Statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election


This article provides a collection of statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election, which was won by incumbent President Barack Obama. The polls show the status between Republican nominee Mitt Romney and President Obama. Also included are three- and four-way race polls with the Republican and Democratic nominees against various third party candidates.

Opinion polling: Obama vs Romney

Sample size key:
LV – Likely Voters
RV – Registered Voters.
Poll source key
– Source polls normally for Republicans
– Source polls normally for Democrats

[Alabama]

9 electoral votes
62%–38%
60%–38%

[Alaska]

3 electoral votes
61%–35%
59%–37%
No polls conducted

[Arizona]

11 electoral votes
55%–44%
53%–45%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
November 2–3, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney53%71,080 LV±3%
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney52%8702 LV±4.1%
October 21, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney52%8500 LV±4.5%
October 4–11, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney52%9469 LV±5.4%
October 4–10, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney42%2523 LV±4.4%
October 1–3, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney53%9595 LV±4.0%
September 25–26, 2012Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney46%4500 LV±4.0%
September 25, 2012Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney52%10500 LV±4.5%
September 15–19, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney48%3600 LV±4.0%
September 7–14, 2012Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney51%10628 LV±%
September 7–9, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney53%9993±3.1%

[Arkansas]

6 electoral votes
54%–45%
59%–39%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 9–14, 2012Barack Obama31%Mitt Romney58%27642 LV±4.0%
September 17, 2012Barack Obama35%Mitt Romney56%212.228 LV±2.0%

[California]

55 electoral votes
54%–45%
61%–37%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama55%Mitt Romney40%151,575 LV±--%
October 17–30, 2012Barack Obama54%Mitt Romney39%151,566 LV±2.6%
October 21–28, 2012Barack Obama56%Mitt Romney33%232,115 LV±3%
October 15–21, 2012Barack Obama55%Mitt Romney38%171,504 RV±--%
October 14–21, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney41%12993 LV±4.0%
October 11–15, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney38%15508 LV±5.1%
October 7–10, 2012Barack Obama54%Mitt Romney33%21830 LV±3.4%
October 7–9, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney39%14539 LV±4.3%
September 5 – 17, 2012Barack Obama58%Mitt Romney34%241,171 RV±3.4%
September 9 – 16, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney39%14995 LV±4.4%
September 7 – 14, 2012Barack Obama56%Mitt Romney39%171,361 LV±--%
September 9–12, 2012Barack Obama55%Mitt Romney33%22802LV±3.5%
September 9–11, 2012Barack Obama57%Mitt Romney35%22524LV±4.3%

[Colorado]

9 electoral votes
52%–47%
54%–45%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
November 3–5, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney47%1774 LV±4%
November 3–4, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney46%61,096 LV±3%
November 2–4, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney46%4603 LV±4%
November 2–4, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney48%Tied676 LV±4.3%
November 1–3, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney47%2973 LV±3.6%
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney47%1752 LV±4.1%
October 31 – November 2, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney46%Tied1,052 LV±3.4%
October 31 – November 1, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney46%4825 LV±-%
October 30 – November 1, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney47%1694 LV±4.2%
October 28–31, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney45%2695 LV±3.8%
October 26–31, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney48%2764 LV±3.5%
October 29–31, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney46%1744 LV±4.1%
October 30, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney47%31,246 LV±2.9%
October 29, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney50%3500 LV±4.5%
October 28–29, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney45%3500 LV±4.4%
October 25–28, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney48%1600 LV±4.0%
October 23–25, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney47%4904 LV±3.3%
October 23–25, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney46%1600 LV±4.0%
October 23–24, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney45%3502 LV±4.4%
October 23–24, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney48%Tied1,128 LV±2.9%
October 23–24, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney43%3500 LV±4.4%
October 16–18, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney50%4500 LV±4.0%
October 16–18, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney47%3500 LV±4.0%
October 15–16, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney44%3500 LV±4.4%
October 15, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney48%11,206 LV±2.9%
October 5–11, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney46%22,089 LV±2.2%
October 9–10, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney48%1614 LV±4.0%
October 4–9, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney48%11,254 LV±3.0%
October 5–8, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney50%4600 LV±4.0%
October 7, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney48%1500 LV±4.5%
October 4–5, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney43%4604 LV±4.0%
September 30October 2, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney50%4300 LV±5.7%
September 25 – 27, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney46%31,273 LV±2.8%
September 20–23, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney45%6940 LV±3.2%
September 15 – 19, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney45%3600 LV±4.0%
September 16–18, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney45%5971 LV±3.1%
September 17, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney47%2500 LV±4.5%
September 11–17, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney47%11,497 LV±2.5%
September 10–12, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney47%2600 LV±4.0%
September 10–11, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney44%5503 LV±4.4%
August 31 – September 2, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney46%31,001 LV±3.1%

Three way race
Poll sourceDateDemocratic%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
September 20–23, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney43%Gary Johnson4%6740±3.2%

[Connecticut]

7 electoral votes
54%–44%
61%–38%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama54%Mitt Romney39%15895 LV±3.6%
November 1 – 2, 2012Barack Obama55%Mitt Romney42%131,220 LV±2.8%
October 19–22, 2012Barack Obama55%Mitt Romney41%141,412 LV±2.6%
October 21, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney45%7500 LV±4.5%
October 19–21, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney40%13575 LV±4.2%
October 15–16, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney44%91,015 LV±3.1%
October 11–16, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney37%14574 LV±4.0%
October 4–14, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney38%15552 LV±4.2%
October 4–11, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney39%14434 LV±5.5%
October 7, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney45%6500 LV±4.5%
September 28 – October 2, 2012Barack Obama54%Mitt Romney42%121,696 LV±2.4%
September 24 – 26, 2012Barack Obama54%Mitt Romney41%13801 LV±3.5%
September 11 – 16, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney32%21508 LV±4.4%
September 7 – 14, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney40%13634 LV±--%

[Delaware]

3 electoral votes
53%–46%
62%–37%
No polls conducted

District of Columbia

3 electoral votes
89%–9%
92%–7%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 12–14, 2012Barack Obama88%Mitt Romney8%801,222 LV±2.8%

[Florida]

29 electoral votes
52%–47%
51%–48%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
November 4–5, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney49%Tied1,060 LV±3.1%
November 3–5, 2012Barack Obama47.8%Mitt Romney47.7%0.1876 LV±3.5%
November 3–5, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney48%1769 LV±4%
November 3–5, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney43%71,197 RV±3.2%
November 4, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney52%5437 LV±4.5%
November 3–4, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney49%1955 LV±3.2%
November 2–4, 2012Barack Obama50.4%Mitt Romney45.2%5.2826 LV±3.5%
November 2–4, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney46%Tied743 LV±4.1%
November 2–4, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney44%31,107 RV±3.4%
November 1–3, 2012Barack Obama46.9%Mitt Romney49.2%2.3823 LV±3.5%
November 1–3, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney49%Tied525 LV±4.3%
November 1–3, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney47%Tied946 LV±3.6%
November 1–3, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney42%41,257 RV±3.2%
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney48%11,621 LV±3%
October 31 – November 2, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney46%2985 LV±3.6%
October 30 – November 2, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney45%2800 LV±3.4%
October 30 – November 1, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney47%21,545 LV±2.5%
October 30 – November 1, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney46%2897 LV±3.7%
October 30 – November 1, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney51%6800 LV±3.5%
October 29–31, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney47%Tied716 LV±4.2%
October 29–31, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney44%1963 RV±4%
October 30, 2012Barack Obama48.9%Mitt Romney49.8%0.91,146 LV±3%
October 30, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney50%3549 LV±4.2%
October 28–30, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney47%1825 LV±3.5%
October 29, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney50%21,000 LV±3%
October 28–29, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney47%1600 LV±4%
October 27–29, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney47%1828 LV±3.5%
October 26–28, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney48%1827 LV±3.5%
October 26–28, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney48%1687 LV±3.7%
October 25–28, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney50%1770 LV±3.5%
October 25–28, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney46%6914 RV±3%
October 23–28, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney47%11,073 LV±3%
October 25–27, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney47%Tied595 LV/AV±4.1%
October 24–27, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney47%2800 LV±3.4%
October 25, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney50%2750 LV±4.0%
October 24, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney50%11,182 LV±2.8%
October 23–24, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney45%2600 LV±4.0%
October 22–24, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney51%51,001 LV±3.1%
October 19–21, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney47%Tied759 LV±3.56%
October 18–21, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney47%Tied800 LV±3.4%
October 18–20, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney51%5502 LV±4.5%
October 18, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney51%5750 LV±4.0%
October 17–18, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney49%1681 LV±4.0%
October 15–17, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney43%4841 LV±--%
October 14–16, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney44%3828 LV±n/a
October 12–14, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney49%1791 LV±3.4%
October 11, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney51%4750 LV±4.0%
October 8–11, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney49%3600 LV±4.0%
October 8–10, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney51%7800 LV±3.5%
October 7–9, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney47%1988±3.1%
October 1–9, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney45%4790±3.5%
October 4, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney49%31,200 LV±3.0%
October 4, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney49%2500 LV±4.0%
September 29 – 30, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney46%11,191 LV±3.3%
September 29 – 30, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney48%1914 LV±3.4%
September 24, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney46%3540 LV±4.0%
September 18 – 24, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney44%91,196 LV±3.0%
September 19–23, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney47%4769 LV±4.5%
September 20–23, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney46%4861 LV±3.3%
September 20–22, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney45%5600 LV±4%
September 17–19, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney47%1800 LV±3.5%
September 15 – 19, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney48%1600 LV±4.0%
September 18, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney46%31,230 LV±2.82%
September 16–18, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney44%5829 LV±3.0%
September 15–16, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney48%11,728 LV±2.5%
September 12, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney46%2500 LV±4.5%
September 9–11, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney44%5980 LV±3.1%
September 9–10, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney50%3600 LV±4.0%
September 7–9, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney44%4596 LV±4.1%
September 2, 2012Barack Obama46.7%Mitt Romney48%1.31,288 LV±2.7%
August 31 – September 2, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney47%11,548 LV±2.5%

Georgia">Georgia (U.S. state)">Georgia

16 electoral votes
58%–41%
52%–47%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney52%81,070 LV±3.5%
October 29–31, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney52%61,316 LV±2.7%
October 25–28, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney52%8574 LV±4.2%
October 8–11, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney51%8706 LV±5.0%
September 18, 2012Barack Obama35%Mitt Romney56%21483 LV±4.5%
September 7 – 14, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney51%71,020 LV±--%

[Hawaii]

4 electoral votes
54%–45%
72%–27%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 24–26, 2012Barack Obama61%Mitt Romney34%271,218±2.8%
September 26–28, 2012Barack Obama62%Mitt Romney30%321,648±2.4%

[Idaho]

4 electoral votes
68%–30%
61%–36%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 8–10, 2012Barack Obama27%Mitt Romney63%36625 LV±4%

[Illinois]

20 electoral votes
55%–45%
62%–37%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama57%Mitt Romney38%191,126 LV±3.3%
October 30, 2012Barack Obama57%Mitt Romney41%161,198 LV±2.95%
October 4–11, 2012Barack Obama58%Mitt Romney38%20850 LV±3.9%
October 4–8, 2012Barack Obama55%Mitt Romney36%19700 RV±3.7%
September 7–14, 2012Barack Obama59%Mitt Romney36%231,086±--%
September 5, 2012Barack Obama54%Mitt Romney37%171,382±2.8%

[Indiana]

11 electoral votes
60%–39%
50%–49%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney51%7768 LV±4.1%
November 1, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney52%9600 LV±4.0%
October 28–30, 2012Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney51%10800 LV±3.5%
October 26–28, 2012Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney55%13753 LV±3.5%
October 24–25, 2012Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney55%14600 LV±4.0%
October 10–11, 2012Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney54%13600 LV±4.0%
September 19–23, 2012Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney52%12800 LV±3.5%
September 7–14, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney50%5628±4.0%

[Iowa]

6 electoral votes
50%–49%
54%–44%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
November 3–4, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney48%21,122 LV±2.9%
November 2–4, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney49%1600 LV±4%
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney47%11,040 LV±3.5%
November 1–2, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney44%3500 LV±4.4%
October 30 – November 2, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney42%5800 LV±3.5%
November 1, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney45%4594 LV±4.0%
October 30 – November 1, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney44%2600 LV±4.0%
October 30, 2012Barack Obama48.8%Mitt Romney47.3%1.51,174 LV±3%
October 30, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney49%1750 LV±4%
October 29–30, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney45%5676 LV±3.8%
October 28–29, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney44%61,142 LV±3%
October 18–27, 2012Barack Obama44.4%Mitt Romney45.2%0.8320 LV±5.6%
October 24, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney46%4517 LV±4.3%
October 23–24, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney47%2690 LV±3.7%
October 21, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney48%Tied500 LV±4.5%
October 18–19, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney48%1660 LV±3.8%
October 17–19, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney49%1869 LV±3.3%
October 15–17, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney43%81,137 LV±2.9%
October 15, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney46%31,499 LV±2.6%
October 11–14, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney48%Tied600 LV±4.0%
October 7, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney47%2500 LV±4.5%
September 25–27, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney44%41,064 LV±3.1%
September 24–26, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney44%7754 LV±3.6%
September 20 – 23, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney44%7600 LV±4.0%
September 19, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney47%3500 LV±4.5%
September 16–18, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney42%8898 LV±3.3%

[Kansas]

6 electoral votes
62%–37%
57%–42%

[Kentucky]

8 electoral votes
60%–40%
57%–41%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
September 11–13, 2012Barack Obama39%Mitt Romney53%14606 LV±4.1%

[Louisiana]

8 electoral votes
57%–42%
59%–40%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 2 – 4, 2012Barack Obama36.2%Mitt Romney58.8%22.62,682 LV±1.9%
September 5 – 7, 2012Barack Obama37%Mitt Romney53%16602 LV±4.0%

[Maine]

4 electoral votes
53%–45%
58%–40%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
November 1–3, 2012Barack Obama53.3%Mitt Romney42.2%11.1905 LV±3.26%
November 1–2, 2012Barack Obama55%Mitt Romney42%131,633 LV±2.4%
October 30–31, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney42%7613 LV±4%
September 24–28, 2012Barack Obama50.8%Mitt Romney36.8%14400 LV±4.9%
September 25, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney40%12500 LV±4.5%
September 17–18, 2012Barack Obama55%Mitt Romney39%16804 LV±3.5%

[Maryland]

10 electoral votes
56%–43%
61%–38%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama59%Mitt Romney37%22705 LV±4.1%
October 20 – 23, 2012Barack Obama55%Mitt Romney36%19801 LV±3.5%
October 11 – 15, 2012Barack Obama60%Mitt Romney36%24843 LV±4.0%
October 4 – 11, 2012Barack Obama58%Mitt Romney37%21498 LV±5.2%
September 17–23, 2012Barack Obama55%Mitt Romney36%19813±3.5%

[Massachusetts]

11 electoral votes
62%–37%
62%–36%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama57%Mitt Romney37%20800 LV±4.1%
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama57%Mitt Romney37%20811 LV±3.6%
November 1 – 2, 2012Barack Obama57%Mitt Romney42%151,089 LV±3%
October 26 – November 1, 2012Barack Obama58%Mitt Romney40%18535 LV±4%
October 25 – 28, 2012Barack Obama63%Mitt Romney31%32600 LV±4.0%
October 24 – 28, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney38%14583 LV±4.1%
October 25, 2012Barack Obama59%Mitt Romney40%19500 LV±4.5%
October 21 – 22, 2012Barack Obama56%Mitt Romney36%20516 LV±4.4%
October 18 – 21, 2012Barack Obama55%Mitt Romney39%16761 LV±3.48%
October 15 – 16, 2012Barack Obama57%Mitt Romney39%18709 LV±3.7%
October 10, 2012Barack Obama57%Mitt Romney42%15500 LV±4.5%
October 9 – 10, 2012Barack Obama55%Mitt Romney41%141,051 LV±3.0%
October 2 – 8, 2012Barack Obama55%Mitt Romney34%21437 LV±5.4%
October 5 – 7, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney36%16501 LV±4.4%
September 28 – October 4, 2012Barack Obama63%Mitt Romney33%30516 RV±4.3%
September 26 – 28, 2012Barack Obama60%Mitt Romney32%28504 LV±4.4%
September 21 – 27, 2012Barack Obama57%Mitt Romney30%27502 LV±4.4%
September 24, 2012Barack Obama55%Mitt Romney40%15500 LV±4.5%
September 13 – 17, 2012Barack Obama60%Mitt Romney36%24497 LV±5.5%
September 13 – 16, 2012Barack Obama57%Mitt Romney39%18876 LV±3.3%
September 13 – 16, 2012Barack Obama64%Mitt Romney31%33600 LV±4.0%
September 6 – 13, 2012Barack Obama60%Mitt Romney38%22444 LV±4.6%
September 7 – 9, 2012Barack Obama56%Mitt Romney40%16756 LV±3.5%

[Michigan]

16 electoral votes
51%–48%
57%–41%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
November 4, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney46%51,305 LV±2.7%
November 1 – 3, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney47%5502 LV±4.4%
November 1 – 3, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney46%6700 LV±3.7%
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney44%71,091 LV±3.3%
November 2, 2012Barack Obama46.24%Mitt Romney46.86%0.621,913 LV±2.24%
November 1, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney47%5750 LV±4%
October 31 – November 1, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney41%7500 LV±4.4%
October 31 – November 1, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney46%6500 LV±4.4%
October 30–31, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney45%8500 LV±4.4%
October 27–29, 2012Barack Obama47.7%Mitt Romney45%2.7600 LV±4%
October 26–29, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney42%6600 LV±4%
October 22–23, 2012Barack Obama46.92%Mitt Romney46.56%0.361,122 LV±2.9%
October 18–20, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney43%9551 LV±4.2%
October 17, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney46%6800 LV±3.5%
October 11, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney45%7500 LV±4.5%
October 6 – 8, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney42%7600 LV±4.0%
October 5 – 8, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney44%21,122 LV±3.2%
October 4 – 6, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney45%3600 LV±4.0%
October 5, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney46%31,122 LV±2.93%
September 25 – 27, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney40%121,064 LV±3.1%
September 21 – 22, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney46%4804 LV±3.3%
September 20, 2012Barack Obama54%Mitt Romney42%12500 LV±4.5%
September 14–18, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney44%8754 LV±3.5%
September 15–17, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney38%14600 LV±4%
September 10–14, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney42%6600 LV±4.0%
September 12, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney44%11,156 LV±2.88%
September 8–10, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney37%10600 LV±4.0%
August 31 – September 2, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney44%7815 LV±3.4%

[Minnesota]

10 electoral votes
51%–48%
54%–44%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
November 2–3, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney45%81,164 LV±2.9%
November 1–3, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney41%11556 LV±4.2%
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney43%7790 LV±3.8%
October 31 – November 1, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney44%9772 LV±-%
October 29–31, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney46%1500 LV±4.38%
October 26–28, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney43%7574 LV±4.2%
October 23–25, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney44%3800 LV±3.5%
October 15–21, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney45%8601 LV±5%
October 21, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney46%5500 LV±4.5%
October 12 – 14, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney40%10550 LV±4.3%
October 4 – 11, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney44%8683 LV±4.2%
October 7 – 8, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney43%4500 LV±4.38%
October 5–8, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney43%10937 LV±3.2%
September 10–11, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney44%7824±3.4%
September 6–9, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney40%10N/A±4.3%

[Mississippi]

6 electoral votes
59%–40%
56%–43%

[Missouri]

10 electoral votes
53%–46%
49%–49%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
November 2–3, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney53%8835 LV±3.4%
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney53%11779 LV±3.8%
October 28 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney50%7589 LV±4.1%
October 30, 2012Barack Obama42.2%Mitt Romney53.8%11.61,217 LV±2.9%
October 23 – 25, 2012Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney54%13624 LV±4%
October 19 – 21, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney52%6582 LV±4.1%
October 12 – 13, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney54%11500 LV±4.5%
October 12 – 13, 2012Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney55%141,000 LV±3.07%
October 1 – 3, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney51%6700 LV±3.7%
October 2, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney49%3500 LV±4.5%
September 25 – 27, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney48%31,145 LV±2.9%
September 20, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney50%6817 LV±3.4%
September 7 – 14, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney50%7734 LV±--%
September 11, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney48%3500 LV±4.5%

[Montana]

3 electoral votes
59%–39%
49%–47%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
November 2–3, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney52%7836 LV±3.4%
October 29–31, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney53%10625 LV±4%
October 29, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney53%10500 LV±4.5%
October 26 – 28, 2012Barack Obama42.7%Mitt Romney50.4%7.7799 LV±3.5%
October 19 – 21, 2012Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney48%7828 LV±3.4%
October 15 – 16, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney53%10806 LV±3.5%
October 14, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney53%8500 LV±4.5%
October 8 – 10, 2012Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney52%11737 LV±3.6%
September 23 – 26, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney48%4600 LV±4.0%
September 19, 2012Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney51%9625 RV±4.0%
September 10–11, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney50%5956 LV±3.8%

Three way race
Poll sourceDateDemocratic%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
September 19, 2012Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney51%Gary Johnson2%9

[Nebraska]

5 electoral votes
66%–33%
57%–42%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
November 1, 2012Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney54%131,178 LV±2.95%
October 26 – 28, 2012Barack Obama39%Mitt Romney58%19761 LV±3.5%
October 23 – 25, 2012Barack Obama38%Mitt Romney52%14800 LV±3.5%
October 19 – 21, 2012Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney51%10783 LV±3.5%
September 17 – 20, 2012Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney51%11800 LV±3.5%

2nd Congressional District
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 23 – 25, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney49%5679 LV±3.8%
October 19 – 21, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney45%3N/AN/A
September 17 – 20, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney44%Tied

[Nevada]

6 electoral votes
51%–48%
55%–43%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
November 3–4, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney47%4750 LV±3.6%
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney45%4732 LV±4.1%
October 29–31, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney44%6600 LV±4%
October 23–29, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney46%41,212 LV±2.9%
October 27–28, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney43%6500 LV±4.4%
October 24, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney49%1955 LV±3.2%
October 23–24, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney47%31,042 LV±3%
October 22–24, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney47%4636 LV±3.9%
October 23, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney48%2500 LV±4.5%
October 19 – 22, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney47%2600 LV±4.0%
October 15–16, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney43%7500 LV±4.4%
October 11–15, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney45%3806 LV±3.5%
October 15, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney47%3500 LV±4.5%
October 4 – 11, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney45%5358 LV±6.7%
October 8–10, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney47%4594 LV±4%
October 6–9, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney45%2500 LV±4.4%
October 8, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney47%Tied500 LV±4.5%
October 3, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney48%11,006 LV±3.1%
September 25 – 27, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney42%111,152 LV±3.1%
September 23 – 25, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney47%2984 LV±3.1%
September 20 – 23, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney44%7600 LV±4.0%
September 20, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney45%2500 LV±4.5%
September 18 – 20, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney43%9501 LV±4.4%
September 14–18, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney46%3741 LV±3.5%

Three way race
Poll sourceDateDemocratic candidate%Republican candidate%Libertarian%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
September 27-27, 2012Barack Obama52.5%Mitt Romney42%Gary Johnson2.3%10.51,152±3.1%

[New Hampshire]

4 electoral votes
50%–49%
54%–45%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
November 3–4, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney46%4687 LV±3.7%
November 3–4, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney48%21,550 LV±2.5%
November 2–4, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney49%Tied600 LV±4%
November 1–4, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney48%3789 LV±3.5%
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney43%4690 LV±4.1%
October 31 – November 2, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney48%Tied502 LV±4.4%
November 1, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney49%1497 LV±4.3%
October 29–31, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney44%61,017 LV±3.7%
October 28–29, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney47%21,013 LV±3%
October 26 – 28, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney47%2874 LV±3.3%
October 24 – 28, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney42%5400 LV±5%
October 24 – 25, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney44%3500 LV±4.4%
October 23 – 25, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney46%3571 LV±4.1%
October 23, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney50%2500 LV±4.5%
October 19 – 22, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney49%2600 LV±4.0%
October 18 – 22, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney45%3400 LV±4.9%
October 17 – 21, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney42%9773 LV±3.5%
October 17 – 19, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney49%11,036 LV±3.0%
October 15, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney49%1500 LV±4.5%
October 12 – 14, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney47%Tied500 LV±4.4%
October 9 – 11, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney50%4600 LV±4.0%
October 9, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney48%Tied500 LV±4.5%
September 30 – October 6, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney41%6638±4.1%
September 27 – 30, 2012Barack Obama54%Mitt Romney39%15638±4.0%
September 25 – 27, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney45%5600 LV±4.0%
September 23 – 25, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney44%71,012±3.1%
September 15 – 19, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney45%7600±4.9%
September 18, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney48%3500 LV±4.5%
September 15–17, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney47%1463 LV±%
September 4–10, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney40%5592 LV±4.0%

[New Jersey]

14 electoral votes
52%–46%
57%–42%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney41%12987 LV±3.4%
October 23 – 25, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney41%10601 LV±4.0%
October 10 – 14, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney43%81,319 LV±2.7%
October 4 – 8, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney40%11604 LV±4.0%
September 27 – 30, 2012Barack Obama56%Mitt Romney39%17645 LV±3.8%
September 19 – 23, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney37%15613 LV±4.0%
September 7 – 14, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney40%121,040 LV±--%
September 9–12, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney37%14600 LV±4.0%
August 27 – September 2, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney44%71,471 LV±2.6%

[New Mexico]

5 electoral votes
50%–49%
57%–42%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney43%6650 LV±--%
October 30–31, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney41%8500 LV±4.38%
October 23–25, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney41%9662 LV±3.8%
October 23–24, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney44%9727 LV±n/a%
October 9–11, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney39%10658 LV±3.8%
October 8, 2012Barack Obama54%Mitt Romney43%11500 LV±4.5%
September 27, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney40%11500 LV±4.5%
September 17 – 20, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney43%93,111 LV±1.8%
September 7–9, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney42%111,122 LV±2.9%
September 3–6, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney40%5667 LV±3.8%

Three way race
Poll sourceDateDemocratic%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 30–31, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney41%Gary Johnson6%8500 LV±4.38%
October 23–25, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney41%Gary Johnson5%9662 LV±3.8%
October 9–11, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney39%Gary Johnson6%10658 LV±3.8%
September 3–6, 2012Barack Obama50.9%Mitt Romney40.6%Gary Johnson3.9%10.31,258 LV±2.58%
September 3–6, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney40%Gary Johnson7%5667 LV±3.8%

New York">New York (state)">New York

29 electoral votes
58%–40%
63%–36%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama59%Mitt Romney36%231,430 LV±2.8%
October 23 – 25, 2012Barack Obama62%Mitt Romney33%29554 LV±4.1%
October 22 – 24, 2012Barack Obama59%Mitt Romney35%24750 LV±3.6%
October 18 – 21, 2012Barack Obama61%Mitt Romney35%26565 LV±4.1%
October 4 – 11, 2012Barack Obama59%Mitt Romney35%241,142 LV±3.2%
September 4–9, 2012Barack Obama62%Mitt Romney34%281,486 LV±2.5%

[North Carolina]

15 electoral votes
56%–44%
50%–49%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
November 4, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney50%41,130 LV±2.9%
November 3–4, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney49%Tied926 LV±3.2%
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney49%21,500 LV±2.8%
October 29 – 31, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney49%Tied730 LV±3.6%
October 22–30, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney46%1403 LV±5%
October 26–29, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney50%5682 LV±3.8%
October 21 – 26, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney45%Tied1,238 LV±2.79%
October 23 – 24, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney44%3500 LV±4.4%
October 25, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney52%6500 LV±4.5%
October 23 – 25, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney48%Tied880 LV±3.3%
October 24, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney53%81,723 LV±2.4%
October 20–21, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney48%1600 LV±4%
October 17 – 18, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney44%3500 LV±4.4%
October 17, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney52%6500 LV±4.5%
October 12 – 14, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney49%21,084 LV±3.0%
September 29 – October 10, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney45%1605 RV±4.0%
October 9, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney51%3500 LV±4.5%
October 6–8, 2012Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney50%91,325 LV±2.9%
October 2, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney51%4500 LV±4.5%
September 29 – October 1, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney47%2573 LV±4.2%
September 28 – 30, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney50%4600 LV±4.0%
September 27 – 30, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney48%Tied981 LV±3.1%
September 18–19, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney45%4600 LV±4%
September 15–19, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney46%2600 LV±4%
September 8–13, 15–18, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney43%3448 RV±4.7%
September 13, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney51%6500 RV±4.5%
September 7–9, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney48%11,087 LV±3.0%
September 4–6, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney53%10500 RV±4.5%
August 31 – Sept 2, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney48%Tied1,012 LV±3.1%

[North Dakota]

3 electoral votes
63%–36%
53%–45%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 26 – 28, 2012Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney54%14625 LV±4%
October 26 – 28, 2012Barack Obama37.8%Mitt Romney54.6%16.8752 LV±3.6%
October 19 – 21, 2012Barack Obama39.3%Mitt Romney49.4%10.1807 LV±3.44%
October 17 – 18, 2012Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney54%14600 LV±4.0%
October 12 – 15, 2012Barack Obama32%Mitt Romney57%25500 LV±4.4%
October 3 – 5, 2012Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney54%14625 LV±4.0%
September 24 – 27, 2012Barack Obama39%Mitt Romney51%12600 LV±4.0%

[Ohio]

18 electoral votes
51%–49%
52%–47%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
November 4–5, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney48%11,316 LV±2.7%
November 3–5, 2012Barack Obama50.9%Mitt Romney43.5%7.4832 LV±3.5%
November 3–5, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney46%4680 LV±4.3%
November 3–5, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney41%91,040 RV±3.5%
November 4, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney49%Tied750 LV±4.0%
November 3–4, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney47%51,000 LV±3.1%
November 2–4, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney48%3572 LV±4.1%
November 2–4, 2012Barack Obama50.1%Mitt Romney44%6.1831 LV±3.5%
November 2–4, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney44%4712 LV±4.2%
November 1–4, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney44%5803 LV±3.5%
October 31 – November 4, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney49%1901 LV±3.3%
November 1–3, 2012Barack Obama50.2%Mitt Romney42.3%7.9827 LV±3.5%
November 1–3, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney45%11,031 LV±3.5%
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney46%31,620 LV±3%
October 24 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney48%21,501 LV±2.2%
November 1–2, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney45%4500 LV±4.4%
October 31 – November 2, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney45%21,012 LV±3.5%
November 1, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney49%Tied750 LV±4%
October 30 – November 1, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney45%6971 LV±3.1%
October 30 – November 1, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney46%41,649 LV±2.6%
October 30 – November 1, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney47%3796 LV±3.5%
October 30 – November 1, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney45%2936 LV±3.7%
October 30–31, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney49%31,281 LV±2.7%
October 29–31, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney45%3885 LV±3.8%
October 29 – 30, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney45%5600 LV±4.0%
October 28 – 30, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney44%6826 LV±3.5%
October 25 – 30, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney46%21,182 LV±2.9%
October 29, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney46%21,000 LV±3%
October 28 – 29, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney45%3500 LV±4.4%
October 27 – 29, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney45%4825 LV±3.5%
October 26 – 29, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney45%3603 LV/AV±4.1%
October 28, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney50%2750 LV±4%
October 26 – 28, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney46%3765 LV±3.5%
October 26 – 28, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney46%4827 LV±3.5%
October 26 – 28, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney47%4718 LV±3.7%
October 23 – 28, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney45%51,110 LV±3%
October 27, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney49%1730 LV±3.6%
October 23 – 25, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney44%5600 LV±4%
October 23 – 25, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney46%4741 RV±3.5%
October 23 – 25, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney44%2600 LV±4.0%
October 23 – 25, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney47%2600 LV±4.0%
October 22 – 23, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney44%5783 LV±3%
October 23, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney48%Tied750 LV±4.0%
October 20 – 23, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney44%2600 LV±4.0%
October 18 – 23, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney49%Tied1,015 LV±3.1%
October 20 – 22, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney44%3609 LV±4.1%
October 19 – 21, 2012Barack Obama49.9%Mitt Romney45.2%4.7810 LV±3.44%
October 18 – 21, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney47%Tied600 LV±4.0%
October 17–20, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney45%51,548 LV±3%
October 18–20, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney48%Tied550 LV±4.2%
October 18–20, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney48%1532 LV±4.3%
October 18 – 19, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney47%Tied1,943 LV±2.2%
October 17–18, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney43%31,131 LV±3%
October 17, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney48%1750 LV±4.0%
October 12–15, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney42%3613 LV±4.0%
October 12–13, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney46%5880 LV±3.3%
October 9 – 11, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney44%1835 LV±3.4%
October 10, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney47%1750 LV±4.0%
October 6 – 10, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney46%11,313 LV±2.7%
October 7 – 9, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney45%6994 LV±3.1%
October 7 – 9, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney42%4842 LV±3.4%
October 5 – 9, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney44%1808 LV±3.5%
October 5–8, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney47%4722 LV±3.5%
October 5 – 8, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney48%1600 LV±4.0%
October 4, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney49%1500 LV±4.5%
October 4, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney47%11,200 LV±3.0%
September 30 – October 1, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney43%8931 LV±3.2%
September 27 – 30, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney45%4897 LV±3.3%
September 19 – 29, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney42%91,662 RV±2.2%
September 18 – 24, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney43%101,162 LV±3.0%
September 19 – 23, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney44%8759 LV±4.5%
September 21 – 22, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney44%1594 LV±4.3%
September 15 – 19, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney44%4600 LV±4.0%
September 13 – 18, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney46%5861 LV±3.3%
September 16–18, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney42%71,009 LV±3.0%
September 9–12, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney43%7979 LV±3.1%
September 10–12, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney47%1600 LV±4.0%
September 7–9, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney45%51,072 LV±3.0%
September 7–8, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney43%41,548 LV±2.7%
September 2, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney47%31,381 RV±2.9%

Three way race
Poll sourceDateDemocratic%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
September 21–22, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney38%Gary Johnson11%7594±4.3%
September 7–8, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney43%Gary Johnson5%21,548±2.7%

[Oklahoma]

7 electoral votes
66%–34%
67%–34%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 18 – 24, 2012Barack Obama33%Mitt Romney59%26305 LV±5.6%

[Oregon]

7 electoral votes
51%–47%
57%–40%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 31 – November 1, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney46%6921 LV±3.2%
October 25 – 28, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney41%6405 LV±5%
October 24 – 25, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney42%5615 LV±3.9%
October 16 – 18, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney42%7579 LV±4.2%
September 10–13, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney41%9552 LV±4.3%

[Pennsylvania]

20 electoral votes
51%–48%
54%–44%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
November 4, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney46%31,060 LV±3%
November 2 – 4, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney47%4507 LV±4.2%
November 2 – 3, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney46%6790 LV±3.5%
November 1 – 3, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney46%3430 LV±5%
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney44%81,273 LV±3.3%
October 29–31, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney47%Tied800 LV±3.5%
October 30, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney46%31,000 LV±3%
October 23–28, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney45%4547 LV±4.2%
October 23–25, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney43%6600 LV±4%
October 24, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney46%5500 LV±4.5%
October 21, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney45%3887 LV±3.3%
October 19 – 21, 2012Barack Obama49.5%Mitt Romney45.5%4760 LV±3.55%
October 17 – 21, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney45%5444 LV±5.0%
October 18 – 20, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney42%10559 LV±4.2%
October 12 – 14, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney46%41,519 LV±2.5%
October 12 – 14, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney44%7500 LV±4.4%
October 10 – 14, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney45%4438 LV±5.0%
October 11, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney42%8600 LV±4.0%
October 9, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney46%5500 LV±4.5%
October 4 – 6, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney45%2725 LV±3.64%
October 1 – 5, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney40%3545 LV±4.2%
September 22–26, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney42%7427 LV±5.0%
September 18–24, 2012Barack Obama54%Mitt Romney42%121,180 LV±3.0%
September 18–23, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney43%9392 LV±4.9%
September 18–20, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney45%2800 LV±3.46%
September 12–20, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney40%8522 LV±4.29%
September 19, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney39%12500 LV±4.5%
September 18, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney42%61,214 LV±2.8%
September 10–16, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney41%9640 LV±4.0%
September 9–12, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney39%11600 LV±4%

[Rhode Island]

4 electoral votes
59%–39%
63%–35%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 24–27, 2012Barack Obama54%Mitt Romney33%21601 LV±4%
September 26 – October 5, 2012Barack Obama58%Mitt Romney32%26471 LV±4.4%
September 26–29, 2012Barack Obama57.3%Mitt Romney33.1%24.2501 LV±4.38%

[South Carolina]

9 electoral votes
58%–41%
54%–45%

[South Dakota]

3 electoral votes
60%–38%
53%–45%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 28–31, 2012Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney50%8671 LV±3.78%

[Tennessee]

11 electoral votes
57%–43%
57%–42%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney53%11697 LV±4%
October 16 – 21, 2012Barack Obama34%Mitt Romney59%25609 LV±4%
October 4 – 11, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney52%9484 LV±5%
September 7 – 14, 2012Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney50%8694 LV±--%

[Texas]

38 electoral votes
61%–38%
55%–44%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama38%Mitt Romney57%191,563 LV±3.2%
October 15 – 21, 2012Barack Obama39%Mitt Romney55%16540 LV±4.22%
October 4 – 11, 2012Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney55%14958 LV±4.5%
September 10 – 26, 2012Barack Obama39%Mitt Romney58%191,175 RV±4.66%
September 9–11, 2012Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney55%151,000 LV±3.1%

[Utah]

6 electoral votes
72%–26%
62%–34%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 26 – November 1, 2012Barack Obama26%Mitt Romney69%43870 LV±3.4%
October 9–13, 2012Barack Obama20%Mitt Romney71%51500 LV±4.4%
October 8–13, 2012Barack Obama21%Mitt Romney74%53n/a±7.6%

[Vermont]

3 electoral votes
59%–39%
67%–30%

[Virginia]

13 electoral votes
54%–46%
53%–46%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
November 3–5, 2012Barack Obama48.5%Mitt Romney47.9%0.6800 LV±3.5%
November 3–5, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney46%2828 LV±3.9%
November 3–5, 201249%42%Mitt Romney71,111 RV±3.4%-
November 4, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney50%2750 LV±4%
November 3–4, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney47%4975 LV±3.1%
November 2–4, 2012Barack Obama51.8%Mitt Romney44.2%7.6814 LV±3.5%
November 2–4, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney46%1662 LV±4.3%
November 1–3, 2012Barack Obama50.4%Mitt Romney44.2%6.2819 LV±3.1%
November 1–3, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney45%3947 LV±3.6%
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney46%21,497 LV±2.7%
November 1–2, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney47%11,165 LV±2.9%
October 31 – November 2, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney45%31,065 LV±3.4%
October 30 – November 2, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney45%3800 LV±3.4%
October 30 – November 1, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney48%11,069 LV±3%
October 30 – November 1, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney44%5792 LV±4%
October 30 – 31, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney46%3600 LV±4.0%
October 29–31, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney46%2703 LV±4.2%
October 30, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney48%11,000 LV±3%
October 28 – 30, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney48%1800 LV±3.5%
October 27–29, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney49%4829 LV±3.5%
October 26–28, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney47%11,076 LV±3%
October 23 – 28, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney47%21,074 LV±3%
October 25–27, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney46%3807 LV---
October 26, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney48%Tied645 LV±3.9%
October 23–26, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney49%5638 LV±4%
October 22–26, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney47%41,228 LV±3.5%
October 23 – 25, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney48%Tied834 LV±3.5%
October 23 – 25, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney47%Tied600 LV±4.0%
October 24, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney50%2750 LV±4.0%
October 23–24, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney47%21126 LV±3.0%
October 23 – 24, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney46%5722 LV±3.6%
October 22 – 24, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney47%2832 LV±3.5%
October 18 – 21, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney45%1800 LV±3.46%
October 19 – 20, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney49%21,000 LV±3.07%
October 18 – 19, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney47%2500 LV±4.4%
October 18, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney50%3750 LV±4.0%
September 19 – October 17, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney43%7465 LV±3.4%
October 15 – 16, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney48%1733 LV±3.6%
October 12 – 14, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney48%1600 LV±4.0%
October 12 – 13, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney54%11696 LV±3.7%
October 11, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney49%2750 LV±4.0%
October 8–9, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney51%7600 LV±4.0%
October 7–9, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney48%1981 LV±3.1%
October 4–9, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney46%51,288 LV±2.7%
October 4–7, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney47%3725 LV±3.7%
October 4, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney49%1500 LV±4.5%
October 4, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney48%31,200 LV±3.0%
September 30 – October 1, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney46%21,273 RV±3.1%
September 19 – 28, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney40%8589 LV±4.0%
September 24 – 27, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney47%2600 LV±4.0%
September 24 – 26, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney44%2600 LV±4.0%
September 15 – 19, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney43%3600 LV±4.0%
September 16–18, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney43%71,006 LV±3.0%
September 11–17, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney46%41,474 LV±3.0%
September 13–16, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney46%51,021 LV±3.1%
September 12–16, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney44%8847 LV±3.5%
September 13, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney48%1500 LV±4.5%
September 9–11, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney44%5996 LV±3.1%
September 8–9, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney49%52,238 LV±2.2%

Four way race
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Constitution%Lead margin
September 24 – 26, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney44%Gary Johnson1%Virgil Goode1%2

Washington">Washington (state)">Washington

12 electoral votes
53%–46%
58%–40%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama54%Mitt Romney40%14837 LV±--%
November 1 – 3, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney46%7932 LV±3.2%
October 28 – 31, 2012Barack Obama54%Mitt Romney40%14555 LV±4.2%
October 18 – 31, 2012Barack Obama57%Mitt Romney36%21632 LV±3.9%
October 17 – 20, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney39%13500 LV±4.4%
October 15 – 16, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney45%5574 LV±--%
October 1–16, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney41%11782 LV±3.5%
October 14, 2012Barack Obama55%Mitt Romney42%13500 LV±4.5%
October 12 – 14, 2012Barack Obama54%Mitt Romney40%14543 LV±4.3%
September 28 – 30, 2012Barack Obama56%Mitt Romney36%20540 LV±4.3%
September 26, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney41%11500 LV±4.5%
September 21–22, 2012Barack Obama56%Mitt Romney39%17625 RV±4.6%
September 9–12, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney36%17405 RV±5.0%
September 7–9, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney42%11563±n/a%
September 7–9, 2012Barack Obama54%Mitt Romney38%16700±4.4%

[West Virginia]

5 electoral votes
56%–43%
56%–43%

[Wisconsin]

10 electoral votes
50%–49%
56%–42%
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
November 1–3, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney46%7482 LV±4.5%
November 2 – 3, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney48%31,256 LV±2.8%
October 31 – November 3, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney46%41,225 LV±3.1%
November 1–2, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney42%6500 LV±4.4%
October 30 – November 1, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney45%71,210 LV±3%
October 30–31, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney47%21,074 LV±3%
October 30, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney48%11,000 LV±3%
October 29–30, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney46%5825 LV±3.4%
October 29, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney49%Tie500 LV±4.5%
October 28–29, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney46%31,065 LV±3%
October 25–29, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney42%9402 LV±5%
October 25–28, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney43%81,243 LV±2.8%
October 24–25, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney43%5500 LV±4.4%
October 25, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney49%Tie500 LV±4.5%
October 23–24, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney45%6827 LV±3.4%
October 18–20, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney46%5502 LV±4.5%
October 18, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney48%2500 LV±4.5%
October 15 – 17, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney46%2625 LV±4%
October 15 – 17, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney45%61,295 RV±3.1%
October 15, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney47%31,000 LV±3%
October 11–14, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney48%1870 LV±3.4%
October 4 – 11, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney47%4639 LV±4.9%
October 4–9, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney47%31,327 LV±2.7%
October 9, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney49%2500 LV±4.5%
October 4 – 6, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney47%2979 LV±3.1%
September 27 – 30, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney42%11894 LV±3.3%
September 20 – 23, 2012Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney41%121,238 LV±2.8%
September 18 – 19, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney45%7842 LV±3.4%
September 16 – 18, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney45%5968 LV±3.2%
September 17, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney46%3500 LV±4.5%
September 13–16, 2012Barack Obama54%Mitt Romney40%14601 LV±3%
September 11–17, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney45%61,485 LV±3.0%

Three way race
Poll sourceDateDemocratic%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
September 20 – 23, 2012Barack Obama52.5%Mitt Romney41.0%Gary Johnson1.2%121,238 LV±2.8%

[Wyoming]

3 electoral votes
69%–29%
65%–33%
No polls conducted