3.0 1.6 1.9 0.5 2.4 4.0 4.8 7.5 9–10 Mar 1,000 15.6 22.5 27.0 6.1 13.4 3.3 2.3 1.9 1.0 1.1 2.6 3.2 4.5 4–9 Mar 1,200 13.4 19.6 30.6 5.7 12.0 3.8 2.3 2.4 1.1 2.9 3.5 2.9 11.0 6–7 Mar 1,000 12.5 22.9 31.1 4.6 13.3 2.9 1.4 2.3 2.1 3.0 2.7 8.2 5–6 Mar 1,000 13.6 21.5 29.6 6.8 13.4 2.5 2.0 1.7 2.0 3.2 3.7 8.1 5 Mar – 14.8 20.0 30.3 6.1 12.1 3.5 2.1 2.2 0.9 2.3 3.5 2.2 10.3 4–5 Mar 2,200 15.3 20.7 32.5 5.0 11.6 2.0 1.5 1.6 2.0 3.9 2.9 11.8 3–4 Mar 1,754 14.7 21.3 29.6 6.1 12.4 2.9 1.8 1.9 0.7 2.2 5.1 1.3 8.3 3 Mar 800 14.6 21.0 28.5 6.5 12.5 2.3 2.0 1.3 0.3 2.6 3.8 4.2 7.5 2–3 Mar 1,000 15.7 22.0 27.2 6.2 13.4 2.8 2.3 2.2 0.9 1.5 2.8 3.0 5.2 26 Feb–2 Mar 1,200 13.7 19.9 30.9 5.7 12.1 3.6 2.1 2.2 1.2 2.8 3.2 2.6 11.0 25–29 Feb 504 14.5 21.0 30.5 6.5 11.0 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 5.0 4.5 9.5 27–28 Feb 1,000 13.4 21.2 30.2 7.1 13.1 2.6 1.8 1.5 2.1 3.6 3.4 9.0 27 Feb 1,000 14.0 19.6 31.6 6.3 13.3 1.8 1.6 2.5 1.6 3.5 4.2 12.0 26–27 Feb 2,200 15.3 20.9 32.6 5.1 11.5 2.0 1.4 1.5 2.1 4.0 3.6 11.7 25–26 Feb 1,722 14.6 21.2 30.1 6.4 12.0 2.8 1.9 1.8 0.8 2.1 5.0 1.3 8.9 24–25 Feb 1,000 15.4 21.6 27.7 5.9 13.7 2.5 2.6 2.0 0.6 1.7 3.0 3.3 6.1 19–24 Feb 1,200 13.4 20.1 31.3 5.4 11.3 3.3 2.2 2.3 1.3 3.1 3.8 2.5 11.2 20–22 Feb 503 15.0 20.5 30.5 6.5 10.5 2.0 2.5 1.5 1.0 5.0 5.0 10.0 20–21 Feb 1,000 13.3 21.0 30.6 7.1 12.6 2.5 1.7 1.6 2.4 3.9 3.3 9.6 19–20 Feb 3,100 15.2 20.4 32.2 5.6 11.2 2.3 1.5 1.5 2.3 4.5 3.3 11.8 19 Feb 800 14.2 20.2 31.1 5.9 11.6 3.1 1.9 2.0 1.0 2.3 4.1 2.6 10.9 18–19 Feb 2,000 14.4 21.5 30.1 6.3 11.9 2.6 1.9 1.7 0.8 2.2 5.0 1.6 8.6 17–18 Feb 800 14.4 20.3 31.0 6.2 11.8 2.5 1.0 1.5 0.2 2.7 5.0 3.4 10.7 17–18 Feb 1,000 14.9 20.5 27.5 6.9 12.9 3.2 2.8 1.8 0.7 1.4 3.0 4.4 7.0 16–18 Feb 2,000 14.5 20.8 31.0 5.1 12.4 3.2 4.0 9.0 10.2 16–17 Feb 1,000 13.4 20.8 30.4 7.2 12.5 2.6 1.9 1.8 2.4 3.9 3.1 9.6 12–17 Feb 1,200 13.0 20.6 32.4 5.1 11.3 2.9 1.9 2.3 1.2 3.0 4.2 2.1 11.8 13–14 Feb 1,000 13.5 20.8 30.6 7.3 12.2 2.6 1.9 1.7 2.3 4.0 3.1 9.8 13 Feb – 14.8 20.2 30.0 6.0 11.0 3.0 4.5 10.5 9.8 12–13 Feb 4,000 15.1 20.0 33.1 5.2 11.3 2.1 1.4 1.2 2.0 4.9 3.7 13.1 11–13 Feb 1,589 14.2 20.8 29.8 5.6 11.0 2.3 1.4 2.0 0.7 2.3 4.2 5.7 9.0 10–13 Feb 1,019 14.4 20.6 29.2 6.2 13.1 3.6 2.6 3.9 6.4 8.6 12 Feb 800 15.0 20.0 30.9 5.9 11.3 3.1 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.1 4.1 2.6 10.9 11–12 Feb 1,518 14.2 21.5 29.9 6.2 11.6 2.6 1.8 1.9 1.1 2.5 5.1 1.6 8.4 10–11 Feb 1,000 14.9 20.1 28.0 6.7 12.7 3.0 2.8 2.0 0.9 1.2 3.2 4.5 7.9 5–10 Feb 1,500 14.0 20.7 32.2 5.4 10.8 2.8 2.0 2.1 1.2 2.8 4.2 1.8 11.5 6–7 Feb 1,000 13.8 20.4 31.0 7.5 11.9 2.5 1.8 1.8 2.4 3.9 3.0 10.6 6 Feb 800 15.2 19.2 31.5 5.9 11.1 3.3 2.0 2.0 0.9 2.2 4.2 2.5 12.3 4–6 Feb 3,200 15.6 20.2 32.5 5.8 10.6 3.3 1.4 1.4 2.2 4.3 2.7 12.3 4–6 Feb 1,460 14.1 21.3 30.0 6.1 11.6 2.5 1.8 1.8 1.0 2.6 5.2 2.0 8.7 3–4 Feb 1,000 15.2 19.8 28.0 7.0 12.4 2.8 3.0 2.4 0.8 1.6 3.2 3.8 8.2 29 Jan–3 Feb 1,500 13.9 19.7 33.3 6.3 10.2 3.1 1.9 2.0 1.1 2.6 4.1 1.8 13.6 30 Jan–2 Feb 1,000 12.7 22.6 31.8 4.8 11.6 2.3 1.1 1.8 2.6 3.8 4.9 9.2 30–31 Jan 1,000 14.3 20.2 31.1 7.5 11.7 2.6 1.7 1.8 2.5 3.7 2.9 10.9 29–31 Jan 505 15.5 20.0 30.5 6.5 10.0 2.0 2.5 1.5 1.0 4.5 6.0 10.5 29–30 Jan 2,300 16.0 20.4 33.4 5.4 10.6 3.3 1.8 1.1 1.9 3.7 2.4 13.0 28–30 Jan 1,000 14.0 20.3 32.0 6.5 12.0 2.6 1.1 1.5 2.3 4.3 3.4 11.7 29 Jan 800 15.4 19.0 31.4 6.0 11.2 3.2 1.9 2.0 1.0 2.3 4.0 2.6 12.4 28–29 Jan 1,589 14.3 21.2 30.1 6.1 11.5 2.5 1.8 1.8 0.9 2.7 5.1 2.0 8.9 27–28 Jan 1,000 15.9 20.0 28.2 6.9 12.0 2.9 3.2 2.4 0.6 1.3 3.6 3.0 8.2 22–26 Jan 1,500 14.9 17.5 33.0 6.0 10.6 3.5 2.2 2.1 1.4 2.5 4.6 1.7 15.5 23–24 Jan 1,000 15.1 19.4 31.7 7.8 11.0 2.5 1.8 2.0 2.4 3.6 2.7 12.3 22 Jan 800 16.0 18.7 31.8 6.5 10.9 2.9 1.7 1.9 0.9 2.2 4.2 2.3 13.1 21–22 Jan 2,400 15.8 19.1 32.5 6.2 11.1 2.3 1.6 1.3 0.6 2.5 3.9 3.1 13.4 20–21 Jan 1,000 16.1 19.9 28.7 7.3 11.3 3.1 3.4 1.9 0.6 1.4 3.9 2.4 8.8 19–20 Jan 1,000 15.3 19.5 31.8 7.9 10.8 14.7 12.3 15–20 Jan 1,500 15.6 18.2 33.2 5.2 10.9 3.0 2.0 1.9 1.2 2.6 4.5 1.7 15.0 10–17 Jan 1,000 15.3 19.1 32.2 8.0 10.7 2.6 1.7 1.8 2.3 3.7 2.6 13.1 15–16 Jan 2,300 16.0 19.4 32.9 5.8 10.6 2.0 1.4 1.4 0.5 2.1 4.6 3.3 13.5 14–16 Jan 1,455 16.4 19.0 30.4 6.2 10.1 2.0 1.5 1.6 0.7 2.1 4.9 5.1 11.4 15 Jan 800 15.8 18.9 31.5 6.6 10.5 2.8 1.6 2.0 0.9 2.1 4.4 2.9 12.6 14 Jan 1,688 15.6 20.0 30.0 6.7 11.0 2.0 2.1 1.8 1.1 2.8 4.6 2.3 10.0 13–14 Jan 1,000 15.9 20.0 29.0 7.0 10.9 3.6 2.5 1.6 0.8 1.0 4.2 3.5 9.0 13 Jan 800 15.4 18.9 30.2 6.3 10.8 1.8 1.3 2.4 0.4 3.0 5.0 4.5 11.3 12–13 Jan 1,000 15.5 19.3 31.7 8.0 10.8 2.7 1.6 1.7 2.3 3.7 2.7 12.4 8–13 Jan 1,500 15.2 18.4 32.9 5.8 10.4 3.1 1.6 2.2 1.0 2.9 4.8 1.7 14.5 9–10 Jan 1,000 15.4 19.3 31.9 8.1 10.6 2.7 1.6 1.7 2.1 3.9 2.7 12.6 8–10 Jan 505 16.5 19.5 31.0 6.5 10.0 2.0 2.5 1.5 1.5 4.5 4.5 11.5 9 Jan 800 16.0 18.8 31.3 6.7 10.5 2.9 1.6 2.1 1.0 2.0 4.3 2.8 12.5 8–9 Jan 3,500 16.1 19.1 33.1 6.1 10.7 3.2 1.5 1.2 0.4 1.8 4.9 1.9 14.0 7–8 Jan 1,700 15.9 19.9 30.4 7.0 10.6 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.0 2.8 4.5 2.4 10.5 3–7 Jan 1,000 16.2 20.0 29.5 7.3 10.7 3.0 2.3 1.3 1.0 1.3 3.6 3.8 9.5
2019 Date Polling firm Sample size M5S PD Lega FI FdI LS +Eu EV C! A IV Other Lead Date Polling firm Sample size Other Lead 20–24 Dec 807 16.1 19.2 33.1 5.8 10.4 2.1 3.1 4.5 5.7 13.9 22–23 Dec 1,000 15.9 19.1 31.8 7.8 10.3 2.7 1.6 1.7 2.4 4.0 2.7 12.7 18–23 Dec 1,500 15.7 17.0 32.9 5.5 10.5 3.7 1.6 2.0 1.0 3.3 4.7 2.1 15.9 19–20 Dec 1,000 16.0 19.1 32.4 7.7 10.4 2.4 1.8 1.5 2.2 4.0 2.5 13.3 18–19 Dec 3,000 15.4 18.5 35.2 5.3 10.3 2.2 1.1 1.4 0.4 2.4 4.9 2.9 16.7 18–19 Dec 1,000 17.7 18.2 31.5 7.4 10.3 1.7 1.2 1.8 1.5 5.3 3.4 13.3 18 Dec 800 16.0 18.9 31.8 6.8 10.3 2.9 1.5 2.0 1.0 2.1 4.4 2.3 12.9 17–18 Dec 1,500 16.4 19.0 31.0 5.8 10.6 3.0 4.5 9.7 12.0 17–18 Dec 1,623 16.1 19.6 31.2 6.7 10.6 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.0 2.3 5.0 2.0 11.6 16–17 Dec 1,000 16.0 20.2 29.9 7.0 10.5 3.3 2.5 1.5 1.0 1.3 3.6 3.2 9.7 16 Dec 800 15.8 17.3 31.0 6.9 10.7 2.2 1.5 1.8 0.6 2.7 5.0 4.5 13.7 11–16 Dec 1,500 15.7 17.5 32.2 5.7 10.7 3.5 1.4 2.3 1.0 3.0 5.1 1.9 14.7 12–13 Dec 1,000 15.8 18.8 33.5 7.9 10.3 2.5 1.7 1.4 2.1 3.8 2.2 14.7 11–13 Dec 1,406 17.0 18.8 31.8 5.8 9.5 1.8 1.6 1.5 0.8 2.1 4.8 4.5 13.0 12 Dec – 17.5 18.0 31.5 6.5 10.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.7 2.7 3.5 4.1 13.5 11–12 Dec 1,000 15.7 18.9 33.4 7.9 10.2 2.5 1.7 1.5 2.0 3.9 2.3 14.5 11 Dec 800 16.2 19.2 32.2 6.7 9.8 2.8 1.5 1.9 1.1 1.8 4.6 2.2 13.0 10–11 Dec 1,578 15.7 19.3 32.0 6.7 10.4 1.9 2.0 1.5 1.0 2.0 5.2 2.3 12.7 9–10 Dec 1,000 16.3 20.8 30.6 7.6 10.6 2.9 2.5 1.2 0.9 3.3 3.3 9.8 8–9 Dec 1,000 15.6 18.6 34.1 8.0 10.3 2.3 1.7 1.4 1.8 4.0 2.2 15.5 4–9 Dec 1,500 15.5 18.0 33.0 5.3 9.8 3.2 1.5 2.2 1.2 3.5 4.6 2.2 15.0 6 Dec 1,000 17.0 18.0 33.0 6.0 9.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.7 2.5 5.0 4.3 15.0 5–6 Dec 1,000 15.6 18.9 34.7 7.9 10.0 2.4 1.8 1.3 1.5 3.9 2.0 15.8 2–6 Dec 1,276 18.1 18.7 29.5 6.5 11.3 3.2 2.4 3.5 6.8 10.8 4–5 Dec 2,500 15.5 18.6 34.9 5.5 10.2 2.2 1.6 1.3 0.5 1.7 5.3 2.7 16.3 4 Dec 800 15.5 17.5 31.5 7.2 10.3 2.1 1.4 1.3 0.4 2.8 5.5 4.5 14.0 4 Dec 800 16.2 19.1 32.7 6.6 9.8 2.6 1.6 1.8 1.0 1.6 4.9 2.1 13.6 3–4 Dec 1,623 16.3 19.5 32.5 6.9 10.1 1.8 1.6 1.2 0.9 1.8 5.3 2.1 13.0 2–3 Dec 1,000 15.9 20.7 31.2 7.4 11.0 2.7 3.0 1.1 0.7 3.6 2.7 10.5 1–2 Dec 1,000 15.8 19.0 34.7 8.2 9.5 2.2 1.5 1.6 1.2 4.1 2.2 15.7 27 Nov–2 Dec 1,500 15.5 17.7 33.8 5.1 10.0 3.3 1.6 2.0 1.0 3.3 4.9 1.8 16.1 28–29 Nov 1,000 15.8 19.1 35.3 8.1 9.4 2.1 1.7 1.4 4.1 3.0 16.2 27–28 Nov 2,000 15.3 18.6 34.6 6.0 10.1 2.1 1.5 1.5 0.5 1.8 5.3 2.7 16.0 27 Nov 1,612 16.5 19.7 32.4 7.3 9.9 2.0 1.9 1.3 1.0 1.0 5.3 1.7 12.7 27 Nov 800 16.9 19.3 32.8 6.6 9.3 2.6 1.7 2.0 5.0 3.8 13.5 26–27 Nov 1,000 16.6 18.1 31.9 6.2 10.6 2.0 1.2 2.3 2.3 5.3 3.5 13.8 25–26 Nov 1,000 16.4 20.4 31.5 7.4 10.6 2.2 3.0 1.0 4.5 3.0 11.1 24–25 Nov 1,000 15.9 19.6 34.7 8.1 9.0 2.1 1.6 1.5 1.1 4.4 2.0 15.1 20–25 Nov 1,500 16.5 18.1 33.1 6.0 10.1 3.1 1.6 2.0 1.3 5.5 2.7 15.0 21–22 Nov 505 17.5 19.5 31.5 7.5 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.0 5.0 3.5 12.0 21–22 Nov 1,000 16.1 19.4 34.5 8.0 9.2 2.1 1.6 1.5 4.3 3.3 15.1 21 Nov – 19.0 18.0 33.5 6.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.7 1.0 5.5 3.3 14.5 20–21 Nov 2,400 15.7 18.1 35.6 5.9 9.6 2.1 1.4 1.5 0.6 1.4 5.5 2.6 17.5 20 Nov 1,524 16.1 20.0 32.6 7.7 9.5 2.0 2.1 1.3 1.0 5.2 2.5 12.6 18–20 Nov 1,598 17.4 18.6 32.3 5.6 8.9 2.1 1.6 1.7 1.0 1.1 5.3 4.4 13.7 18–19 Nov 1,000 16.3 21.2 31.9 7.5 9.9 1.7 3.1 1.1 0.7 4.6 2.0 10.7 13–18 Nov 1,500 16.2 18.3 34.0 6.4 9.5 3.3 1.7 2.3 1.1 5.0 2.2 15.7 14–15 Nov 1,000 16.3 19.3 34.2 8.0 9.3 1.9 1.7 1.3 4.6 3.4 14.9 13 Nov 800 16.8 19.5 34.0 6.4 9.0 2.3 1.8 1.9 4.8 3.5 14.5 12–13 Nov 2,200 16.1 18.3 35.2 5.6 9.9 2.0 1.2 1.4 0.5 1.4 5.9 2.5 16.9 8–13 Nov 1,425 16.1 19.5 33.0 7.4 9.8 1.7 1.8 1.0 1.0 5.7 3.0 13.5 11–12 Nov 1,000 16.3 21.0 32.6 7.3 9.6 1.8 2.7 1.3 0.8 4.3 2.3 11.6 10–12 Nov 1,500 17.2 18.5 34.0 5.6 9.4 2.5 5.8 7.0 15.5 11 Nov 800 15.8 18.1 33.0 6.8 9.3 1.9 1.1 1.5 0.3 1.9 5.8 4.5 14.9 10–11 Nov 1,000 16.9 18.7 34.5 8.1 9.2 1.8 1.8 1.3 1.2 4.5 2.0 15.8 6–11 Nov 1,500 15.8 18.6 34.5 6.2 9.5 3.0 1.5 1.9 1.3 5.6 2.1 15.9 8–9 Nov 505 17.5 19.0 31.5 7.0 9.0 2.0 2.5 2.0 4.5 5.0 12.5 7–8 Nov 1,000 16.8 18.8 34.5 8.1 9.1 1.7 1.8 1.4 4.5 3.3 15.7 6–7 Nov 2,300 15.8 18.5 35.9 5.5 9.3 2.0 1.3 1.5 0.6 1.3 5.9 2.4 17.4 6 Nov 800 17.4 19.3 33.7 6.4 8.6 2.2 1.8 2.0 5.0 3.6 14.4 6 Nov 1,387 16.3 19.0 34.2 7.2 10.0 1.6 1.8 1.2 1.0 4.9 2.8 15.2 4–5 Nov 1,002 17.9 18.2 28.6 9.5 10.7 2.7 4.9 7.5 10.4 4–5 Nov 1,000 17.9 20.1 32.0 7.8 9.5 1.9 2.2 1.5 0.9 3.9 2.3 11.9 30 Oct–4 Nov 1,500 16.8 17.5 34.1 6.2 8.9 3.3 1.8 2.2 1.1 6.0 2.1 16.6 31 Oct–1 Nov 506 18.5 19.5 31.0 7.0 8.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 5.5 11.5 30–31 Oct 1,500 18.0 19.0 33.0 6.0 9.0 2.5 5.8 6.7 14.0 29–31 Oct 1,000 17.9 17.2 34.3 6.2 9.8 1.7 1.0 2.2 6.2 3.5 16.4 30 Oct 1,000 17.5 19.3 34.4 8.2 8.5 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.0 4.2 1.8 15.1 30 Oct 800 17.8 19.2 33.5 6.3 8.6 2.2 1.8 2.0 5.1 3.5 14.3 30 Oct 1,489 16.8 19.3 33.0 7.4 9.4 1.8 2.2 1.4 1.0 4.7 3.0 13.7 28–29 Oct 1,000 19.2 19.5 30.9 7.7 9.5 2.0 2.0 1.6 1.0 3.7 2.9 11.4 27 Oct 1,000 17.7 19.2 34.4 8.1 8.6 1.6 1.9 1.5 1.0 4.1 1.9 15.2 23–27 Oct 1,500 18.2 18.0 33.6 5.5 9.0 3.2 1.6 2.1 1.6 5.2 2.0 13.9 24–25 Oct 1,000 18.0 19.3 33.2 8.2 8.4 1.9 1.9 1.6 4.3 3.2 13.9 23–24 Oct 2,300 17.1 18.9 35.2 5.6 8.2 1.9 1.2 1.5 0.5 1.3 5.6 3.0 16.3 22–24 Oct 1,500 14.7 20.6 34.0 6.2 7.7 2.0 1.3 1.6 6.6 5.2 13.4 23 Oct 800 18.8 19.5 33.2 6.2 8.2 2.1 1.8 1.9 5.3 3.0 13.7 23 Oct 1,578 17.5 19.4 33.6 7.0 8.2 2.1 2.2 1.0 1.0 4.3 3.7 14.2 22 Oct – 18.5 18.6 32.5 6.9 8.0 1.2 1.1 1.4 1.7 0.7 6.0 3.4 13.9 21–22 Oct 1,000 20.8 19.8 30.5 8.1 8.7 1.8 2.1 1.9 1.0 3.5 1.8 9.7 20–21 Oct 1,000 18.5 19.4 33.0 8.0 8.2 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.1 4.8 1.9 13.6 16–21 Oct 1,500 17.8 18.8 34.0 5.5 8.4 2.8 1.8 1.9 1.3 5.6 2.1 15.2 17–18 Oct 1,000 19.8 20.2 31.6 7.8 7.8 1.8 2.0 1.7 4.1 3.2 11.4 17 Oct – 19.0 19.8 32.7 6.0 7.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 5.2 3.8 12.9 16–17 Oct 800 18.3 18.5 31.8 7.0 8.0 2.1 2.0 1.4 0.2 1.4 5.5 3.8 13.3 16–17 Oct 1,534 19.2 19.7 31.8 7.1 7.8 1.6 2.4 1.2 1.2 4.1 3.9 12.1 16–17 Oct 2,400 17.7 19.2 34.8 5.5 7.8 2.0 1.3 2.0 0.6 1.4 5.2 2.5 15.6 14–15 Oct 1,000 19.7 20.4 30.7 7.8 8.2 2.0 2.5 1.4 1.1 4.0 2.2 10.3 13–14 Oct 1,000 19.8 20.4 31.5 7.8 7.7 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.3 4.3 1.8 11.1 9–14 Oct 1,500 18.6 19.4 33.2 5.1 7.6 3.1 1.9 1.9 1.6 5.3 2.3 13.8 10–11 Oct 1,000 20.0 20.7 31.2 7.7 7.6 1.7 1.9 1.9 4.0 3.3 10.5 9–11 Oct 1,000 20.0 19.2 32.0 6.2 7.5 2.5 5.3 7.3 12.0 10 Oct – 19.0 19.0 31.0 6.5 7.5 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.7 0.5 6.0 4.4 12.0 9–10 Oct 1,600 18.2 19.4 34.1 5.3 8.1 2.0 1.3 2.1 0.5 1.4 4.9 2.7 14.7 9 Oct 800 18.8 20.1 32.3 6.0 7.4 2.0 2.1 2.0 4.7 4.6 12.2 9 Oct 1,624 18.7 19.2 32.7 7.0 7.8 1.7 2.0 1.6 1.3 4.5 3.5 13.5 7–9 Oct 1,438 19.2 19.5 30.6 5.5 8.0 1.8 1.5 2.0 1.3 1.0 5.0 4.6 11.1 7–8 Oct 800 19.3 17.8 32.0 7.1 7.7 2.0 1.6 1.4 0.4 1.5 5.5 3.7 12.7 7–8 Oct 1,000 20.2 21.9 30.0 7.2 8.6 2.1 2.9 1.6 3.5 2.0 8.1 7 Oct 600 19.6 20.1 31.2 6.9 8.5 2.5 1.2 4.2 5.8 11.1 6–7 Oct 1,000 20.1 20.3 30.8 7.9 8.0 1.5 1.9 2.1 0.6 1.3 4.2 1.3 10.5 2–7 Oct 1,500 18.5 20.0 32.3 5.0 7.1 3.3 1.8 2.3 1.6 5.6 2.5 12.3 3–5 Oct – 19.5 20.5 30.0 6.5 7.0 2.0 2.5 2.0 3.5 6.5 9.5 3–4 Oct 1,000 19.8 19.7 31.4 8.0 7.8 1.6 1.8 2.0 4.5 3.4 11.6 3 Oct – 19.4 20.3 32.5 6.0 7.3 2.0 2.3 2.0 4.5 3.7 12.2 1–3 Oct1,265 20.6 19.1 30.2 6.1 8.6 2.4 2.1 2.2 3.9 4.8 9.6 2 Oct 1,754 19.0 19.7 32.6 7.4 7.6 1.8 2.2 1.5 1.0 4.5 2.7 12.9 30 Sep–1 Oct 1,000 21.0 21.6 29.7 6.9 8.6 2.3 2.3 1.5 3.9 2.2 8.3 29–30 Sep 1,000 20.2 19.7 31.4 7.9 7.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 0.7 1.1 4.6 1.3 11.2 25–30 Sep 1,500 19.6 19.4 32.8 5.0 7.3 3.6 1.6 2.0 1.7 4.9 2.1 13.2 26–27 Sep 800 20.0 19.8 31.9 7.8 7.5 1.8 2.0 1.7 4.3 3.2 11.9 23–27 Sep 811 24.2 20.1 29.1 6.0 7.0 1.2 2.5 0.9 1.8 4.4 2.8 4.9 25–26 Sep 2,400 17.4 18.6 35.3 5.4 8.2 1.6 1.3 2.0 0.5 1.2 5.5 3.0 16.7 25–26 Sep 1,000 20.8 19.5 30.8 7.0 8.9 2.8 1.6 4.8 3.8 10.0 25 Sep 1,785 18.7 20.3 32.2 6.8 7.3 2.1 2.6 1.6 1.1 4.3 3.0 11.9 25 Sep – 19.5 20.0 33.0 6.0 7.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 4.5 2.5 13.0 23–24 Sep 1,000 21.5 21.8 29.9 6.5 8.6 2.7 2.7 2.0 2.9 1.4 8.1 22–23 Sep 1,000 20.4 19.5 32.0 7.9 7.5 1.8 2.0 1.6 0.7 1.0 4.3 1.3 11.6 18–23 Sep 1,500 20.0 19.4 33.6 5.1 6.7 2.3 1.7 2.0 2.0 5.4 1.8 13.6 20–22 Sep 505 19.0 20.0 30.5 7.0 6.5 2.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 10.5 19–20 Sep 800 20.5 19.4 32.9 8.0 7.3 2.1 2.2 1.3 3.6 2.7 12.4 19–20 Sep 1,004 22.5 19.5 29.0 7.0 8.0 5.5 8.5 6.5 19–20 Sep 1,007 18.0 21.2 31.3 6.9 7.8 3.1 2.7 0.8 3.6 4.6 10.1 18–20 Sep 1,500 15.1 20.7 33.5 5.7 8.5 2.8 1.2 1.4 6.4 4.7 12.8 19 Sep – 19.8 20.5 33.0 6.0 7.0 2.0 2.5 1.8 3.5 3.9 12.5 18–19 Sep 1,000 20.5 19.4 33.0 7.9 7.2 2.0 2.3 1.3 0.7 0.7 3.6 1.4 12.5 18–19 Sep 1,500 20.5 19.4 33.0 6.0 7.0 5.2 8.9 12.5 18–19 Sep 2,000 18.5 19.5 36.1 5.2 8.4 1.6 1.2 1.0 0.7 1.5 3.6 2.7 16.6 17–18 Sep 800 19.2 17.6 32.1 6.5 7.0 2.4 1.8 1.1 1.2 1.6 5.0 4.5 12.9 14–18 Sep 1,548 20.0 22.4 30.3 6.0 7.3 2.0 2.3 1.8 1.4 6.5 7.9 17 Sep 1,805 18.5 20.2 33.1 7.0 7.3 2.0 2.7 1.5 1.2 1.1 3.4 2.0 12.9 16–17 Sep 1,000 21.9 21.6 29.9 7.4 8.3 3.2 4.0 1.6 Did not exist 2.1 8.0 15–16 Sep 1,000 20.7 23.3 32.3 7.9 7.3 2.0 2.6 1.3 Did not exist 2.6 9.0 11–16 Sep 1,500 20.5 21.5 34.0 5.9 7.0 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.0 Did not exist 2.2 12.5 12 Sep 800 21.1 23.6 31.3 8.1 7.3 2.1 2.6 1.3 Did not exist 2.6 7.7 11–12 Sep 3,000 19.8 23.0 34.9 5.1 7.9 1.7 1.2 1.7 0.6 1.8 Did not exist 2.3 11.9 10–12 Sep 1,006 20.8 22.3 32.5 6.5 7.4 3.1 2.5 Did not exist 4.9 10.2 9–12 Sep 1,500 15.5 23.3 34.0 6.8 8.9 3.1 2.4 2.0 Did not exist 4.0 10.7 10 Sep 1,865 19.7 23.0 33.3 7.8 7.0 1.8 2.6 1.2 1.0 Did not exist 2.6 10.3 9–10 Sep 800 19.7 20.6 33.9 6.6 6.4 2.9 2.7 0.9 1.4 1.4 Did not exist 3.5 13.3 9–10 Sep – 19.0 22.5 34.0 5.5 7.0 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 2.5 Did not exist 2.5 11.5 9–10 Sep 1,500 21.8 23.2 32.5 6.5 7.0 3.0 Did not exist Did not exist 6.0 9.3 9–10 Sep 1,000 22.0 22.6 30.0 7.4 7.9 2.5 4.2 1.4 Did not exist Did not exist 2.0 7.4 8–9 Sep 1,000 22.2 24.2 30.5 7.8 7.1 1.7 2.6 1.5 Did not exist Did not exist 2.4 6.3 4–9 Sep 1,500 21.0 22.1 33.4 5.2 7.2 2.3 2.6 2.2 2.3 Did not exist Did not exist 1.7 11.3 7 Sep – 20.5 24.0 30.0 7.0 6.5 3.5 Did not exist Did not exist 8.5 6.0 5 Sep 1,000 21.7 24.4 30.7 7.9 7.0 1.7 2.7 1.6 Did not exist Did not exist 2.3 6.3 4–5 Sep 1,500 22.0 23.0 32.0 6.7 6.8 3.0 Did not exist Did not exist 6.5 9.0 4–5 Sep 1,002 24.3 23.9 30.3 6.1 6.6 1.3 2.8 1.2 Did not exist Did not exist 3.5 6.0 4 Sep – 20.0 23.0 35.0 6.5 7.0 2.0 2.0 1.5 Did not exist Did not exist 3.0 12.0 2–3 Sep 1,000 22.3 23.0 30.1 7.0 7.4 2.4 4.0 1.5 Did not exist Did not exist 2.3 7.1 31 Aug–2 Sep 1,000 21.5 24.6 31.0 7.8 7.0 1.5 2.5 1.6 Did not exist Did not exist 2.5 6.4 29 Aug–2 Sep 1,500 21.4 21.1 33.6 6.2 6.9 2.7 3.0 2.4 Did not exist Did not exist 2.7 12.2 29–30 Aug 1,000 18.6 22.3 31.9 6.8 8.8 2.9 4.1 Did not exist Did not exist 4.6 9.6 26–28 Aug 998 24.2 22.3 31.8 6.0 7.8 2.5 2.2 1.0 Did not exist Did not exist 2.2 7.6 24–28 Aug 1,693 19.2 24.2 32.5 6.2 7.7 2.1 2.7 1.9 Did not exist Did not exist 3.5 8.3 27 Aug 505 16.5 23.5 32.0 7.5 6.0 3.5 Did not exist Did not exist 11.0 8.5 23–25 Aug 3,002 19.0 23.0 33.0 6.2 6.8 Did not exist Did not exist 12.0 10.0 21–23 Aug 1,500 16.6 24.0 33.7 6.6 8.3 2.3 3.2 1.4 Did not exist Did not exist 3.9 9.7 21–23 Aug 3,000 17.8 24.1 36.6 5.8 7.0 1.8 2.1 1.3 Did not exist Did not exist 3.5 12.5 21 Aug 1,000 20.8 24.6 31.3 8.3 6.7 1.4 2.5 1.8 Did not exist Did not exist 2.6 6.7 20–21 Aug 609 23.1 23.5 31.2 5.9 6.7 1.0 2.9 2.1 Did not exist Did not exist 3.6 7.7 19–21 Aug 1,008 16.0 23.5 36.0 6.4 8.1 2.0 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 8.0 12.5 12 Aug 802 23.7 22.8 32.1 6.1 6.6 0.8 2.8 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 5.1 8.4 7–10 Aug 2,500 18.2 23.4 36.1 6.0 7.1 1.8 2.3 1.8 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.3 12.7 9 Aug – 16.5 23.0 38.0 6.5 8.0 1.5 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 6.5 15.0 5 Aug 1,000 17.5 22.4 38.0 8.0 6.0 1.4 2.4 2.2 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.1 15.6 29 Jul–2 Aug 1,700 17.0 22.6 37.5 6.2 6.9 2.0 2.2 1.9 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.7 14.9 30 Jul–1 Aug 1,000 17.6 22.5 37.7 8.1 6.0 1.6 2.4 2.3 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 1.8 15.2 30–31 Jul 1,000 17.8 20.5 36.0 7.1 7.5 2.0 3.5 1.9 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.7 15.5 27–30 Jul 1,500 14.8 23.3 38.9 6.7 7.4 1.9 2.3 1.7 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.0 15.6 24–29 Jul 1,500 17.3 22.0 38.0 6.5 6.6 2.1 2.7 2.3 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.5 16.0 24–25 Jul 1,000 17.5 22.7 38.1 7.8 6.3 1.4 2.5 2.1 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 1.6 15.4 22–24 Jul 1,500 18.0 22.5 36.0 6.7 6.8 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 10.0 13.5 22 Jul 1,000 18.0 20.0 36.0 8.1 6.1 2.3 3.3 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 6.2 16.0 22 Jul 505 17.5 22.5 36.0 7.0 5.5 3.0 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 8.5 13.5 17–22 Jul 1,500 18.5 21.5 37.8 6.6 6.3 2.0 2.8 2.5 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.0 16.3 17–18 Jul 1,000 17.3 23.6 37.0 8.0 6.6 1.5 2.4 1.9 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 1.7 13.4 16–18 Jul 1,000 17.4 21.6 35.9 8.2 6.0 1.8 3.5 2.0 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.6 14.3 16–18 Jul 1,400 17.1 23.1 37.9 6.2 6.8 1.8 2.1 1.8 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.2 14.8 15–18 Jul 919 24.2 22.8 33.1 7.0 6.1 0.4 2.5 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.9 8.9 15 Jul 500 17.5 23.5 36.0 8.0 5.5 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 9.5 12.5 10–15 Jul 1,500 17.9 22.0 37.7 7.0 6.4 1.8 3.0 2.4 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 1.8 15.7 9–12 Jul 1,300 17.1 22.6 37.9 6.3 7.0 1.7 2.3 1.8 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.3 15.3 10–11 Jul 1,000 17.2 23.5 37.1 7.9 6.8 1.4 2.3 2.0 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 1.8 13.6 8–10 Jul 1,017 17.6 22.5 35.3 7.0 6.2 2.0 3.5 2.1 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.8 12.8 8–10 Jul 807 23.7 22.3 33.7 7.1 5.9 0.4 2.7 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 4.2 10.0 7–8 Jul 1,000 16.9 23.4 37.8 7.7 6.9 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 7.3 14.4 3–8 Jul 1,500 17.4 22.7 37.5 6.8 6.6 1.7 2.9 2.4 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.0 14.8 7 Jul – 17.0 24.0 38.0 6.5 8.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.0 14.0 4 Jul – 19.0 24.0 37.5 8.0 6.5 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 5.0 13.5 1–4 Jul 1,700 18.0 22.9 37.0 6.7 7.0 1.4 1.8 1.7 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.5 14.1 29 Jun–4 Jul 1,698 18.1 23.5 35.0 6.3 6.8 1.9 2.7 2.5 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.2 11.5 26 Jun–1 Jul 1,500 17.2 22.6 38.0 6.5 6.4 1.5 2.8 2.7 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.3 15.4 26 Jun – 17.5 25.0 36.0 7.5 8.0 1.0 2.0 1.5 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 1.5 11.0 25–26 Jun 1,000 17.3 21.2 33.3 9.3 6.7 1.9 3.4 2.5 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 4.4 12.1 25 Jun 1,845 19.0 23.8 34.6 8.5 6.7 2.0 2.9 0.9 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 1.6 10.8 23–24 Jun 1,000 17.0 23.4 35.5 9.1 6.6 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 8.4 12.1 19–24 Jun 1,500 18.0 22.6 37.3 6.6 6.5 1.6 2.8 2.7 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 1.9 14.7 19–20 Jun 1,500 18.5 22.0 35.2 7.0 6.8 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 10.5 13.2 18 Jun 1,815 17.9 24.4 35.0 8.0 7.0 2.0 2.7 1.1 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 1.9 10.6 18 Jun – 17.5 24.0 35.0 7.5 7.5 1.5 2.5 1.5 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.0 11.0 12–17 Jun 1,500 18.3 22.5 37.0 6.6 6.7 1.7 2.7 2.6 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 1.9 14.5 12 Jun 800 19.2 22.6 34.5 6.7 6.8 1.7 3.0 2.7 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.8 11.9 11 Jun 1,735 18.0 23.9 35.2 8.6 6.7 1.9 2.5 1.1 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.1 11.3 11 Jun – 18.0 24.0 35.0 8.0 7.5 1.5 2.5 2.0 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 1.5 11.0 10 Jun 800 18.0 23.5 35.1 7.0 6.3 2.0 3.5 1.3 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.3 11.6 10 Jun 505 17.0 23.5 35.0 8.0 6.0 1.5 3.0 1.5 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 4.5 11.5 9–10 Jun 1,000 16.9 23.6 36.0 8.7 6.7 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 8.1 12.4 5–10 Jun 1,500 18.4 22.8 37.3 6.3 6.3 1.5 2.8 2.8 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 1.8 14.5 3–7 Jun 1,700 18.0 23.1 35.3 6.2 7.2 1.2 2.6 2.7 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.7 12.2 5–6 Jun 1,000 16.9 23.7 36.1 9.0 6.6 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 7.7 12.4 5 Jun 800 18.9 23.3 34.0 6.9 7.0 1.8 3.0 2.5 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.6 10.7 2–3 Jun 1,000 16.8 23.9 35.8 9.2 6.8 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 7.5 11.9 29 May–3 Jun 1,500 17.5 23.5 36.5 6.9 6.6 1.7 2.7 2.6 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.0 13.0 1 Jun 1,600 19.0 24.0 34.0 8.0 6.0 2.5 3.0 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.5 10.0 30 May 1,000 17.0 23.0 35.0 9.0 6.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.0 12.0 28–29 May 1,500 16.5 23.8 36.3 7.9 6.8 1.4 2.7 1.8 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.8 12.5 26 May – 17.1 22.7 34.3 8.8 6.5 1.7 3.1 2.3 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.5 11.5 8–9 May 1,000 22.5 21.5 31.0 10.5 5.0 3.0 3.5 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.0 8.5 8–9 May 800 21.5 21.9 29.6 10.1 5.3 2.0 3.5 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 6.1 7.7 8–9 May 2,000 23.0 22.2 31.0 8.4 5.5 2.8 3.2 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.9 8.0 7–9 May 1,500 22.7 22.1 33.8 7.8 5.8 2.1 2.4 1.3 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.0 11.1 6–9 May 1,000 20.5 20.1 30.5 9.6 5.2 3.4 4.0 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 6.7 10.0 5–9 May 6,000 23.0 21.8 30.6 9.5 5.8 1.9 2.8 0.8 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.8 7.6 8 May 503 22.0 21.0 30.5 10.0 5.0 2.0 3.5 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 6.0 8.5 7–8 May 800 22.3 21.1 32.4 9.2 5.0 2.7 3.0 1.7 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.6 10.1 6–8 May 1,500 22.7 22.5 30.5 9.4 4.7 2.7 2.6 1.7 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.2 7.8 6–8 May 1,455 22.4 21.2 32.2 9.0 4.7 2.5 3.0 1.7 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.3 9.8 6–8 May 1,007 22.6 20.4 32.2 9.5 4.7 3.1 4.1 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.4 9.6 6–8 May 1,000 24.9 20.5 30.9 7.8 5.7 2.1 3.2 1.8 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.1 6.0 7 May 1,642 23.5 21.2 32.2 10.3 5.0 2.6 2.8 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.4 8.7 7 May – 21.0 21.0 32.0 9.0 5.5 2.0 3.5 1.0 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 5.0 11.0 5–7 May 1,500 24.5 19.0 29.0 9.0 4.8 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 13.7 4.5 4–6 May 1,509 22.0 21.0 31.0 10.5 5.0 3.5 3.5 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.5 9.0 30 Apr–6 May 1,500 22.7 22.2 30.7 9.1 4.6 2.8 2.7 1.8 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.4 8.0 24 Apr–6 May 1,000 23.5 20.4 30.8 11.0 4.6 2.3 4.9 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.5 7.3 2–3 May 1,000 22.2 21.4 32.1 9.5 5.3 3.2 2.3 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 4.0 9.9 30 Apr 504 22.0 20.5 31.0 10.0 5.5 2.0 3.5 1.0 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 4.5 9.0 30 Apr 800 20.6 20.3 32.4 10.3 5.3 1.5 3.8 1.4 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 4.4 11.8 30 Apr 800 22.0 20.5 32.8 9.3 5.0 4.4 3.1 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.9 10.8 30 Apr – 20.0 22.0 32.0 8.5 6.0 2.5 3.0 1.5 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 4.5 10.0 28–29 Apr 1,000 22.3 21.4 31.2 12.2 5.2 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 7.7 8.9 24–29 Apr 1,500 21.8 22.5 31.6 8.8 5.0 3.1 2.9 1.5 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.8 9.1 27 Apr 1,536 22.9 21.9 32.2 10.1 5.1 2.5 3.0 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.3 9.3 23 Apr 1,525 23.1 22.6 31.3 10.2 5.4 2.8 3.0 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 1.6 8.2 23 Apr – 20.5 21.0 33.5 8.5 6.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 4.5 12.5 22–23 Apr 1,500 23.5 20.0 31.0 9.3 5.2 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 12.0 7.5 18–23 Apr 1,500 20.1 20.5 36.4 8.7 5.4 1.9 3.1 1.7 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.2 15.9 17–23 Apr 1,500 22.3 22.0 32.3 8.4 4.8 3.4 3.0 1.6 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.2 10.0 19–22 Apr 1,000 23.5 22.0 31.5 9.1 5.7 2.1 2.9 1.0 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.2 8.0 20 Apr – 22.3 18.7 36.9 8.7 4.6 2.1 3.0 1.3 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.4 14.6 18 Apr 1,000 22.0 20.6 32.0 11.6 4.9 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 8.9 10.0 17 Apr 800 21.7 19.8 32.9 9.2 4.8 4.4 3.1 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 4.1 11.2 16 Apr 1,794 22.6 21.8 32.1 9.5 4.9 2.9 2.9 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.3 9.5 16 Apr 503 22.5 20.5 31.0 10.5 5.5 3.5 3.0 1.5 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.0 8.5 16 Apr 800 20.8 19.5 33.0 10.6 5.5 3.0 3.8 1.2 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.6 12.2 16 Apr – 20.0 21.0 33.5 9.0 6.0 3.0 3.5 1.5 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.5 12.5 10–15 Apr 1,500 22.5 21.5 32.3 8.9 4.8 2.9 3.3 1.2 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.6 9.8 11–12 Apr 1,000 22.3 21.1 33.2 9.9 5.1 2.7 2.0 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 3.7 10.9 8–11 Apr 1,310 21.5 21.5 32.3 10.1 4.8 2.8 3.3 1.6 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 2.1 10.8 2–10 Apr 1,500 22.6 21.7 32.0 9.8 5.6 2.3 3.0 1.4 Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist 1.6 9.4 - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Did not exist - - - - - 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Date Polling firm Sample size M5S PD Lega FI FdI LeU +Eu NcI PaP Other Lead Date Polling firm Sample size Other Lead 9 Apr 1,845 21.5 22.3 31.4 10.1 4.8 2.9 0.5 6.5 9.1 9 Apr – 20.0 21.0 32.5 9.5 5.5 1.5 3.0 0.5 1.0 5.5 11.5 7–8 Apr 1,000 21.4 20.0 31.9 12.3 4.7 9.7 10.5 5–8 Apr 1,500 20.5 20.9 35.7 9.5 4.3 1.7 2.8 1.4 3.2 15.8 3–8 Apr 1,500 22.0 22.1 31.8 8.9 4.9 2.9 3.1 1.1 3.2 9.7 2–4 Apr 1,000 23.3 19.0 35.7 9.9 4.0 2.0 3.1 3.0 12.5 3 Apr 504 22.5 20.0 30.5 10.5 5.0 3.0 3.0 0.5 5.0 8.0 3 Apr 800 19.4 20.1 31.4 11.1 5.4 3.9 3.8 w. FI 4.9 11.3 2–3 Apr 800 21.1 20.8 33.6 9.3 4.6 3.2 2.8 1.5 3.1 12.5 2 Apr 1,725 22.7 21.1 31.9 9.3 4.7 2.9 0.6 1.6 5.2 9.2 2 Apr – 20.5 21.0 32.0 10.5 5.0 1.5 3.5 0.5 1.0 4.5 11.0 31 Mar–1 Apr 1,000 21.0 20.1 31.9 12.1 4.6 10.3 10.9 29 Mar–1 Apr 1,000 19.1 22.6 31.2 8.7 4.9 3.2 2.5 0.6 1.3 5.9 8.6 27 Mar–1 Apr 1,500 22.2 20.8 32.9 9.0 4.6 1.0 2.9 1.3 5.3 10.7 25 Mar–1 Apr 4,000 21.3 21.6 31.9 9.1 4.6 3.6 3.2 1.1 3.6 10.3 29–30 Mar 1,000 22.7 20.5 32.1 10.0 5.3 3.4 2.7 3.3 9.4 28 Mar 1,002 21.0 20.2 32.0 11.8 4.7 10.3 11.0 26–27 Mar 800 20.6 21.1 34.5 9.1 4.5 2.9 2.7 1.7 2.9 13.4 26–27 Mar 1,500 22.0 21.0 32.0 9.0 4.0 12.0 10.0 26 Mar 1,865 22.9 21.1 31.8 9.5 4.9 3.0 0.6 1.6 4.6 8.9 26 Mar – 21.0 21.0 32.0 11.0 4.5 2.0 3.5 0.5 1.0 3.5 11.0 22–25 Mar 1,500 20.3 21.2 35.8 9.2 4.1 1.5 3.1 1.6 3.2 14.6 20–25 Mar 1,500 21.3 21.0 33.4 8.7 4.7 2.3 2.9 2.2 3.5 12.1 21 Mar – 23.0 20.0 31.0 11.5 4.5 2.0 3.0 0.5 4.5 8.0 20–21 Mar 800 19.8 20.7 33.1 11.4 4.7 2.2 3.6 4.5 12.4 20–21 Mar 1,000 19.9 21.0 33.1 11.7 4.5 9.8 12.1 20 Mar 800 20.4 21.2 34.8 9.0 4.4 2.8 2.7 1.7 3.0 13.6 19 Mar 1,785 23.4 21.0 30.9 10.0 4.8 3.0 0.6 1.6 4.7 7.5 19 Mar – 21.0 21.0 32.5 11.0 4.5 1.5 3.5 0.5 1.0 3.5 11.5 13–18 Mar 1,500 21.0 21.1 33.9 8.6 4.4 2.4 3.0 2.0 3.6 12.8 17–18 Mar 1,000 21.8 20.4 31.2 11.9 4.4 10.3 9.4 12–13 Mar 800 21.3 20.1 34.6 9.1 4.3 2.9 2.7 1.7 3.3 13.3 12–13 Mar 1,500 22.8 20.2 33.0 8.8 3.6 11.6 10.2 11–13 Mar 1,005 23.2 19.0 34.4 9.6 4.2 2.6 2.5 4.5 11.2 12 Mar 1,845 23.8 19.9 30.6 9.8 4.9 3.1 0.6 1.6 5.7 6.8 12 Mar – 21.0 21.0 32.5 11.5 4.0 1.5 3.5 0.5 1.0 3.5 11.5 12 Mar 500 24.5 19.0 31.5 11.0 4.0 2.5 3.5 0.5 3.5 7.0 6–11 Mar 1,500 21.8 20.3 33.7 8.9 4.1 2.6 2.8 1.9 3.9 11.9 6–7 Mar 2,000 22.2 20.3 31.2 12.5 4.2 3.3 6.3 9.0 5–6 Mar 800 21.7 18.9 34.6 9.0 4.5 3.3 2.8 1.8 3.4 12.9 5 Mar 1,803 23.2 19.3 31.2 10.2 4.8 3.1 0.6 1.4 6.2 8.0 5 Mar – 21.0 20.0 33.0 11.0 4.0 1.5 3.5 0.5 1.0 4.5 12.0 3–4 Mar 1,003 21.8 18.8 32.5 12.0 4.6 10.3 10.7 27 Feb–4 Mar 1,500 22.1 19.8 33.4 8.8 4.4 2.4 3.0 2.0 4.1 11.3 1–3 Mar 1,500 21.6 20.3 35.4 8.8 3.8 1.9 3.2 1.7 3.3 13.8 27–28 Feb 1,000 22.0 18.3 32.5 12.1 4.7 10.4 10.5 26–28 Feb 1,000 21.2 18.5 35.9 8.6 4.0 2.4 4.0 0.5 4.9 14.7 26–27 Feb 800 22.1 18.0 34.5 9.1 4.5 3.5 3.0 2.0 3.3 12.4 22–27 Feb 1,084 22.7 18.9 32.3 9.5 4.0 2.5 2.6 0.6 1.7 5.2 9.6 26 Feb 1,603 23.8 18.2 31.2 10.7 5.0 3.0 0.6 1.6 5.9 7.4 25 Feb 505 25.0 18.5 31.5 11.0 4.5 1.5 3.5 0.5 4.0 6.5 25 Feb 800 21.8 18.6 34.6 11.0 4.7 1.9 3.7 w. FI 3.7 12.8 20–25 Feb 1,500 22.6 18.5 33.2 8.7 4.3 3.0 3.1 2.3 4.3 10.6 19–20 Feb 800 22.2 17.5 34.7 8.7 4.5 3.6 2.8 2.2 3.8 12.5 19 Feb 1,802 24.8 17.9 30.7 10.3 5.2 3.0 0.7 1.6 5.8 5.9 19 Feb – 21.0 18.0 35.0 11.0 4.0 2.0 3.5 0.5 1.0 4.0 14.0 17–18 Feb 1,000 23.2 16.9 33.0 12.0 4.4 10.5 9.8 13–18 Feb 1,500 22.1 18.6 33.4 9.0 4.5 2.9 2.9 2.2 4.4 11.3 14–17 Feb 1,500 23.2 18.7 36.2 9.0 3.4 1.8 2.8 1.6 3.3 13.0 13–15 Feb 1,003 24.3 18.0 32.9 10.3 5.1 9.4 8.6 12–13 Feb 800 22.3 17.3 34.5 8.3 4.6 3.5 2.9 2.3 4.3 12.2 12–13 Feb 1,500 25.2 17.5 33.0 8.6 3.4 12.3 7.8 12 Feb – 24.6 18.0 31.4 9.5 4.9 3.0 0.7 2.0 5.9 6.8 12 Feb 500 27.0 17.5 30.5 10.0 5.0 3.5 2.5 0.5 3.5 3.5 12 Feb 800 24.0 16.8 34.4 10.5 4.6 3.4 3.3 0.3 2.7 10.4 12 Feb – 22.0 19.0 34.0 10.0 4.5 2.0 3.5 0.5 1.5 3.0 12.0 6–11 Feb 1,500 23.3 17.5 33.8 8.5 4.6 2.7 3.1 2.4 4.1 10.5 6–7 Feb 1,000 25.4 16.1 34.4 8.1 3.6 2.2 4.2 0.8 5.2 9.0 4–7 Feb 16,000 25.1 16.7 31.9 11.7 4.5 3.1 7.0 6.8 6 Feb 800 23.3 17.2 34.2 8.1 4.3 3.0 2.8 2.2 4.9 10.9 2–6 Feb 1,113 24.9 18.7 31.3 9.0 3.5 2.6 2.4 0.6 1.7 5.3 6.4 5 Feb 1,803 25.1 18.7 30.1 9.7 4.5 3.0 0.8 2.0 6.1 5.0 3–4 Feb 998 25.0 17.3 32.1 11.7 4.1 9.8 7.1 30 Jan–4 Feb 1,500 24.0 16.8 33.8 8.3 4.3 2.9 3.1 2.5 4.3 9.8 30 Jan – 24.0 19.0 33.0 9.0 4.5 2.0 3.0 0.5 1.5 3.5 9.0 29–30 Jan 800 23.5 17.5 33.7 7.9 4.3 2.9 2.7 2.0 5.5 10.2 28–30 Jan 1,006 24.9 18.2 33.7 9.4 3.3 2.8 3.0 4.7 8.8 29 Jan 1,786 25.8 18.2 30.3 9.2 4.5 3.0 0.8 1.9 6.3 4.5 29 Jan 503 27.5 17.0 30.0 10.5 4.5 3.0 2.5 0.5 4.5 2.5 29 Jan 800 24.7 17.2 33.0 10.4 4.6 3.4 2.8 0.5 3.4 8.3 27–28 Jan 1,000 25.8 17.9 30.2 11.9 4.3 9.9 4.4 23–28 Jan 1,500 24.9 17.2 32.6 8.1 4.5 2.6 2.9 2.4 4.8 7.7 22 Jan 503 28.0 17.0 30.0 10.5 4.5 2.5 2.0 0.5 5.0 2.0 22 Jan 1,801 26.5 17.9 30.1 8.9 4.7 2.6 0.7 2.1 6.5 3.6 16–21 Jan 1,500 25.7 17.9 31.5 8.6 4.4 2.8 3.0 2.3 3.8 5.8 16–17 Jan 1,005 25.5 17.6 31.2 12.0 3.9 9.8 5.7 15–17 Jan 1,000 25.4 17.3 35.8 7.1 3.4 3.5 0.6 6.9 10.4 15–16 Jan 800 23.9 17.6 33.0 8.0 4.1 2.7 2.5 2.1 6.1 9.1 15 Jan 1,794 26.6 18.5 30.6 8.8 4.4 2.1 0.8 1.8 6.4 4.0 15 Jan 505 28.0 17.5 30.5 10.5 4.0 2.5 2.0 0.5 4.5 2.5 15 Jan 800 24.7 16.5 31.2 10.5 5.0 3.1 3.1 0.5 5.4 6.5 15 Jan – 23.0 19.0 32.0 9.0 4.0 2.5 2.5 0.5 1.5 6.0 9.0 14–15 Jan 1,500 26.5 17.6 32.0 9.0 3.4 11.5 5.5 9–14 Jan 1,500 25.2 17.3 32.2 8.2 4.2 3.1 3.2 2.5 4.1 7.0 13 Jan – 23.0 19.0 34.0 9.0 4.0 2.0 2.5 1.0 1.5 4.0 11.0 9–10 Jan 2,000 25.5 17.5 30.8 11.7 3.9 3.1 7.5 5.3 7–10 Jan 1,096 25.6 18.7 30.8 9.3 3.3 2.4 2.9 0.4 1.4 5.2 5.2 8–9 Jan 800 24.1 17.5 33.1 7.9 4.1 2.9 2.5 2.2 5.7 9.0 8 Jan 505 28.0 17.5 31.5 10.0 3.5 2.5 2.0 0.5 4.5 3.5 8 Jan 1,540 26.1 19.1 31.0 8.3 4.1 2.0 0.8 2.0 6.6 4.9 6–7 Jan 1,003 24.9 17.8 31.8 10.9 4.2 10.4 6.9 3–7 Jan 1,500 26.3 17.3 32.2 8.3 3.8 2.8 2.9 2.2 4.2 5.9
2018 Coalition vote Graphical summary 2019 2018 Seat projections Chamber of Deputies 630 seats are available. 316 seats are needed for a majority. In some polls only the 618 constituencies in Italy proper are allocated, while the 12 abroad constituencies are omitted. Date Polling firm Centre-right M5S Centre-left LeU Others Lead Majority Date Polling firm Lead Majority 26 Aug 2019 410 92 120 0 8 290 +94 9 Aug 2019 413 88 115 0 2 298 +97 9 Aug 2019 416 81 119 0 2 297 +100 19 Jul 2019 413 81 122 0 2 291 +97 26 May 2019 404 79 135 0 0 269 +88 26 May 2019 415 81 122 0 0 293 +99 26 May 2019 429 76 132 0 0 297 +113 26 May 2019 406 78 134 0 0 272 +90 8–11 Apr 2019 without tossups 397 106 115 0 0 282 +81 8–11 Apr 2019 385 105 113 0 15 272 +69 26 Mar 2019 382 127 107 0 1 255 +66 27 Oct 2018 338 187 90 0 1 149 +22 4 March 2018265 227 122 14 2 38 –51
Senate of the Republic 315 seats are available, plus 6 senators for life . 161 seats are needed for a majority. In some polls only the 309 constituencies in Italy proper are allocated, while the 6 abroad constituencies are omitted. Date Polling firm Centre-right M5S Centre-left LeU Others Lead Majority Date Polling firm Lead Majority 9 Aug 2019 210 40 57 0 2 153 +49 19 Jul 2019 208 40 59 0 2 149 +47 26 May 2019 206 41 60 0 2 146 +45 26 Mar 2019 190 63 55 0 1 126 +29 27 Oct 2018 168 91 45 0 1 73 +7 4 March 2018 137 112 60 4 2 25 –24
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