People's war


People's war, also called protracted people's war, is a Maoist military strategy. First developed by the Chinese communist revolutionary leader Mao Zedong, the basic concept behind People's War is to maintain the support of the population and draw the enemy deep into the countryside where the population will bleed them dry through a mix of mobile warfare and guerrilla warfare. It was used by the Chinese communists against the Imperial Japanese Army in World War II, and by the Chinese Soviet Republic in the Chinese Civil War.
The term is used by Maoists for their strategy of long-term armed revolutionary struggle. After the Sino-Vietnamese War in 1979, Deng Xiaoping abandoned People's War for "People's War under Modern Conditions", which moved away from reliance on troops over technology. With the adoption of "socialism with Chinese characteristics", economic reforms fueled military and technological investment. Troop numbers were also reduced and professionalisation encouraged.
The strategy of people's war was used heavily by the Viet Cong in the Vietnam War. However protracted war should not be confused with the "foco" theory employed by Che Guevara and Fidel Castro in the Cuban Revolution of 1959.

Overview

In China

In its original formulation by Chairman Mao Zedong, people's war exploits the few advantages that a small revolutionary movement has—broad-based popular support can be one of them—against a state's power with a large, professional, well-equipped and well-funded army. People's war strategically avoids decisive battles, since a tiny force of a few dozen soldiers would easily be routed in an all-out confrontation with the state. Instead, it favours a three-stage strategy of protracted warfare, with carefully chosen battles that can realistically be won.
In stage one, the revolutionary force conducting people's war starts in a remote area with mountainous or forested terrain in which its enemy is weak. It attempts to establish a local stronghold known as a revolutionary base area. As it grows in power, it enters stage two, establishes other revolutionary base areas and spreads its influence through the surrounding countryside, where it may become the governing power and gain popular support through such programmes as land reform. Eventually in stage three, the movement has enough strength to encircle and capture small cities, then larger ones, until finally it seizes power in the entire country.
Within the Chinese Red Army, the concept of people's war was the basis of strategy against the Japanese, and against a hypothetical Soviet invasion of China. The concept of people's war became less important with the collapse of the Soviet Union and the increasing possibility of conflict with the United States over Taiwan. In the 1980s and 1990s the concept of people's war was changed to include more high-technology weaponry.
Historian David Priestland dates the beginning of the policy of people's war to the publication of a "General Outline for Military Work" in May 1928, by Chinese Central Committee. This document established official military strategies to the Chinese Red Army during the Chinese civil war.
In February 2020, the Chinese Communist Party launched an aggressive campaign described by the Party general secretary Xi Jinping as a "people's war" to contain the spread of the coronavirus.

Outside China

Outside China, the people's war doctrine has been successful in Cuba, Nepal, Vietnam, and Nicaragua, but generally unsuccessful elsewhere in which the government has the will and the means to break up the movement before it can establish base areas.
Outside China, people's war has been basis of wars started in Peru on May 2, 1982, and in the Nepalese Civil War begun on February 9, 1999. A group of Peruvian Maoists known as the Shining Path at times controlled significant parts of the country during the internal conflict in Peru, but they were dealt a blow by the arrest of their leader Abimael Guzmán in 1992. While they claim to consider this event only a "bend in the road", most independent sources have claimed them to be in decline since that time.
By all accounts, at the height of the conflict in Peru, both the Shining Path and the Peruvian government used terror tactics against the civilian population, especially in the countryside. Government tactics included sponsorship of death squads; Shining Path tactics included violent attacks on trade unionists and others they saw as rivals for the leadership of those opposing the government. This has made it very difficult to get any objective measure of support among the peasantry for either the government or the Maoist insurgents, since such tactics on both sides are liable to intimidate people, but unlikely to win hearts and minds.
In Nepal, the Maoists succeeded in controlling most of the country and formed 100,000 troops into 3 divisions in what they called the "beginning of the strategic offensive". The Nepalese rebels also resorted to conscription, a practice that Mao himself opposed. By aligning with the democracy movement, with the subsequent restoration of democracy, and a peace agreement with the government, the Maoist insurgency met sufficient success to allow the formation of a coalition government in 2008.
In India, the Naxalite Maoist insurgency controls several rural districts in the eastern and southern regions, especially in Andhra Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand. In the Philippines the Communist Party of the Philippines is waging an enduring people's war through its armed wing, the New People's Army, the Turkish TKP/ML and its armed wing TiKKO has been waging a People's War in Turkey since 1972.
During the 1980s in Ireland, IRA leader Jim Lynagh devised a Maoist urban guerilla military strategy adapted to Irish conditions aimed at escalating the war against British forces. The plan envisaged the destruction of police and army bases in parts of Northern Ireland in order to create liberated areas under IRA control. In 1984 he started cooperating with Pádraig McKearney who shared his views. The strategy began materializing with the destruction of two Royal Ulster Constabulary barracks in Ballygawley in December 1985, and in The Birches in August 1986. Lynagh and his IRA unit were killed in another attack at Loughgall Police station in an SAS ambush.

List of People's Wars

Conflicts in the following list are labelled the People's War by the Maoists
DateConflictStateRebel groupRevolutionary base areaDeathsResult
1 August 1927 – 7 August 1950Chinese Civil WarRepublic of China Communist Party of China
Communist-controlled Chinacca. 8 millionCommunist victory
1 November 1955 – 30 April 1975Vietnam WarSouth VietnamViet Cong
  • People's Liberation Armed Forces of South Vietnam
  • Memot District Lộc Ninh 1,326,494–4,249,494Communist victory
    23 May 1959 – 2 December 1975Laotian Civil WarKingdom of LaosLao People's Party
    • Pathet Lao
    Xam Neua20,000–62,000 killedCommunist victory
    17 January 1968 – 17 April 1975Cambodian Civil WarCambodiaCommunist Party of Kampuchea
  • Khmer Rouge
  • Ratanakiri Province275,000–310,000 killedCommunist victory
    18 May 1967 – presentNaxalite–Maoist insurgencyIndiaCommunist Party of India
  • People's Liberation Guerrilla Army
  • Red corridorcca. 14,000Ongoing
    29 March 1969 – presentCPP–NPA–NDF rebellionPhilippinesCommunist Party of the Philippines
  • New People's Army
  • Samarmore than 40,000Ongoing
    12 September 1972 – presentMaoist insurgency in TurkeyTurkeyCommunist Party of Turkey/Marxist–Leninist
  • Liberation Army of the Workers and Peasants of Turkey
  • Tunceli Province500+ maoists killedOngoing
    17 May 1980 – presentInternal conflict in PeruPeruCommunist Party of Peru–Shining Path
  • People's Guerilla Army
  • Ayacucho Region70,000+ killedOngoing
    13 February 1996 – 21 November 2006Nepalese Civil WarKingdom of NepalCommunist Party of Nepal
  • People's Liberation Army, Nepal
  • Rapti Zone17,800 killed overallComprehensive Peace Accord
    1965–1983Communist insurgency in ThailandThailandCommunist Party of Thailand
  • People's Liberation Army of Thailand
  • Nakhon Phanom Province1,450+ soldiers, police, and officials killedGovernment victory
    2 April 1948 – 21 September 1988Communist insurgency in MyanmarMyanmarCommunist Party of Burma
  • People's Army of Burma
  • Shan State3,000+ killedGovernment victory
    – 3 November 1990Communist insurgency in SarawakMalaysiaNorth Kalimantan Communist Party
  • North Kalimantan People's Army
  • Sarawak400–500 killedGovernment victory
    26 March 1971 – 16 December 1971Bangladesh Liberation WarBangladeshProvisional Government of Bangladesh
  • Mukti Bahini
  • Mujibnagar, Kushtiacca. 3 MillionVictory of Armed Forces and Freedom Fighters of Bangladesh
    In some other countries, maoists tried or still are trying to start and develop the People's War: